Exotics (USD/TRY, USD/ZAR, USD/MXN, and others) | Page 34 | Forex Factory

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Exotics (USD/TRY, USD/ZAR, USD/MXN, and others)

  • #661
  • Sep 9, 2018 11:20pm Sep 9, 2018 11:20pm
Quoting 2dollardog
usdZAR bought 15.3045
Leave it till Friday, Will go up lot ,
  • #662
  • Sep 9, 2018 11:45pm Sep 9, 2018 11:45pm
Dollar up Support held.
  • #663
  • Sep 10, 2018 1:31am Sep 10, 2018 1:31am
Quoting 2dollardog
usdZAR bought 15.3045
stopped
  • #664
  • Sep 10, 2018 1:32am Sep 10, 2018 1:32am
Quoting 2dollardog
Dollar up Support held.
obliterated
  • #665
  • Sep 10, 2018 2:59am Sep 10, 2018 2:59am
A heads up - this week the CBRT will be announcing its trade decision, so expect a lot of volatility on USD/TRY.
  • #666
  • Sep 10, 2018 6:22am Sep 10, 2018 6:22am
Hi All,

Wondered in anyone can offer some words of wisdom, im wondering what is actually lending support to ZAR at the moment? (currenctly sitting wrong side of a short ZAR/JPY trade) .. mass sell off of EM, political turmoil, trump, gold down, technical recession... the only thing i can think off is that out off all ems, they have the best fx reserves.

Jack
  • #667
  • Edited 8:29am Sep 10, 2018 7:26am | Edited 8:29am
Quoting Jackparker
Hi All, Wondered in anyone can offer some words of wisdom, im wondering what is actually lending support to ZAR at the moment? (currenctly sitting wrong side of a short ZAR/JPY trade) .. mass sell off of EM, political turmoil, trump, gold down, technical recession... the only thing i can think off is that out off all ems, they have the best fx reserves. Jack
Hi Jack,

welcome to thread

I m asking just for clarification..

Are you long or short in ZARJPY ?what is your entry price?

EUR and GBP are up before CB meetings of those currencies in this week and also due to good news about Brexit..that provided some positiveness and USD down pressure overall that caused Zar strenght a bit..also considering huge up in last two weeks this is a normal consolidation I think and may last for a few days more..but, we should keep in mind that overall trend (weekly, monthly) is short ZARJPY long USDZAR..

i have short bias of Rand and Lira in medium&long term.. but up movement may not so direct up, it might be very choppy (in daily timeframe)..because, i think USD Index might drop in following months..I also think that EURUSD will be higher (expectation of US interest hike decreases while EU may start to reduce easy monetray policeis in 2019, also Trump effect) and USDJPY will be lower (problems in EM countries and possible Trump tariffs to Japan looks JPY positive to me) in following months (i may add charts later)..so, if this happen, even there are tremendous problems wth Rand and Lira, uptrend of those EM currencies (USD/EM) can be choppy, since lower USD index will provide temporary supports..

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...6#post11442316
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #668
  • Sep 10, 2018 3:47pm Sep 10, 2018 3:47pm
Quoting Jackparker
Hi All, Wondered in anyone can offer some words of wisdom, im wondering what is actually lending support to ZAR at the moment? (currenctly sitting wrong side of a short ZAR/JPY trade) .. mass sell off of EM, political turmoil, trump, gold down, technical recession... the only thing i can think off is that out off all ems, they have the best fx reserves. Jack
my brokers do not have zar/jpy , could you post the chart on here so we can see and we might be able to help
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  • #669
  • Sep 10, 2018 7:42pm Sep 10, 2018 7:42pm
Afternoon Young Aussi,
Pepperstone have this pair.
R
Ronnie Renko
  • #670
  • Sep 10, 2018 7:48pm Sep 10, 2018 7:48pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ZARJPYH4.png Size: 56 KB
Ronnie Renko
  • #671
  • Sep 10, 2018 8:47pm Sep 10, 2018 8:47pm
Quoting Ced74
Afternoon Young Aussi, Pepperstone have this pair. R
yep mate , how are you mate nice day except for the gale
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  • #672
  • Edited Sep 11, 2018 12:14am Sep 10, 2018 10:39pm | Edited Sep 11, 2018 12:14am
USDZAR & USDTRY

4H charts look bearish to me..we may visit MA supports below which are 6.35 in UsdTry and 15.06 in UsdZar..

