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  • #1,142,401
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:30am Aug 10, 2018 5:30am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} {quote} Would you swing that baby down to 1.0500 dips ?
no
because I think 1.1300 is enough. In my opinion $ will very, very slowly but at least lose power. If China sells its Treasuries furthermore, if tradewar against all will overshoot, if more countries will denominate goods in other foreign exchange (Oil, Gold ..., ) if all love Trump because he plays with his grandchildren ...

Of course arguments for weak EUR are vehement
main argument:I like EUR
  • #1,142,402
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:37am Aug 10, 2018 5:37am
C'mon guys, stop dramatizing, it's just 105 pips daily drop in a summer time low liquidity environment. Probably just Draghi's attempt to lower euro rate as a warning to Trump that EU can hurt US exporters too, if it wants to. Nothing to write home about. Some very strong weekly support ahead. Now, if EUR/USD price breaks 1.3500-1.4000 support area, we might be in for some deeper correction. Price is testing weekly 100 SMA right now.

I'm more worried that all major stock markets turned red just because some obscure ECB warning. It says a lot about current sentiment. Investors have become very itchy. What will happen when some really troubling news hits us? Parity?
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  • #1,142,403
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:42am Aug 10, 2018 5:42am
Quoting Tom81
C'mon guys, stop dramatizing, it's just 105 pips daily drop in a summer time low liquidity environment. Probably just Draghi's attempt to lower euro rate as a warning to Trump that EU can hurt US exporters too, if it wants to. Nothing to write home about. Some very strong weekly support ahead. Now, if EUR/USD price breaks 1.3500-1.4000 support area, we might be in for some deeper correction. Price is testing weekly 100 SMA right now. I'm more worried that all major stock markets turned red just because some obscure ECB warning. It says a lot about...
Last conference i saw Draghi in, he said 'we will not raise interest rates until at least summer 2019'...translation: safe to sell euro until at least summer 2019. At least that's what i got out of it. And it makes sense...who wants to buy and hold euro for a long time with negative swap?
  • #1,142,404
  • Edited 6:37am Aug 10, 2018 5:49am | Edited 6:37am
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post11354594

find better hedge. Otherwise Swap will eat your money
first hedge short @1.1466 / tp now 1.1460 done
second @1.1479 / tp open
  • #1,142,405
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:52am Aug 10, 2018 5:52am
Quoting Isabella_D
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post11354594 find better hedge. Otherwise Swap will eat your money first hedge short @1.1466 / tp now 1.1460 second @1.1479 / tp open
Unless you sell all the time. I suspect the negative swap is also why almost all the bullish moves in the last few months were really fast compared to the slow and steady, trend friendly, declines.
  • #1,142,406
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:53am Aug 10, 2018 5:53am
It would appear price action has shown everyone that their beliefs of what the market shall do isn't factored in. Trendlines are particularly dangerous because people move tf once trend lines are hit.
Judge me based on % return
  • #1,142,407
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:53am Aug 10, 2018 5:53am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} no because I think 1.1300 is enough. In my opinion $ will very, very slowly but at least lose power. If China sells its Treasuries furthermore, if tradewar against all will overshoot, if more countries will denominate goods in other foreign exchange (Oil, Gold ..., ) if all love Trump because he plays with his grandchildren ... Of course arguments for weak EUR are vehement main argument:I like EUR
hihihi, ok, I tried

I guess China stores the US Treasuries planning to destroy the US empire when the time is right,
they won't waste ammo just because Fkface von Clownstick is getting furious time to time...

I don't really expect to see 1.0500, but addicted companies' MBA "slaves" might get contaminate by obsessive rutine patterns... who knows?

Intraday trading it's crazy on that choppy chart ... I congratulate myself staying out after that noisy south-spike

I love EUR myself, but I'd sell it fkn off to the bottom with no remorse, no superstition like it would hit me back...good one!
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  • #1,142,408
  • Aug 10, 2018 5:57am Aug 10, 2018 5:57am
Quoting FookMe
It would appear price action has shown everyone that their beliefs of what the market shall do isn't factored in. Trendlines are particularly dangerous because people move tf once trend lines are hit.
Maybe you give too much credit to PA ...trendlines use to work just fine
Member
  • #1,142,409
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:01am Aug 10, 2018 6:01am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} Unless you sell all the time. I suspect the negative swap is also why almost all the bullish moves in the last few months were really fast compared to the slow and steady, trend friendly, declines.
Yes, swap from Long really hurts. I have already considered building a short strategy - but its against my nature. I love up
  • #1,142,410
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:22am Aug 10, 2018 6:22am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} Yes, swap from Long really hurts. I have already considered building a short strategy - but its against my nature. I love up
I also love up,but mine account size.

  • #1,142,411
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:26am Aug 10, 2018 6:26am
Post-spike mess...
Ok... good luck!
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  • #1,142,412
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:28am Aug 10, 2018 6:28am
[quote=TudorIoan;11354846]{quote} hihihi, ok, I tried ...

You tried 1,05? ???
  • #1,142,413
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:31am Aug 10, 2018 6:31am
Quoting Isabella_D11354963
TudorIoan;11354846{quote} hihihi, ok, I tried ... You tried 1,05? ???
Just like this, but it was too "wet"...
Staying out, keep my feet dry
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  • #1,142,414
  • Edited 6:44am Aug 10, 2018 6:33am | Edited 6:44am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} Last conference i saw Draghi in, he said 'we will not raise interest rates until at least summer 2019'...translation: safe to sell euro until at least summer 2019. At least that's what i got out of it. And it makes sense...who wants to buy and hold euro for a long time with negative swap?
I'm not holding any position for more than a week. Who knows where price might go. Sure there is divergence between ECB and FED interest rate policies, but inflation might surprise Draghi to change his plans. I take no info for granted in fiat currency world. It's all a game.
  • #1,142,415
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:49am Aug 10, 2018 6:49am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Just like this, but it was too "wet"... Staying out, keep my feet dry {image}
this one ???
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  • #1,142,416
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:53am Aug 10, 2018 6:53am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} this one ??? {image}
Better than some others...
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  • #1,142,417
  • Aug 10, 2018 6:59am Aug 10, 2018 6:59am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} Better than some others... {image}
It s long ago?
I read your daily posts but could not find such apocalypse
  • #1,142,418
  • Aug 10, 2018 7:07am Aug 10, 2018 7:07am
Quoting Isabella_D
{quote} It s long ago? I read your daily posts but could not find such apocalypse
Never been there actually ...never even busted a demo account
I'm doing quite fine, but our buddy, Mr. EUR ...it doesn't look good so far
Member
  • #1,142,419
  • Aug 10, 2018 7:10am Aug 10, 2018 7:10am
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post11354823

my short is better now / in addition (for equity) +++ / one must
its a hard thing to start new trend
  • #1,142,420
  • Aug 10, 2018 7:11am Aug 10, 2018 7:11am
Quoting Isabella_D11355139
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post11354823 my short is better now / in addition +++ / one must its a hard thing to start new trend
...and it looks like the bears are hungry again
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