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  • #1,144,061
  • Sep 28, 2018 4:29am Sep 28, 2018 4:29am
The USD index was firmer and tested the 95.00 level, while EUR/USD breached previous week lows.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 BST:
EUR/USD: 1.1630 (3.0 BLN), 1.1650-55 (1.2 BLN), 1.1670-75 (0.510 BLN), 1.1700 (1.3 BLN), 1.1725 (0.674 BLN) and 1.1750 (1.3 BLN).

Well my target was hit yesterday at 1.1648 so I'm going early for the weekend I wish you all lots of green pips .
  • #1,144,062
  • Sep 28, 2018 4:31am Sep 28, 2018 4:31am
15640
is your target
  • #1,144,063
  • Sep 28, 2018 4:37am Sep 28, 2018 4:37am
Quoting TudorIoan
Bad Euro news ! And market loaded with bull's Lots ...direction? ...down, obviously!
Yeah someone very big was absorbing all that buying in this morning session. See all the buying happening in the deltas but price was capped into 1.1700 (futures)

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Boxing clever since 76.
  • #1,144,064
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:01am Sep 28, 2018 5:01am
Quoting TudorIoan
Bad Euro news ! And market loaded with bull's Lots ...direction? ...down, obviously!
Quoting copi88
{quote} Yeah someone very big was absorbing all that buying in this morning session. See all the buying happening in the deltas but price was capped into 1.1700 (futures) {image}
Very simple business.
Someone very big? ... the institutionals , they reading news, and data ....Euro CPI came bad, they sell!
What money did they absorb???
Well, that's very easy ...61% buying Lots! (see pic below, I took a snapshot just the FF live account situation at the data printing moment)
So, if the liquidity is up and data down, the final direction is down, obviously!
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Member
  • #1,144,065
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:03am Sep 28, 2018 5:03am
1.1584 is the 261 fib ext on the 1.1815 [24th Sept] -1.1726 [26th Sept] swing.
  • #1,144,066
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:11am Sep 28, 2018 5:11am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} Very simple business. Someone very big? ... the institutionals , they reading news, and data ....Euro CPI came bad, they sell! What money did they absorb??? Well, that's very easy ...61% buying Lots! (see pic below, I took a snapshot just the FF live account situation at the data printing moment) So, if the liquidity is up and data down, the final direction is down, obviously! {image}
Of course its the institutions. However some institutions will be selling some will be buying, there was definitely a difference of opinion, as only they would be able to generate all those deltas.

Also generally the institutions will have traded the news pre lease and will use the volume generated by the actual release to exit their positions.
Boxing clever since 76.
  • #1,144,067
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:13am Sep 28, 2018 5:13am
so I guess October will be the month that euro will be rallying up

I stick to my old plan buy between 1.147x ~ 1.153x and target 1.19 ~ 1.22
  • #1,144,068
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:16am Sep 28, 2018 5:16am
Quoting copi88
{quote} Of course its the institutions. However some institutions will be selling some will be buying, there was definitely a difference of opinion, as only they would be able to generate all those deltas. Also generally the institutions will have traded the news pre lease and will use the volume generated by the actual release to exit their positions.
Sure. All that simple.
They are always on the other side!
How else to explain the high percentage of retail losers???
Member
  • #1,144,069
  • Sep 28, 2018 5:27am Sep 28, 2018 5:27am
Longed at 115.90 and have pending for 15.80 too , which might not be reached. Very nice overstretched situation .

Deep in red , of course ... I am looking for a reversal [ of course...]

  • #1,144,070
  • Sep 28, 2018 6:10am Sep 28, 2018 6:10am
Quoting SallyB
{quote} Yeah. I´ve not been watching eurusd too closely the last couple of days. I´ve been in on the long side on eurcfh since Mon. Today is the last day of the month and Q3. and as you state, anything can happen. 1.1608 is last mth´s close, [a hammer candle mth] 1.1596 is this mth´s open [what would be a shooting star mth if it were to close there].
Big reaction to the Italian budget yesterday as their bonds suffer today. Confrontation course now with Brussels. If New York hit hard it could go all the way to 1.150 today.
  • #1,144,071
  • Sep 28, 2018 6:27am Sep 28, 2018 6:27am
Quoting F.g
Longed at 115.90 and have pending for 15.80 too , which might not be reached. Very nice overstretched situation . Deep in red , of course ... I am looking for a reversal [ of course...]
Overstretched situations suggests natural corrections.
But unfortunately, is just another situation that shows that the technical analysis does not matter
in the face of political situations or fundamental data on macroeconomics.
Quoting SallyB
{quote} Big reaction to the Italian budget yesterday as their bonds suffer today. Confrontation course now with Brussels. If New York hit hard it could go all the way to 1.150 today.
Yeap. Italy drag them all down, DAX, euro...
Member
  • #1,144,072
  • Sep 28, 2018 6:31am Sep 28, 2018 6:31am
The Euro lost a lot this week, with no important data I think the direction will continue to point South at the most until the NFPs next Friday.
  • #1,144,073
  • Sep 28, 2018 7:04am Sep 28, 2018 7:04am
Another bear assault on 1570 (Sep.11 - 12 Lows) will prolly make us see 1550
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Member
  • #1,144,074
  • Sep 28, 2018 7:15am Sep 28, 2018 7:15am
Quoting msniper
euro 1.1600 now only 70 pips away from my buy pending orders I have orders from 1.1530 and 1.1500 and 1.1490 the current wave supposed to make a lower low than the previews one which was 1.1530 so that's why I am buying on that spot

patience pays...nice one bro
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,144,075
  • Sep 28, 2018 8:11am Sep 28, 2018 8:11am
Quoting donfriday
{quote} patience pays...nice one bro
indeed
  • #1,144,076
  • Sep 28, 2018 8:18am Sep 28, 2018 8:18am
Quoting msniper
{quote} indeed
What did it pay you? It's not clear to me.
  • #1,144,077
  • Sep 28, 2018 8:34am Sep 28, 2018 8:34am
Quoting palpite
My analisys for this week. I have 2 points of support. 1° support between 1.1680 - 1.1710 2° support between 1.1580- 1.1610 PS: have the possibility for the price cross 1.158 and go down further. {image} Good Luck
Perfect.

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Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,144,078
  • Sep 28, 2018 8:48am Sep 28, 2018 8:48am
3 Targets from today:

1° target - 1.164.

2° target - 1.174.

3° target - 1.185.

Let's see if the tendace still is bullish. Good luck.

.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,144,079
  • Sep 28, 2018 9:00am Sep 28, 2018 9:00am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} What did it pay you? It's not clear to me.

dont bordered..he know and i know if you been following...
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,144,080
  • Sep 28, 2018 9:08am Sep 28, 2018 9:08am
Quoting palpite
3 Targets from today: 1° target - 1.164. 2° target - 1.174. 3° target - 1.185. Let's see if the tendace still is bullish. Good luck. .
did you buy ? I am still waiting for 1.1530 lol
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