I sold UsdTry at 6.47..1/1 leverage..see how

Edit: closed +90 pips my short..little profit..UsdZar has reached almost to 50MA at 15.06..lol i chose wrong one anyway i got what i aim today from EU long..now time to sleep..all the best you guys
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 20180911_083515.jpg Size: 193 KB
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #673
  • Sep 11, 2018 3:32am Sep 11, 2018 3:32am
Time listed is UCT-5 (Central Standard Time/Chicago)

usdMXN
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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usdZAR
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Never forget. Never Forgive.
Attached Image


I am always in a bad mood on this day. Trade safe today.
  • #674
  • Sep 11, 2018 3:36am Sep 11, 2018 3:36am
Quoting 2dollardog
Time listed is UCT-5 (Central Standard Time/Chicago) usdMXN {image} usdZAR {image} Never forget. Never Forgive. {image} I am always in a bad mood on this day. Trade safe today.
I hear you, Buddy. Stay safe and keep well.
  • #675
  • Sep 11, 2018 6:35am Sep 11, 2018 6:35am
usdZAR bought 15.1850 tech sig
  • #676
  • Sep 11, 2018 2:36pm Sep 11, 2018 2:36pm
Quoting blackwinter
USDZAR & USDTRY 4H charts look bearish to me..we may visit MA supports below which are 6.35 in UsdTry and 15.06 in UsdZar.. I sold UsdTry at 6.47..1/1 leverage..see how Edit: closed +90 pips my short..little profit..UsdZar has reached almost to 50MA at 15.06..lol i chose wrong one anyway i got what i aim today from EU long..now time to sleep..all the best you guys {image} {image}
USDZAR & USDTRY

Daily and 4h charts look still bearish to me in USDTRY and USDZAR...

CB interest rate decision on Thursday for Lira..most likely there will be significant rate hike this time..so, visiting 6.35 / 6.30 is very likely..

UsdZar is below 4h 50MA..also, daily candle looks very bearish..so, i think we will see 15.00 and probably some further down on Wednesday..until daily bullish candle close, it is bearish for me..to go long, it is better to wait daily candle like 28 august daily candle..
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #677
  • Sep 11, 2018 3:33pm Sep 11, 2018 3:33pm
USDTRY

there is a unusual volume in USDTRY now..in this time, it is strange..last two 15 minutes candle volumes are more than Farnkfurt London open time volume..very unusual..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #678
  • Sep 11, 2018 4:25pm Sep 11, 2018 4:25pm
Quoting blackwinter
USDTRY there is a unusual volume in USDTRY now..in this time, it is strange..last two 15 minutes candle volumes are more than Farnkfurt London open time volume..very unusual..
may be a spike going to happen ???????
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  • #679
  • Sep 11, 2018 4:37pm Sep 11, 2018 4:37pm
Quoting Aussi
{quote} may be a spike going to happen ???????
yes.. it may broke strongly to one way..hope down first.. i sold some at 6.427, though not a good time for selling..

volumes of last six 15m candles are more or same with those 15m candles in Frankfurt/London open..

somebody either selling a lot or buying a lot..so far, balance continue..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #680
  • Sep 11, 2018 4:46pm Sep 11, 2018 4:46pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} yes.. it may broke strongly to one way..hope down first.. i sold some at 6.427, though not a good time for selling.. volumes of last six 15m candles are more or same with those 15m candles in Frankfurt/London open.. somebody either selling a lot or buying a lot..so far, balance continue..
i have put a few sell limits up high so we see what it does mate

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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