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  • #1,143,121
  • Sep 3, 2018 2:41am Sep 3, 2018 2:41am
prices stopped at 1594 to the way down last Friday(which previously had a huge bull spike from there).....looking at the 60m this is still a bull....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,122
  • Sep 3, 2018 2:55am Sep 3, 2018 2:55am
EU H1
jumped to Pivot / 38,2%
expect down? not sure
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU_H1.JPG Size: 241 KB
  • #1,143,123
  • Sep 3, 2018 2:57am Sep 3, 2018 2:57am
I donīt see this as a bull yet... wouldnīt be surprised to see price to stall between 1.1630 & 1.1640 for a test lower to 1.160, maybe even lower to 1.1570 the 38.2% fib lvl [Aug 15 - Aug 28]
  • #1,143,124
  • Sep 3, 2018 3:47am Sep 3, 2018 3:47am
Quoting TudorIoan
My Intraday Outlook. (ahead London) Intraday resistance : - 1.1622 {image}
1622 nice intraday resistance ...I would have closed my long there but I was chopped and I need more pips, more Lot volume to recover...
Member
  • #1,143,125
  • Sep 3, 2018 3:58am Sep 3, 2018 3:58am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} Hello Jon, could you please send me a link for your underlying? (kind of option?) I have never traded options, binaries only. So I with interest see your trades every day but not fully understood. all the best for vacation
Hi Isabella, Just arrived from vacation . Regarding your question, I do not trade options I use options expiry information to understand and predict price movement.

Here are 2 links that describe how to use options expiry information:

https://forexlive.com/education/!/ho...ation-20131008

https://forexlive.com/education/!/fo...-them-20161116

Hope that helps.
  • #1,143,126
  • Sep 3, 2018 4:02am Sep 3, 2018 4:02am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} 1622 nice intraday resistance ...I would have closed my long there but I was chopped and I need more pips, more Lot volume to recover...
agree
EU H4
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU_H4.JPG Size: 131 KB
  • #1,143,127
  • Sep 3, 2018 4:08am Sep 3, 2018 4:08am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} Hi Isabella, Just arrived from vacation . Regarding your question, I do not trade options I use options expiry information to understand and predict price movement. Here are 2 links that describe how to use options expiry information: https://forexlive.com/education/!/ho...ation-20131008 https://forexlive.com/education/!/fo...-them-20161116 Hope that helps.
Oh thanks - you have noticed after such a long time - I will read your info in the afternoon with great interest.
Hope your holiday was wonderfull
  • #1,143,128
  • Sep 3, 2018 4:44am Sep 3, 2018 4:44am
once EU close 1h candle below 1.1597 the bear will have control and they may target between 1.1560 to 1.1530 but for my I will never go short and also am not gonna close my long from 1.1590 as my plan is to keep adding long positions while its going down and build a nice average long. because shorting is not safe as euro bulls may attack any moment when they wish
  • #1,143,129
  • Sep 3, 2018 5:52am Sep 3, 2018 5:52am
Quoting msniper
once EU close 1h candle below 1.1597 the bear will have control and they may target between 1.1560 to 1.1530 but for my I will never go short and also am not gonna close my long from 1.1590 as my plan is to keep adding long positions while its going down and build a nice average long. because shorting is not safe as euro bulls may attack any moment when they wish
expect not more about 1.1650 today
  • #1,143,130
  • Sep 3, 2018 5:55am Sep 3, 2018 5:55am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} expect not more about 1.1650 today
Yes indeed shorts from 1.1640 -50 .
  • #1,143,131
  • Edited 6:51am Sep 3, 2018 6:37am | Edited 6:51am
bulls can start here again......but It is not clear.....I am flat....I was long.....covered at BE...as with AU....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,132
  • Sep 3, 2018 6:53am Sep 3, 2018 6:53am
Quoting ZenNy
bulls can start here again......but It is not clear.....I am flat.
Bulls have the best chances I'd say... but only after enough of SLs would have been hunted down
Not funny for me anymore, no profit envisaged now, break even will do
Member
  • #1,143,133
  • Sep 3, 2018 6:58am Sep 3, 2018 6:58am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Bulls have the best chances I'd say... but only after enough of SLs would have been hunted down Not funny for me anymore, no profit envisaged now, break even will do
when is not clear I suggest we stay out.....I trade only when is clear.....

