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  • #1,144,881
  • Nov 5, 2018 2:44pm Nov 5, 2018 2:44pm
Quoting yaed
Question to thread: Will the elections of tomorrow matter much to PA? Im asking because im deciding if i should trade and/or what volatility to suspect.
it's midterm elections but it still will effect the markets. the question is how strong the volatility going to be.
As Above, So Below
  • #1,144,882
  • Nov 5, 2018 4:43pm Nov 5, 2018 4:43pm
The most profitable trade there is

https://forexfore.blog/2018/11/05/me...vitable-trade/
  • #1,144,883
  • Nov 5, 2018 5:51pm Nov 5, 2018 5:51pm
Quoting tashkent
{quote} it's midterm elections but it still will effect the markets. the question is how strong the volatility going to be.
Yeah, could be a lot of volatility for awhile, but probably the opposite of what we saw on election night '16. When Hillary looked like the favorite, the markets were doing fine... but as soon as things started looking up for Trump, it went downhill. That was mainly due to the surprise, and uncertainty of what might happen now. I don't think it was really any concern over how well Trump could personally handle the economy, because the markets quickly came back once people really started to think about it, and realized that chances are Trump WOULD be good for the economy. That's, of course, been borne out ever since.

So now with the midterms tomorrow, I think any positive market moves will be if it looks like Repubs will hold the House (which will make Trump continuing his agenda that much easier); any negative moves will be if it looks like Dems are gonna take it. As close as many of the House races are, I expect things to go back and forth for awhile before we know for sure who wins. By the way, I don't think the Senate is in doubt... Repubs are likely to GAIN seats there.
  • #1,144,884
  • Nov 5, 2018 6:11pm Nov 5, 2018 6:11pm
Quoting Ratmach
{quote} Yeah, could be a lot of volatility for awhile, but probably the opposite of what we saw on election night '16. When Hillary looked like the favorite, the markets were doing fine... but as soon as things started looking up for Trump, it went downhill. That was mainly due to the surprise, and uncertainty of what might happen now. I don't think it was really any concern over how well Trump could personally handle the economy, because the markets quickly came back once people really started to think about it, and realized that chances are Trump...
yes, markets usually have positive reaction to Republican victory.
Dems will take the House but probably lose the Senate again because the most seats up for election in Senate are Democrat seats. To win the Senate, Dems need to preserve all their 26 seats and steal at least 3 seats from 9 Republican seats.
As Above, So Below
  • #1,144,885
  • Nov 5, 2018 7:24pm Nov 5, 2018 7:24pm
Quoting tashkent
{quote} yes, markets usually have positive reaction to Republican victory. Dems will take the House but probably lose the Senate again because the most seats up for election in Senate are Democrat seats. To win the Senate, Dems need to preserve all their 26 seats and steal at least 3 seats from 9 Republican seats.

WRRONNG! and You're Fired globalist Kent. Alll Aboard The Trump Train CCHHOO CHHOOO! Red Wave Incoming.

A Lil more serious its a high unknown factor due to higher turn out voting so the previous prediction polls are not representatif for this mid term election at all. This is gonna be a after the fact explanation on why one of the parties did so well in this election.
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #1,144,886
  • Nov 5, 2018 7:31pm Nov 5, 2018 7:31pm
Quoting BeyondD
{quote} WRRONNG! and You're Fired globalist Kent. Alll Aboard The Trump Train CCHHOO CHHOOO! Red Wave Incoming. A Lil more serious its a high unknown factor due to higher turn out voting so the previous prediction polls are not representatif for this mid term election at all. This is gonna be a after the fact explanation on why one of the parties did so well in this election.
fine
As Above, So Below
  • #1,144,887
  • Nov 6, 2018 12:44am Nov 6, 2018 12:44am
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

EUR/USD looks pretty green lately...
Congressional elections + China means risk for USD, so more green is to be expected.

Intraday resistance :
- 1.1430 - 50 - 61
Intraday support :
- 1.1380 - 70 - 50 - 35

Initial intraday scalping plan: I'll buy 1411, if fake I'll sell 1397

Have a great trading day, you all!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZHART1.png Size: 33 KB
Member
  • #1,144,888
  • Nov 6, 2018 12:51am Nov 6, 2018 12:51am
Buddy Tudor , I am in agreement with your plan . LONG .

