Mr. Scott's Crayon Thread | Page 628 | Forex Factory

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Mr. Scott's Crayon Thread

  • #12,541
  • Sep 20, 2018 2:39pm Sep 20, 2018 2:39pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Mid month dumping of Gold since April. have to see if base holds here or dumping. This week should tell a lot. Last months mid dump was from 1212 which held since. {image} {image}
GOLD so far not having the same selling activity from the last 6 months.
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  • #12,542
  • Sep 20, 2018 3:36pm Sep 20, 2018 3:36pm
GBP JPY H4 Long term. justa small fish
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Profit growth tells you the trader ability.
  • #12,543
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:12pm Sep 20, 2018 4:12pm
Just some thoughts on Rotation and SP and 10Y. 10Y Mid term trend now seems established. Previous rotations indicated a break of 10Y mid trend prior to rotation and Index sell off.

Cost of Hedge for a tail risk and 10Y return should be starting to weigh heavy.

Without unlimited funds getting shorter time angle on the rotation isn't easy or chewing through funds on Puts. If your elocating funds in equities portfolio at the moment then at some stage the return on portfolio, cost of Hedge and 10Y return should start to take some effect.
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  • #12,544
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:12pm Sep 20, 2018 4:12pm
Quoting chess king
try a long... GU 1.2860 and GJ 142.75 {image}
G/J
closed...
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  • #12,545
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:29pm Sep 20, 2018 4:29pm
Quoting chess king
{quote} G/J closed... {image}
Nice Trade.
  • #12,546
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:37pm Sep 20, 2018 4:37pm
EU ... channal time?
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  • #12,547
  • Sep 20, 2018 4:49pm Sep 20, 2018 4:49pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Nice Trade.
thank you . the second best of the year.
  • #12,548
  • Sep 20, 2018 9:18pm Sep 20, 2018 9:18pm
Quoting chess king
{quote} thank you . the second best of the year.
GJ always good when you catch a winner.
  • #12,549
  • Sep 21, 2018 3:07pm Sep 21, 2018 3:07pm
NZDUSD
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Lord Forex
  • #12,550
  • Sep 21, 2018 6:31pm Sep 21, 2018 6:31pm
Quoting Mzwandile93
NZDUSD {image}
Nice job Mr C will take all day Here is my chart this chart has been here before but present
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The world you desire can be won. It exists.. it is real.. it is possible..
  • #12,551
  • Sep 24, 2018 4:36pm Sep 24, 2018 4:36pm
EUR/USD and Dollar Index weighted seems to have a lot more to do with Euro and German 10Y bond return prospects than the US 10Y moves at the moment.
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  • #12,552
  • Edited 2:27pm Sep 25, 2018 12:08pm | Edited 2:27pm
Quoting JimmyC
I have multiple entries into this trade, some open longs some options etc etc.... Its related to the industry of my day job and we actively hedge long against operational costs. This is a very interesting chart from a TA perspective however and yes it has fundies to the long side. It does seem bullish but look at the reliability of the overhead resistance... Thats where this becomes interesting on the TA end... Such fun Brent Crude Daily {image} Should I stay or should I go? https://youtu.be/BN1WwnEDWAM Cheers Scott, you're a good man....
Note that the consolidation pattern more recent to the pattern that has formed during the month would suggest that targets should be revised in the medium term to $84.00 (Brent crude) at least. As such staying open. Fundamentals point to issues with supply from Iran and some added pressure on supply from Opec nations.

Greetings to all.

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  • #12,553
  • Sep 25, 2018 3:29pm Sep 25, 2018 3:29pm
Quoting squawk
Deutche looking to claim and hold retest of the bottom here. Back to positive earnings so will see. Not sure what HNA Group selling will do at these levels but talk of buyers circling for their stake. {image} {image} {image}
Deutsche Bank has bids but still waiting for stronger with the German 10Y selling. Goes with the narrative of ending Euro-easing.
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  • #12,554
  • Edited 6:08pm Sep 25, 2018 3:42pm | Edited 6:08pm
USDJPY trade still positioning.

If the 10 year JGB intervention has been at .1 on the yield in the past. Got to wonder what the position is now. Looks very likely to break higher and follow the Euro narrative.
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  • #12,555
  • Sep 25, 2018 4:03pm Sep 25, 2018 4:03pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} EG 2nd taken at support. Waiting for a pullback for further adds. {image} {image} {image}
Got a nice second play short on EG. Move all to BE. Break above that 90 again then I think higher.
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  • #12,556
  • Sep 25, 2018 4:08pm Sep 25, 2018 4:08pm
GC Nice move from lower zone.
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  • #12,557
  • Sep 25, 2018 4:10pm Sep 25, 2018 4:10pm
AC complicated price patterning here.
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  • #12,558
  • Sep 25, 2018 4:15pm Sep 25, 2018 4:15pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Got some here and then taken out BE for other half with push higher. Trade is coming in Yen and still important zone waiting for action. {image} {image} {image}
UJ hasn't really shown anything here pressing consolidating higher with the index. Complacency in the market seems very high with obvious yield turns surprising. Still has a longer term trade with JGB but needs something to show. action and Gold and Yuan also tricky consolidation.
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  • #12,559
  • Edited Sep 26, 2018 2:34am Sep 25, 2018 11:56pm | Edited Sep 26, 2018 2:34am
Both Copper and Shang Index show strong bids last 2 weeks.
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  • #12,560
  • Sep 26, 2018 1:24am Sep 26, 2018 1:24am
EA possible trade Im looking at. Previous pricing action suggest possible higher but short term swing has broken and lower has not been efficiently traded into yet.
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