Mr. Scott's Crayon Thread | Page 627 | Forex Factory

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  • #12,521
  • Sep 14, 2018 12:52am Sep 14, 2018 12:52am
Deutche looking to claim and hold retest of the bottom here. Back to positive earnings so will see. Not sure what HNA Group selling will do at these levels but talk of buyers circling for their stake.
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  • #12,522
  • Edited 3:49am Sep 14, 2018 1:06am | Edited 3:49am
US, German and Japanese 10Y. Im trading the German 10y Head and Shoulders will break and complete longer term helping the Euro banks. JGB 10Y also seem to be bottoming longer term here. Price re-balance is obvious but the time is the trade to get.
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  • #12,523
  • Sep 14, 2018 1:10am Sep 14, 2018 1:10am
Quoting Mr. Scott
GN {image}
My longer term chart here Scott trade is there but extension could be a little further Im thinking with a 3rd move breaking the high. Just my opinion.
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  • #12,524
  • Sep 14, 2018 4:57am Sep 14, 2018 4:57am
Quoting squawk
{quote} My longer term chart here Scott trade is there but extension could be a little further Im thinking with a 3rd move breaking the high. Just my opinion. {image}
think yes but eyes on first one for opp
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  • #12,525
  • Sep 14, 2018 5:01am Sep 14, 2018 5:01am
Quoting squawk
NZD/CAD has played out with re-balance of value neutral. Same as AUD/CAD long options but last lower extension may be there. {image} {image} {image} {image}
Was thinking little lower still....bounce smaller ab cd
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  • #12,526
  • Sep 14, 2018 5:03am Sep 14, 2018 5:03am
Quoting squawk
{quote} Looks good Scott. Got some nice longs of this move cashed in now and waiting for 2 long areas. {image}
Kicker from the lower zone on GC. Running again into the trend momentum.
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  • #12,527
  • Sep 14, 2018 9:27am Sep 14, 2018 9:27am
EURAUD a small one...
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  • #12,528
  • Sep 16, 2018 4:40am Sep 16, 2018 4:40am
Quoting squawk
Gold feels like t might be firming the base. {image} {image}
Mid month dumping of Gold since April. have to see if base holds here or dumping. This week should tell a lot. Last months mid dump was from 1212 which held since.
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  • #12,529
  • Edited Sep 18, 2018 3:41am Sep 17, 2018 8:09pm | Edited Sep 18, 2018 3:41am
The Shanghai Index is looking shaky on holding the line. Falter here then you think 2500 and below? possible 2100. If the Shanghai keeps going the tail risk on the S&P is big. Market pricing for hedging is highest on record.

Heading for a full blown trade war should lead to inflation. The VIX seems mute at the moment and the 10Y still trying to breakout above 3.10. Interesting dynamics keep rolling on.
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  • #12,530
  • Sep 18, 2018 1:17am Sep 18, 2018 1:17am
Quoting squawk
AUD/CAD Aussie and Yuan correlation with CAD on the chart. Trade issues obvious on the Aussie and Yuan. Opportunity maybe with AUD/CAD on the good employment numbers yesterday. Action shows more up at the moment. 9440 price, and time with extension. {image} {image} {image}
AC holds buyers from employment numbers and breaks for upper. Taken some and Profit target above obvious with further extensions possible above trend.
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  • #12,531
  • Sep 18, 2018 1:32am Sep 18, 2018 1:32am
UJ some thoughts with the completion of a daily range. This area has strong selling July.
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  • #12,532
  • Sep 18, 2018 2:13am Sep 18, 2018 2:13am
Quoting squawk
{quote} AC holds buyers from employment numbers and breaks for upper. Taken some and Profit target above obvious with further extensions possible above trend. {image} {image}
Nice short term reaction. Some taken and stops set.
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  • #12,533
  • Sep 18, 2018 5:56am Sep 18, 2018 5:56am
GU
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  • #12,534
  • Sep 18, 2018 3:38pm Sep 18, 2018 3:38pm
Gold/Shanghai Index/AUD and Yuan. All dollar related but will be interesting to see if one jumps a reversal ahead of others.

Important factor 10Y strong action overnight. Surprised opposite effect on the risk model. Gold/Yen and S&P Low Vol and push higher.

My thoughts are a break above 3.10 will force a repositioning of assets. We will see but break of 3.10 and S&P running to 3000 will be interesting if it comes. I think 10Y is starting to show possible inflation expectations in a full blown trade war.
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  • #12,535
  • Sep 18, 2018 3:45pm Sep 18, 2018 3:45pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Nice short term reaction. Some taken and stops set. {image} {image} {image}
Got some here and then taken out BE for other half with push higher. Trade is coming in Yen and still important zone waiting for action.
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  • #12,536
  • Sep 18, 2018 3:53pm Sep 18, 2018 3:53pm
Of the subject here but I am watching Uranium, which is just starting to give a backside signal and possible bottom (longer term).
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  • #12,537
  • Sep 18, 2018 6:20pm Sep 18, 2018 6:20pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Got some here and then taken out BE for other half with push higher. Trade is coming in Yen and still important zone waiting for action. {image} {image} {image}
Been thinking maybe here and GJ has ab cd and shark
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  • #12,538
  • Sep 18, 2018 10:49pm Sep 18, 2018 10:49pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Been thinking maybe here and GJ has ab cd and shark {image}
I think theres some main sellers there. GJ has good setup. Longer term feels Cable is higher to me with break of the longer term wedge.
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  • #12,539
  • Sep 19, 2018 6:06am Sep 19, 2018 6:06am
Quoting chess king
EURAUD a small one... {image}
done
  • #12,540
  • Sep 19, 2018 8:39am Sep 19, 2018 8:39am
AU
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