I just shorted JY at 113.42 BIG [1:50 ]

  • #1,144,889
  • Nov 6, 2018 12:58am Nov 6, 2018 12:58am
Quoting F.g
Buddy Tudor , I am in agreement with your plan . LONG . I just shorted JY at 113.42 BIG [1:50 ]
Yeap, I hope that US risk thing will work today
Hopefully we'll see 1440 - 55... if 1413 Monthly Pivot will give way to the bulls...... edit: and yesterday's High 1423
Good luck, buddy!
Member
  • #1,144,890
  • Nov 6, 2018 3:28am Nov 6, 2018 3:28am
Eurozone finance ministers have urged Italy's Finance Minister Tria to change the budget plan in a closed-door meeting. Furthermore, Eurozone finance ministers agreed with European Commission that the Italian budget breaks EU rules according to a statement.

FX markets were quiet overnight amid a tentative tone heading into the upcoming key events including today’s US mid-term elections and the FOMC later this week. As such, the greenback was relatively flat but attempted to gently nurse some of the recent losses, while its counterparts held on to most the prior day’s gains with EUR/USD around 1.1400.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 GMT:
EUR/USD: 1.1350 (0.300 BLN), 1.1375-80 (0.821 BLN) and 1.1450 (0.273 BLN).

Moved my stop loss to breakeven on my long position opened @ 1.1365 (Above Wednesday high) and looking for a target @ 1.1555.
  • #1,144,891
  • Nov 6, 2018 3:32am Nov 6, 2018 3:32am
Quoting Jonstaples
Eurozone finance ministers have urged Italy's Finance Minister Tria to change the budget plan in a closed-door meeting. Furthermore, Eurozone finance ministers agreed with European Commission that the Italian budget breaks EU rules according to a statement. FX markets were quiet overnight amid a tentative tone heading into the upcoming key events including today’s US mid-term elections and the FOMC later this week. As such, the greenback was relatively flat but attempted to gently nurse some of the recent losses, while its counterparts held on to...
Although lotta Euro data, US Congress and China seem to deal the cards today... and we're mostly bulls here
Good luck for 1.1555, Jon! I'll be happy only with 1440 - 55 something
Member
  • #1,144,892
  • Nov 6, 2018 3:36am Nov 6, 2018 3:36am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Although lotta Euro data, US Congress and China seem to deal the cards today... and we're mostly bulls here Good luck for 1.1555, Jon! I'll be happy only with 1440 - 55 something
it is an red impact category, of course it will. Im still waiting the result to do the price action.
The consistent profit comes from the perfect algorithm.
  • #1,144,893
  • Nov 6, 2018 3:59am Nov 6, 2018 3:59am
I not want buy it going down this way. I'll wait more, maybe it find support in the pivot weekly 113.80.

.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,144,894
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:09am Nov 6, 2018 4:09am
Quoting mbrown
{quote} A quick reminder for my followers!!! Added another short!!!
mbrown your double peak mountain is working lol .
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,144,895
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:15am Nov 6, 2018 4:15am
Quoting palpite
I not want buy it going down this way. I'll wait more, maybe it find support in the pivot weekly 113.80. .
15 minutes ago I would not be a buyier ...unfortunately I've started earlier
Member
  • #1,144,896
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:23am Nov 6, 2018 4:23am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 15 minutes ago I would not be a buyier ...unfortunately I've started earlier
The price crossed the green line before the time, but now i'll wait and follow my analysis.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: palpite.png Size: 56 KB

.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,144,897
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:39am Nov 6, 2018 4:39am
Quoting palpite
{quote} The price crossed the green line before the time, but now i'll wait and follow my analysis. {image} .
Well, good luck with that!
My analysis says it will keep swinging 1400 until dawn on the US East coast probabily
Member
  • #1,144,898
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:49am Nov 6, 2018 4:49am
JY is working well according to my prediction [ which is not foreseen by any system and is NOT written in any book ...[sic...]

sorry crew , I am in good mood today...

but E. is disapointing us with this correction . I have SL at 86 and 70 to take small prft in case it goes down and

then reevaluate the situation .

  • #1,144,899
  • Nov 6, 2018 4:51am Nov 6, 2018 4:51am
yes but gbp is a sell
  • #1,144,900
  • Nov 6, 2018 5:02am Nov 6, 2018 5:02am
Quoting F.g
JY is working well according to my prediction [ which is not foreseen by any system and is NOT written in any book ...[sic...] sorry crew , I am in good mood today... but E. is disapointing us with this correction . I have SL at 86 and 70 to take small prft in case it goes down and then reevaluate the situation .
Never mess with EUR/USD ahead NFP, FOMC, ECB .....and the US Congress !
Member
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