The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!

Ok Fractal

Have some questions in your GU

Prices went up due to the DM short in A. That is pretty clear.
BUT what is the situation now? the DM bias is low in B, is that right?

As prices are close to the cloud C, would u say the price will continue up? OR as there are more interesting MT stops in D will they go down?

you said the second histograms is older positions of DM. What are the histograms in F?

Thanks

Very nice presentation and with great questions.

May I offer my 2 cents: Yes this chart also has me somewhat confused. Lots of reason to take out those stops at C but USD is very strong at the moment. GBP Retail Sales m/m Thursday which could confirm the bias. My guess is those stops at D and beyond after a short visit to the C area but no higher than 1.2800 according to FF's video "Pre-Run-Counter Principle and Time & Range Principle" Looking at my Daily chart I also see plenty of unfinished business at around 1.2000. Like FF says, SM don't rush anything.

I too look forward to FF's answer.

Agree davidman, time and range principal...SM I would think will string this along with no large up/down movement until either more biased DM comes in or a news release so they can do what they want.
There is a well defined ST range established and C is within (mostly) that upper range.
JM2C

I take profits on my long GU.......

yes, still more STS above.......but I took enough out of that one...

EU M15:

EJ M15:

"They all only enrich themselves, at the costs of us...."

Yes.

FF

"
Hi FF..nice sharing..
If u don't mind can u share for USDJPY for both M15 and H4?
Thanks"

Welcome...here:

UJ M15:

"Agree davidman, time and range principal...SM I would think will string this along with no large up/down movement until either more biased DM comes in or a news release so they can do what they want.
There is a well defined ST range established and C is within (mostly) that upper range."

YES.

WELL DONE.

CIQ at 68!

STya safe,
FF

"
As prices are close to the cloud C, would u say the price will continue up? OR as there are more interesting MT stops in D will they go down?
you said the second histograms is older positions of DM. What are the histograms in F?"


Bascially yes,

it was not difficult to take some pips out of the market:

DM shorties..................their many STS above as a nice cloud................this after the price came down heavily over weeks...


so the long GU trade was a "breather trade" back into the range, taking out the shorties who try to enter "late" and who placed tight stops.

SM loves these scenarios.


regarding histograms,

the first one is current, the second historical,
the third current, the fourth historical.


FF

"Like FF says, SM don't rush anything."

Yes.

Especially if they can do "normal" inner range moves and can clean out some shorties by doing that.

Biz as usual.

YES, pre-run counter principle:

poll ends today:

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=768090

EU M15:

Wer reitet so spät durch Nacht und Wind?
Es ist der Vater mit seinem Kind.
Er hat den Knaben wohl in dem Arm,
Er faßt ihn sicher, er hält ihn warm.

2. Mein Sohn, was birgst du so bang dein Gesicht?
Siehst Vater, du den Erlkönig nicht!
Den Erlenkönig mit Kron' und Schweif?
Mein Sohn, es ist ein Nebelstreif.

3. Du liebes Kind, komm geh' mit mir!
Gar schöne Spiele, spiel ich mit dir,
Manch bunte Blumen sind an dem Strand,
Meine Mutter hat manch gülden Gewand.

4. Mein Vater, mein Vater, und hörest du nicht,
Was Erlenkönig mir leise verspricht?
Sei ruhig, bleibe ruhig, mein Kind,
In dürren Blättern säuselt der Wind.

5. Willst feiner Knabe du mit mir geh'n?
Meine Töchter sollen dich warten schön,
Meine Töchter führen den nächtlichen Reihn
Und wiegen und tanzen und singen dich ein.

6. Mein Vater, mein Vater, und siehst du nicht dort
Erlkönigs Töchter am düsteren Ort?
Mein Sohn, mein Sohn, ich seh'es genau:
Es scheinen die alten Weiden so grau.

7. Ich lieb dich, mich reizt deine schöne Gestalt,
Und bist du nicht willig, so brauch ich Gewalt!
Mein Vater, mein Vater, jetzt faßt er mich an,
Erlkönig hat mir ein Leids getan.

8. Dem Vater grauset's, er reitet geschwind,
Er hält in den Armen das ächzende Kind,
Erreicht den Hof mit Mühe und Not,
In seinen Armen das Kind war tot.

Johann Wolfgang von Goethe 1749-1832

Forex, a Fiebertraum until the arrival of FF.
Next a Hafez maybe..

"Next a Hafez maybe.. "


;-)

EJ M15: