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EURUSD

  • #1,143,381
  • Edited 2:27pm Sep 7, 2018 1:59pm | Edited 2:27pm
My analysis for the next movement.

For the Bears

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: palpite.png Size: 30 KB



-----------------------------------------------
Or for the Bulls, i have this.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: palpite1.png Size: 30 KB
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,143,382
  • Sep 7, 2018 4:55pm Sep 7, 2018 4:55pm
Strong US dollar sent Eur/Usd further down to 1.155 level, the pair's upside is limited to 1.165 level, on the downside, extend decline only can be confirmed if there is break below the support level at 1.1520/25.
  • #1,143,383
  • Sep 7, 2018 11:49pm Sep 7, 2018 11:49pm
Quoting csc2009
Strong US dollar sent Eur/Usd further down to 1.155 level, the pair's upside is limited to 1.165 level, on the downside, extend decline only can be confirmed if there is break below the support level at 1.1520/25.
Yes, you are right. The market can do this too.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: palpite.png Size: 70 KB
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: na
  • #1,143,384
  • Sep 8, 2018 4:11am Sep 8, 2018 4:11am
Quoting csc2009
Strong US dollar sent Eur/Usd further down to 1.155 level, the pair's upside is limited to 1.165 level, on the downside, extend decline only can be confirmed if there is break below the support level at 1.1520/25.
Agree with you on the support level.

And I want to share my analysis.. just to give another point of view.

[Monthly & Weekly View]

1. Monthly & Weekly Chart => bearish.. see purple trendline below. So the big wave is still downtrend.
2. There is a Weekly support around 1.1400

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 47 KB


[Daily View]

1. There is a Daily support around 1.152
2. Potentially forming Head and Shoulders pattern, also Descending Triangle if breaks down this Daily support.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 65 KB


3. Potentially price could:
(i) bounce off Daily support and go back into Descending Triangle range before breaks down and test Weekly support.
(ii) immediately breaks down Daily support and test Weekly support.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot3.png Size: 43 KB


Note: if price then continue to breaks down Weekly support then potentially it will close the Gap and test Monthly support around 1.05-1.03 level. (see 2nd image), but of course this will take weeks if not months.
  • #1,143,385
  • Edited 9:21am Sep 8, 2018 8:56am | Edited 9:21am
trades from 07.09.2018
loss/profit today (HF20+25+35+45+55+65)=245 Pip
range of this "wave" about 1.2090 - 1.1220 (I am not a waver)
filled/ordered today @ / @
time edited = MESZ = GMT+2
Swing filled
[email protected] tp 1.1490
long @1.1685 tp 1.1711
long @1.1674 tp 1.1790
long @ 1.1665 tp 1.1744
long @1.1629 tp 1.1668
long @1.1578 tp 1.2030
[email protected] tp 1.1395
[email protected] tp 1.1300
[email protected] tp 1.1300
[email protected] tp 1.1310
[email protected] tp 1.1326

pending
short@1.2030 tp open
short@1.1920 tp open
short@1.1880 tp open
[email protected] tp 1.1220
short@1.1740 tp 1.1611
long @1.1600 tp open
long @1.1515 tp open
long @1.1500 tp open
long @1.1485 tp open
long @1.1470 tp 1.1500
long @1.1455 tp1.1570
long @1.1433 tp open
long @1.1395 tp1.1880
long @1.1352 tp1.1920
long @1.1300 tp1.1785
long @1.1216 tp1.2030

Wish everyone independence, helpful collaboration - reach target

this week
exceptionally good - I do not get that often
03.09.18 0 Pip
04.09.18 472 Pip
05.09.18 255 Pip
06.09.18 49 Pip
07.09.18 245 Pip / 1.021 Pips per week
  • #1,143,386
  • Edited 9:11am Sep 8, 2018 8:57am | Edited 9:11am
Remember
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...1#post11343801
maybe we are on the way from 3 to 4
after bottom 1.1500 / 1.1400 it is possible to go up once more up to 1.19/1.20+

Between 1.1600 and 1.1500/1.1400 I expect a longer period with repeated oscillations.
So I intend to trade high sequences there. Filled @ / @
Since this assumption does not have to occur, I ask you to be very careful.
I list these trades in order to remain transparent. As soon (I am often absent from PC) as they go into profit, I repeat the number of trade unless I expect a longer trend change. The some weeks ago started daily trading list will continue to exist, if that is of interest.

trades from 07.09.18
short
1. @1.1630 tp 1.1530
2. @1.1630 tp 1.1540 90Pip 04:09. 16:00/
3. @1.1630 tp 1.1550 80Pip 04:09. 15:14/
4. @1.1630 tp 1.1560 70Pip 04:09. 10:56/65Pip 07.09.
5. @1.1630 tp 1.1570 60Pip 04:09. 10:06/55Pip 07.09.
6. @1.1630 tp 1.1580 50Pip 04.09. 08:56/45 Pip 07.09..
7. @1.1630 tp 1.1590 40Pip 31.08. 20:10/35Pip 07.09.
8. @1.1630 tp 1.1600 30Pip 31.08.17:46/25Pip 07.09.
9. @1.1630 tp 1.1610 20Pip 31.08.17:20/15Pip 05.09. 20:04/14Pip 06.09. 19:32/20Pip 07.09.

long
19.@1.1600 tp 1.1630 30Pip 05.09. 20:04/
20.@1.1590 tp 1.1620 30Pip 03. 09.09:43/ 30Pip 05.09. 20:04/
21.@1.1580 tp 1.1610 30Pip 05.09. 20:04/
22.@1.1570 tp 1.1600 30Pip 05.09. 08:27/30Pip 05.09. 20:04/
23.@1.1560 tp 1.1590 30Pip 05.09. 08:27/30Pip 05.09. 11:38/
24.@1.1550 tp 1.1580 30Pip 04.09. 19:55/30Pip 05.09. 11:20/
[email protected] tp 1.1570 30Pip 04.09. 19:55/
[email protected] tp 1.1560

If you are interested in this projection - please be very carefully.
  • #1,143,387
  • Sep 8, 2018 9:04am Sep 8, 2018 9:04am
box worked well
EU H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,143,388
  • Sep 8, 2018 9:09am Sep 8, 2018 9:09am
continue bottom play till mature , spikes up & down to kill time ok, specially up to minimise bear rather real bull to carryout . Take the monthly bottom shadow as target, risky game indeed . a last leg down may to extend towards 1.1500/1474/44 or so before correction up try in the present wave down , no ended apparently. take care , fontu
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 39 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 36 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDMonthly.png Size: 31 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,143,389
  • Sep 8, 2018 11:33am Sep 8, 2018 11:33am
I did not change my opinion in euro its still the same. I am still outside the market waiting for it to break 1.1530 so I can BUY

my pending orders are waiting for euro at 1.1500 & 1.1490 & 1.1470 & 1.1450 with SL @ 1.1300

TARGET 1.19xx to 1.2xxx

I think euro will make the bottom on Monday 1 or 2 hours before NY start

good luck everyone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #1,143,390
  • Sep 8, 2018 12:11pm Sep 8, 2018 12:11pm
Quoting msniper
I did not change my opinion in euro its still the same. I am still outside the market waiting for it to break 1.1530 so I can BUY my pending orders are waiting for euro at 1.1500 & 1.1490 & 1.1470 & 1.1450 with SL @ 1.1300 TARGET 1.19xx to 1.2xxx I think euro will make the bottom on Monday 1 or 2 hours before NY start good luck everyone {image}
exactly my opinion..1.1300 is the last bottom for 2018 ...if 1.1600 come first i take small short to 1.1480 if 1.1480 come first next week i take long for 500pips target...
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #1,143,391
  • Sep 8, 2018 3:49pm Sep 8, 2018 3:49pm
Quoting donfriday
{quote} exactly my opinion..1.1300 is the last bottom for 2018 ...if 1.1600 come first i take small short to 1.1480 if 1.1480 come first next week i take long for 500pips target...
  • #1,143,392
  • Sep 9, 2018 3:26pm Sep 9, 2018 3:26pm
Here's my take on the EURUSD, from a technical perspective.

