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  • #1,143,761
  • Sep 19, 2018 2:24am Sep 19, 2018 2:24am
The greenback was subdued amid range-bound trade in its major counterparts in which EUR/USD was lacklustre after having recently failed to hold above 1.1700.

Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 BST:
EUR/USD: None of significance nearby price action.

I hope that the ECB President Draghi's Speech later today will support and give strength to the bulls therefore lifting the EUR/USD toward 1.1795. Either way I will not lose because I already have my long position at breakeven.
  • #1,143,762
  • Sep 19, 2018 2:35am Sep 19, 2018 2:35am
Quoting donfriday
{quote} we should retest 1.17 then down

done deal....today eu will decide break or bounce for move down
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,143,763
  • Sep 19, 2018 2:45am Sep 19, 2018 2:45am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Advanced traders can see why the TA weakens. Tariffs ping-pong between USA and China leads the charts. It's a political zig-zag, forget technicals! Even though, here's my levels Intraday resistance : - 1.1700 Fibo R38 + Sep.13 High - 1.1721 Weekly_R1 + seop.14 High Intraday support : - 1.1650 - 70 Initial intraday scalping plan: Waiting for the breakouts, fakes... I'll buy 1.1681 and sell about 1.1668 Have a great trading day, you all! {image}
Bada bing, bada boom, there's the money! 1681 => 1701
Party now
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  • #1,143,764
  • Sep 19, 2018 2:49am Sep 19, 2018 2:49am
GUUD LUCK TO ME.. ONLY STRONG NEWS CAN BREAK THAT BARRICADE..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,143,765
  • Sep 19, 2018 3:22am Sep 19, 2018 3:22am
Quoting Jonstaples
The greenback was subdued amid range-bound trade in its major counterparts in which EUR/USD was lacklustre after having recently failed to hold above 1.1700. Option expiries of note for today's 15:00 BST: EUR/USD: None of significance nearby price action. I hope that the ECB President Draghi's Speech later today will support and give strength to the bulls therefore lifting the EUR/USD toward 1.1795. Either way I will not lose because I already have my long position at breakeven.
Great, it looks like the bulls are leading today so far
Draghi is scheduled today, but not on monetary policy talk
...however, never underestimate Mario Draghi
GL, Jon!
Member
  • #1,143,766
  • Sep 19, 2018 3:45am Sep 19, 2018 3:45am
CRITICAL LEVEL...
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 47 KB
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,143,767
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:20am Sep 19, 2018 4:20am
I am looking for 1720
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,768
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:25am Sep 19, 2018 4:25am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Here's the recent fundie game playing: - Trade tensions are also hurting the U.S. economy(!) - US is slowing down in September. - American businesses strongly criticizing the tariffs. - With consumer spending and inflation also weakening, the Feds may choose to skip the expected hike in December(!) 1. If Trump proceeds with 10% tariffs and China stays silent, the USD will strengthen. 2. If China retaliates USD will be weakened. 3. If Trump pushes too far like going for 25% also the USD will lose some.
Sorry, FF Calendar mislead me...... it's the September scheduled hike.
It looks like the Forex Factory is working for Trump's exports opera!
No warning for a hike?!?!? USD keeped low ! ...good for exports! Go, Donnie!