when I entered my long it was clear to me, then the condition shifted...so I had not reasons to stay in ( it does not matter if I was right or not) ......we do not know what will happened next but we can weighted in details conditions and strength and use TA to get in and out....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,134
  • Sep 3, 2018 7:27am Sep 3, 2018 7:27am
Quoting ZenNy
{quote} when is not clear I suggest we stay out.....I trade only when is clear..... when I entered my long it was clear to me, then the condition shifted...so I had not reasons to stay in ( it does not matter if I was right or not) ......we do not know what will happened next but we can weighted in details conditions and strength and use TA to get in and out....
Well, that's the "business" I have chosen, to speculate on intraday range breakouts
I am aware that the risk is to get chopped as soon as the price goes sideways or it gets whippy...
I use a simple technique to progressively increase the lot size and calculate margin (ESMA currently -50%) to hold like 10-15 SLs...
But after few SLs is not that much fun anymore
...but I stay out only ahead big events like NFP and FOMC
Member
  • #1,143,135
  • Sep 3, 2018 7:31am Sep 3, 2018 7:31am
The Euro is holding up today, probably we'll see more to the upside this week.
  • #1,143,136
  • Sep 3, 2018 7:57am Sep 3, 2018 7:57am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Well, that's the "business" I have chosen, to speculate on intraday range breakouts I am aware that the risk is to get chopped as soon as the price goes sideways or it gets whippy... I use a simple technique to progressively increase the lot size and calculate margin (ESMA currently -50%) to hold like 10-15 SLs... But after few SLs is not that much fun anymore ...but I stay out only ahead big events like NFP and FOMC
I understand.

Be aware that patters can misguide you and can confuse anybody.....the variable of a pattern can be numerous......it can break or can fail and a failure also fails and so on..... patterns are valuable to pin point entries and exits (with setup you are most comfortable with, being a BO, a BOPB, a DTBF or anything) but only once you have weighted market conditions and the underlying strength.......If we rely only on patterns we will lose.
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,137
  • Edited 8:21am Sep 3, 2018 8:08am | Edited 8:21am
https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=815911

dont forget
till wednesday UCAD will come up for unclear outcome of negotiation, also China export taxes relieve the Dollar.

So I expect further down for EURUSD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU_H1.JPG Size: 191 KB
  • #1,143,138
  • Sep 3, 2018 8:09am Sep 3, 2018 8:09am
Quoting ZenNy
Sorry no Eu Chart. GA Sterling gapped down.....was watching this pair for a while...slowly was building a rising wedge (reversal pattern).....looking for an opportunity at a technical level ..... See ya at LO {image}
Took 60 pips out of this.....I could have done much better.....very slow to get in (the inconvenience to trade many instruments, cooking stuffed artichokes and the puppy moaning wanted to go for a walk in the park......) and quick to get out (fear) before my initial technical target was reached.....always something to learn.....never ends....juice.

I am long AJ and does not look good....but I am done for the day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ga.png Size: 14 KB
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,143,139
  • Sep 3, 2018 8:12am Sep 3, 2018 8:12am
Quoting ZenNy
{quote} I understand. Be aware that patters can misguide you and can confuse anybody.....the variable of a pattern can be numerous......it can break or can fail and a failure also fails and so on..... patterns are valuable to pin point entries and exits (with setup you are most comfortable with, being a BO, a BOPB, a DTBF or anything) but only once you have weighted market conditions and the underlying strength.......If we rely only on patterns we will lose.
Right. I don't rely only on patts. I just add them to other arguments when building my setup.
Member
  • #1,143,140
  • Sep 3, 2018 8:14am Sep 3, 2018 8:14am
I would feel comfortable if I could sell at 116.40 ~

In any case I have pending shorts at 115.8990

Have a green month all

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