Last week, I expected the EURUSD market to experience a strong bearish move because of the bearish pinbar which printed around a support zone on the weekly time frame two weeks ago.
On the daily time frame, price action is operating within a small triangular consolidation (magenta). The candlestick patterns in the preceding price action sequences, basically a down trend, indicate that we may likely have a southward break of the triangle. I am bearish EURUSD.


I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_D1_Sept._9,_2018.png Size: 46 KB
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,143,393
  • Sep 9, 2018 3:36pm Sep 9, 2018 3:36pm
EU D1 is ready to side ways pattern
so H4 is pretty good to go down
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture3.JPG Size: 160 KB
Profit growth tells you the trader ability.
  • #1,143,394
  • Sep 9, 2018 3:45pm Sep 9, 2018 3:45pm
According to my broker, weekly PP at 1.1581 and daily PP at 1.1585. Weekly MP at 1.1595.

I'll watch PA around that general area for possible intraday short. Will have a looksie perhaps 1-2 hours before LO...
A snails pace wins the race :-)
  • #1,143,395
  • Sep 9, 2018 4:05pm Sep 9, 2018 4:05pm
Quoting KeenPips
Here's my take on the EURUSD, from a technical perspective. Last week, I expected the EURUSD market to experience a strong bearish move because of the bearish pinbar which printed around a support zone on the weekly time frame two weeks ago. On the daily time frame, price action is operating within a small triangular consolidation (magenta). The candlestick patterns in the preceding price action sequences, basically a down trend, indicate that we may likely have a southward break of the triangle. I am bearish EURUSD. I may be wrong. Trade safe and...
what is your bearish target ? are you talking about scalping or short term or mid term ? your bearish view is to break 1.13 ?
  • #1,143,396
  • Sep 9, 2018 4:23pm Sep 9, 2018 4:23pm
I am a short-term swing trader. I have an open position already and will look to add to the position at a significant area of value.

KP

Quoting msniper
{quote} what is your bearish target ? are you talking about scalping or short term or mid term ? your bearish view is to break 1.13 ?
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,143,397
  • Sep 9, 2018 4:30pm Sep 9, 2018 4:30pm
Quoting KeenPips
I am a short-term swing trader. I have an open position already and will look to add to the position at a significant area of value. KP {quote}
what is your target ?
  • #1,143,398
  • Sep 9, 2018 4:40pm Sep 9, 2018 4:40pm
i added euro long here at 1.1554 ...T1 1.1970 T2 1.2300 ... Stop 1.1440
  • #1,143,399
  • Sep 9, 2018 4:49pm Sep 9, 2018 4:49pm
Just like What I said.
D1 side ways, downtrend at the moment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture3.JPG Size: 320 KB
Profit growth tells you the trader ability.
  • #1,143,400
  • Edited Sep 10, 2018 12:32pm Sep 9, 2018 5:05pm | Edited Sep 10, 2018 12:32pm
loss/profit today (HF75+100+85+30+25+30+30+30+30)=435 Pip
range of this "wave" about 1.2090 - 1.1220 (I am not a waver)
filled/ordered today @ / @
time edited = MESZ = GMT+2
Swing filled
[email protected] tp 1.1490
long @1.1685 tp 1.1711
long @1.1674 tp 1.1790
long @ 1.1665 tp 1.1744
long @1.1629 tp 1.1668
long @1.1578 tp 1.2030
short@1.1597 tp 1.1495 (edit 19:32)
[email protected] tp 1.1395
[email protected] tp 1.1300
[email protected] tp 1.1300
[email protected] tp 1.1310
[email protected] tp 1.1326

pending
short@1.2030 tp open
[email protected] tp open
[email protected] tp open
[email protected] tp 1.1220
[email protected] tp 1.1611
long @1.1600 tp open
long @1.1515 tp open
long @1.1500 tp open
long @1.1485 tp open
long @1.1470 tp 1.1500
long @1.1455 tp1.1570
long @1.1433 tp open
long @1.1395 tp1.1880
long @1.1352 tp1.1920
long @1.1300 tp1.1785
long @1.1216 tp1.2030
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