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  • #46,801
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:04am Sep 25, 2018 10:04am
Quoting hyperbiostar
{quote} why do you think that? just curious
I do a lot of correlation trading am going off what I'm seeing on some other pairs especially on DXY, which looks very weak and has failed to decisively reject the 94 handle. Price on DXY is containted to the upside by a descending trendline on the hourly that I am watching closely and I will change my view with a confirmation of a break to the upside. Price on EURUSD has been extremely supportive and any moves to the downside have been bought up right away. Unless DXY bounces from here I think it will break 94 and dip a bit lower into the high 93s before bouncing back up to retest the trendline. Also the daily closes on EURUSD in the zones that Ata mentioned are very significant. 1.179 is putting up some serious resistance though and I am starting to consider the possibility that we don't break out and instead just range until the Fed. I still see another leg up as a possibility though, holding my longs until DXY can show me something to convince me it won't fold. It just printed a pretty brutal shooting star on the M15 so that isn't a great sign for dollar bulls, but anything can happen.
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,802
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:04am Sep 25, 2018 10:04am
Opened a short, Europe has nothing going for them right now, except the US trade tensions and "bullying", plus Russia only accepting Euros now. The US market is booming, consumer confidence is high. I feel now we have a trade battle going on with EURUSD, let the storm begin!
Follow my trading progress on Instagram: rags2millions
  • #46,803
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:06am Sep 25, 2018 10:06am
But yea, this thing really doesn't look like it wants to break, gotta listen to the music. Let's see
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,804
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:10am Sep 25, 2018 10:10am
The bottom of that 5 min candle is exactly 1.18500 on Euro Futures which goes tic by tic with EurUSD. (Different price but same candles size)
  • #46,805
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:10am Sep 25, 2018 10:10am
Quoting NovaFX
{quote} I do a lot of correlation trading am going off what I'm seeing on some other pairs especially on DXY, which looks very weak and has failed to decisively reject the 94 handle. Price on DXY is containted to the upside by a descending trendline on the hourly that I am watching closely and I will change my view with a confirmation of a break to the upside. Price on EURUSD has been extremely supportive and any moves to the downside have been bought up right away. Unless DXY bounces from here I think it will break 94 and dip a bit lower into the...

Thanks NovaFX,

i just was wondering because i saw a potential shooting star with the high jumping around at that time.

enjoy the greens
  • #46,806
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:12am Sep 25, 2018 10:12am
h&s in your face , dragi
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd h1.png Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DX H1.png Size: 26 KB
yes yes yes
  • #46,807
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:14am Sep 25, 2018 10:14am
Bears must break 1.1774 first, then 1.1760 & then 1.1744 areas before anything serious. My short is already+13pips so SL to BE+1
  • #46,808
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:15am Sep 25, 2018 10:15am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} And why if I may ask? Stay Green
i was confused for USD red Data
  • #46,809
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:16am Sep 25, 2018 10:16am
The Draghi man has contained the price most of the day, we need a break but it could just go on sideways until we get the Fed news

Volume staring to look a wee bit negitive
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: draghi candle.PNG Size: 18 KB
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #46,810
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:16am Sep 25, 2018 10:16am
Good morning everyone... i woke up with a smile in my face while seeing the chart. I didn't missed the bus this time. I slept trusting Sensei Ata. Big thanks again sensei..
Only an idiot knows with certainty to where the market is going.
  • #46,811
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:19am Sep 25, 2018 10:19am
The red rectangle in M15 is a supply area.
The retracement towards the red rectangle is caleld FTR (Fail To Return) when we make a new low

Maybe... just maybe

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 191 KB
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #46,812
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:21am Sep 25, 2018 10:21am
Quoting MrBullBear
Good morning everyone... i woke up with a smile in my face while seeing the chart. I didn't missed the bus this time. I slept trusting Sensei Ata. Big thanks again sensei..
Thaks but, the correct way is to get the idea and trade based on the rules and then to trust yourself..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #46,813
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:21am Sep 25, 2018 10:21am
Quoting yousername
The red rectangle in M15 is a supply area. The retracement towards the red rectangle is caleld FTR (Fail To Return) when we make a new low Maybe... just maybe {image}
BAERS WAKE UP NOW
  • #46,814
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:22am Sep 25, 2018 10:22am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Just thinking out loud: Rumors say interest hike is expected tomorrow.. That can create demand for US Dollar. But If any information was leaked that there will be rate hike 100% then think of the mentality of the big boys.. For them to be able to buy US Dollar for as cheap as it gets via EURUSD currency they have to do what? Bingo: pump up the value of EURO.. could I be wrong? any additional pro or contra comments on this issue from any of our fundamental professors here? Stay Green
The Sept hike is a done deal and already priced in. The interest is around a hike/no hike in Dec. Alot will depend on the rhetoric and how Powell is going to lean. The economic data has been good and would support a move towards increasing interest rates but Trump wants a weaker dollar, so there´s a bit of political pressure there. This is Powell´s prediciment. Does he go this way or that way. And, I think this is what the market is waiting on...
  • #46,815
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:27am Sep 25, 2018 10:27am
Went short on the second pullback to 1.1787.
The rise in price was on low vol so I went short at 1.1784. 5min
Stop now at 1.1777
  • #46,816
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:27am Sep 25, 2018 10:27am
Quoting SallyB
{quote} The Sept hike is a done deal and already priced in. The interest is around a hike/no hike in Dec. Alot will depend on the rhetoric and how Powell is going to lean. The economic data has been good and would support a move towards increasing interest rates but Trump wants a weaker dollar, so there´s a bit of political pressure there. This is Powell´s prediciment. Does he go this way or that way. And, I think this is what the market is waiting on...
As I said before, speech trumps Rate. Powel's speech is what matters.
  • #46,817
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:30am Sep 25, 2018 10:30am
Starting to favor ranging between 1.173 and 1.1815 until FOMC tomorrow
niemals aufgeben
  • #46,818
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:31am Sep 25, 2018 10:31am
From here, price touching 1.1779 once again can cause spikes.. so watching carefully.. we better focus.. very cruical minutes are knocking doors..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #46,819
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:32am Sep 25, 2018 10:32am
Quoting Moty
h&s in your face , dragi {image} {image}
to be exact in your wrinkly face Monsieur Draghi
This is not investment/trading advise. Will not hold accountable for loss
  • #46,820
  • Sep 25, 2018 10:37am Sep 25, 2018 10:37am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
From here, price touching 1.1779 once again can cause spikes.. so watching carefully.. we better focus.. very cruical minutes are knocking doors.. Stay Green
I wonder at your brain sometimes. Seems God put some HFT wiring in that skull of yours.

Keep up the good work.
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