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EURUSD

  • #1,144,381
  • Oct 9, 2018 11:13am Oct 9, 2018 11:13am
Quoting palpite
CM_Strength - USD is the currency more weak now. {image}
Looks good palpite......can you please share this indicator? Thanks
  • #1,144,382
  • Oct 9, 2018 11:24am Oct 9, 2018 11:24am
Quoting BigBird
{quote} Looks good palpite......can you please share this indicator? Thanks
In the weekend i'll share 1 MA colored Hi/Lo and i share the CM_Streght together, ok.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #1,144,383
  • Oct 9, 2018 11:46am Oct 9, 2018 11:46am
USD is the weakest at the moment
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Click to Enlarge Name: EurUsd.PNG Size: 49 KB
  • #1,144,384
  • Oct 9, 2018 1:56pm Oct 9, 2018 1:56pm
Quoting palpite
{quote} In the weekend i'll share 1 MA colored Hi/Lo and i share the CM_Streght together, ok.
Thank you
  • #1,144,385
  • Oct 9, 2018 2:18pm Oct 9, 2018 2:18pm
Question, what YT channel for EURUSD daily analysis do you guys watch?

_________________
From a technical point of view, on one hour chart, it is possible to develop a HEAD AND SHOULDERS
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  • #1,144,386
  • Oct 9, 2018 2:53pm Oct 9, 2018 2:53pm
63% chance hitting 1.13471...based on machine learning algos
  • #1,144,387
  • Oct 9, 2018 7:08pm Oct 9, 2018 7:08pm
I've got us dollar losses today and maybe tomorrow

Euro in an expanded lazy flat respecting that low at .32 was it!!
  • #1,144,388
  • Oct 9, 2018 7:13pm Oct 9, 2018 7:13pm
Quoting squidster85
63% chance hitting 1.13471...based on machine learning algos
63% chance hitting 1.13471, and 37% chance hitting which level ? ... and when hitting 1.13471, today, this week, this month ? ...
I am who I am
  • #1,144,389
  • Oct 9, 2018 7:37pm Oct 9, 2018 7:37pm
Quoting imwim
{quote} 63% chance hitting 1.13471, and 37% chance hitting which level ? ... and when hitting 1.13471, today, this week, this month ? ...
yeah exactly................just not able to understand where its going and neither is the market moving :'(
  • #1,144,390
  • Oct 9, 2018 10:29pm Oct 9, 2018 10:29pm
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

New lows yesterday on Europe politicals.
But 1435 the Weekly Fibo S61.8 support bounced, the 9 days bearish trend seem to be braked.
But who cares if clowns doesn't like what Fed is doing?!

Intraday resistance :
- 1.1515-30-50
Intraday support :
- 1.1500;
- 1.1480-65-50-30

Initial intraday scalping plan: I guess I'll buy above 1515 and sell below 1500, 1497smth...

Have a great trading day, you all!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZHART1.png Size: 60 KB
Member
  • #1,144,391
  • Oct 10, 2018 1:50am Oct 10, 2018 1:50am
Quoting imwim
{quote} 63% chance hitting 1.13471, and 37% chance hitting which level ? ... and when hitting 1.13471, today, this week, this month ? ...
time frame D1 sorry...
when? It is difficult to quantify from an algorithm point of view. If I tell you when then it will be a guess only and most likely to be wrong.
  • #1,144,392
  • Oct 10, 2018 2:34am Oct 10, 2018 2:34am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Initial intraday scalping plan: I guess I'll buy above 1515 and sell below 1500, 1497smth... Have a great trading day, you all! {image}
My daily pip adventure:
Sold 1498 - SL -10
Sold again 1500 +20
Half target, satisfactory... I don't care where it is going from here, relaxing now, greed is a killer!
Member
  • #1,144,393
  • Oct 10, 2018 3:23am Oct 10, 2018 3:23am
M5, Long @ 1.14636, PT 1.15140
  • #1,144,394
  • Oct 10, 2018 3:37am Oct 10, 2018 3:37am
EUR/USD holding up better against the Greenback (comparatively), pivoting 1.1500 and displaying resilience in the face of more Italian Government intransigence over its budget plans and fiscal policies. Note, option expiry interest may factor into the NY cut with 1.5 bln running off between 1.1500-10.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 BST:
EUR/USD: 1.1500-10 (1.5 BLN).

Got stopped out on the older position and breakeven on my short one. However, it seems to consolidating around 1.1500 and I am looking to get in on a breakout either way.
  • #1,144,395
  • Oct 10, 2018 3:53am Oct 10, 2018 3:53am
Buy - 1.1495

.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #1,144,396
  • Oct 10, 2018 4:37am Oct 10, 2018 4:37am
Quoting bobby2
M5, Long @ 1.14636, PT 1.15140
Manual exit @ 1.15029 for +9 pips.
  • #1,144,397
  • Oct 10, 2018 5:27am Oct 10, 2018 5:27am
Quoting squidster85
{quote} time frame D1 sorry... when? It is difficult to quantify from an algorithm point of view. If I tell you when then it will be a guess only and most likely to be wrong.
Not difficult to quantify "when" even for a machine learning algo, 1.13471 is 467.6 pips away from 1.18147 (24 September) while the average ATR for the last 55 month is 440.3 pips, so 5 weeks is a good period of time and it's very close to the "end of October" ...
I am who I am
  • #1,144,398
  • Oct 10, 2018 5:37am Oct 10, 2018 5:37am
Short @ 1.14913. Looking for 1.14750 PT.
  • #1,144,399
  • Oct 10, 2018 5:56am Oct 10, 2018 5:56am
Quoting imwim
{quote} Not difficult to quantify "when" even for a machine learning algo, 1.13471 is 467.6 pips away from 1.18147 (24 September) while the average ATR for the last 55 month is 440.3 pips, so 5 weeks is a good period of time and it's very close to the "end of October" ...
You have introduced "average true range" and linear regression of price in the above assumption. The ATR for any instrument changes over time and cannot really be used in algos for training. The algos are not predicting the "1.13471" is is predicting a potential percentage move which works out to be in that area.
If there is no volatility in in EU for next few days then end of Oct prediction is not correct, hence giving a time frame is not always accurate and I refrain from it.
  • #1,144,400
  • Edited 6:39am Oct 10, 2018 6:07am | Edited 6:39am
Quoting squidster85
{quote} You have introduced "average true range" and linear regression of price in the above assumption. The ATR for any instrument changes over time and cannot really be used in algos for training. The algos are not predicting the "1.13471" is is predicting a potential percentage move which works out to be in that area. If there is no volatility in in EU for next few days then end of Oct prediction is not correct, hence giving a time frame is not always accurate and I refrain from it.
... then "end of Oct" prediction could be not correct, but could be correct with xy% ...

Attached the past events of a 467.6 pips movement, so the period of time to reach 1.13471 level can be accurate ... the opening time of each bar of 467.6 pips have its own time stamp text label, and the last bar has not reached yet its 1.13471 level (opening time was erased for the last bar - a bug atm) ...
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Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM90.png Size: 34 KB
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