Forex Factory admins, correct that Calendar, will ya!
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  • #1,143,769
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:44am Sep 19, 2018 4:44am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Sorry, FF Calendar mislead me...... it's the September scheduled hike. It looks like the Forex Factory is working for Trump's exports opera! No warning for a hike?!?!? USD keeped low ! ...good for exports! Go, Donnie! Forex Factory admins, correct that Calendar, will ya! {image} {image}
Very curious to see for how long this eurusd fake up move lasts. GBP too...my guess is they'll crash soon especially considering all the rate hikes and economy. My guess is next Wednesday.
  • #1,143,770
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:46am Sep 19, 2018 4:46am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Sorry, FF Calendar mislead me...... it's the September scheduled hike. It looks like the Forex Factory is working for Trump's exports opera! No warning for a hike?!?!? USD keeped low ! ...good for exports! Go, Donnie! Forex Factory admins, correct that Calendar, will ya! {image} {image}
This Sept one is also accompanied by their projections... and think this is what the market is waiting on... rhetoric on hike or not in Dec. As far as I know, it seems the hike in Sept is already a done deal and priced in as you have in the graph.
  • #1,143,771
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:51am Sep 19, 2018 4:51am
Quoting SallyB
{quote} This Sept one is also accompanied by their projections... and think this is what the market is waiting on... rhetoric on hike or not in Dec. As far as I know, it seems the hike in Sept is already a done deal and priced in as you have in the graph.
Totally correct! I do agree on every word you just said. Thanks
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  • #1,143,772
  • Sep 19, 2018 4:56am Sep 19, 2018 4:56am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} Very curious to see for how long this eurusd fake up move lasts. GBP too...my guess is they'll crash soon especially considering all the rate hikes and economy. My guess is next Wednesday.
Dunno, it might be the Projections which can bring more. Hike it's a 98% done deal (compliments Sally)
Merry range until FOMC Wednesday?! WTF!
I already hate that 1650 - 1720 range ...not even the Big Clown can shake it with the Tariff War lately
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  • #1,143,773
  • Sep 19, 2018 5:10am Sep 19, 2018 5:10am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Dunno, it might be the Projections which can bring more. Hike it's a 98% done deal (compliments Sally) Merry range until FOMC Wednesday?! WTF! I already hate that 1650 - 1720 range ...not even the Big Clown can shake it with the Tariff War lately

i am novice in fundie,,,what is the impact on usd when fomc hike rate to 2.25?
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,143,774
  • Sep 19, 2018 5:18am Sep 19, 2018 5:18am
Quoting donfriday
{quote} i am novice in fundie,,,what is the impact on usd when fomc hike rate to 2.25?
Obviously EUR/USD should plunge.
But this time the probability for a hike is huge, therefore it means no surprise.
No surprise means no chart big action...

It's only the Powell conference Q&A session which might bring something new and the FOMC Economic Projections !
Those can shake the chart like crazy next Wednesday (mind also the tight range ahead)
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  • #1,143,775
  • Sep 19, 2018 5:19am Sep 19, 2018 5:19am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Dunno, it might be the Projections which can bring more. Hike it's a 98% done deal (compliments Sally) Merry range until FOMC Wednesday?! WTF! I already hate that 1650 - 1720 range ...not even the Big Clown can shake it with the Tariff War lately
TudorIoan, do you expect this range to hold? If it does, then we should be shorting the highs and buying the lows.
  • #1,143,776
  • Sep 19, 2018 5:35am Sep 19, 2018 5:35am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} TudorIoan, do you expect this range to hold? If it does, then we should be shorting the highs and buying the lows.
Technically this large range should last until FOMC.
Fundamentally is impossible to tell:
1. Draghi today
2. This Friday, big EZone inflation pack expected
3. Trump - China tariff war can break out again, tensions not over

Sorry, I would have liked to be more useful.
Well, that's why FX is so much fun, no one can make long term predictions
Good luck to you, Mitiblotch !
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  • #1,143,777
  • Sep 19, 2018 5:41am Sep 19, 2018 5:41am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Technically this large range should last until FOMC. Fundamentally is impossible to tell: 1. Draghi today 2. This Friday, big EZone inflation pack expected 3. Trump - China tariff war can break out again, tensions not over Sorry, I would have liked to be more useful. Well, that's why FX is so much fun, no one can make long term predictions Good luck to you, Mitiblotch !
Thank you. I appreciate your effort.
  • #1,143,778
  • Sep 19, 2018 6:11am Sep 19, 2018 6:11am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Thank you. I appreciate your effort.
See... political crap like this can fck up a beautiful technical setup!
And that crap is totally unpredictable
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  • #1,143,779
  • Sep 19, 2018 6:17am Sep 19, 2018 6:17am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} See... political crap like this can fck up a beautiful technical setup! And that crap is totally unpredictable {image}
Agreed. Thereīs an EU/Brexit summit going on today in Salzburg and at the end of the day, thereīll be press statements and not some cast off comment from some bloke on his way to lunch. Itīs terrible this...
  • #1,143,780
  • Sep 19, 2018 6:25am Sep 19, 2018 6:25am
Quoting SallyB
{quote} Agreed. Thereīs an EU/Brexit summit going on today in Salzburg and at the end of the day, thereīll be press statements and not some cast off comment from some bloke on his way to lunch. Itīs terrible this...
Damn, I forgot about Salzburg! And i knew they will have press statements..........
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