The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed! | Page 175 | Forex Factory

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The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!

  • #3,481
  • Jul 3, 2018 5:29am Jul 3, 2018 5:29am
Market CAUSALITY is for me PERSONALLY as close as you can get to the "holy grail".

Just REMEMBER:

WE will NEVER be on the same level as the SSM.

They STILL have a speed, execution, transaction cost advantage.

But trading profitably is good enough for many. ;-)

Stay safe.

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #3,482
  • Jul 3, 2018 5:31am Jul 3, 2018 5:31am
All coincidence, isn't it?

All the live shots.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

Beware the BROKER & SM HENCHMEN!

They do NOT want you to know all THIS!

I am their WORST NIGHTMARE!

They want you to LOSE, they want you to CHURN, they want the MONEY on your ACCOUNT!

DO NOT make the RICH RICHER!

FF
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www.sme-fx.com
  • #3,483
  • Jul 3, 2018 5:33am Jul 3, 2018 5:33am
They try to invent all kinds of reasons why I should stop, including some REALLY RIDICULOUS ones, such as my thread would not be a trading journal.

What a JOKE!

It was reddecember who moved it here!

Then they argue I would "spam" my own thread?

Are you kidding me?

By giving live UPDATES?

They just try to find STH. to make this here STOP.

Be careful and do your best to PROTECT my WORK here!

FF
www.sme-fx.com
  • #3,484
  • Jul 3, 2018 5:59am Jul 3, 2018 5:59am
Fractal Freak,
I am more of a lurker than a poster, however I feel compelled to thank you for all your hard work.
Please remember people are takers and think of themselves, with that in mind, you should as pointed out look after yourself also.

People of your calibre are rare and universally misunderstood.

Stay safe
  • #3,485
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:05am Jul 3, 2018 6:05am
Quoting FractalFreak
do your best to PROTECT my WORK here! FF
FractalFreak has been temporarily suspended...again. wtf?
  • #3,486
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:07am Jul 3, 2018 6:07am
Quoting vwap
{quote} FractalFreak has been temporarily suspended...again. wtf?
What a lovely forum this is........
Was slipping off the edge but i held up.
  • #3,487
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:08am Jul 3, 2018 6:08am
Quoting vwap
{quote} FractalFreak has been temporarily suspended...again. wtf?
What??? Forex factory what an utter DISGRACE.
  • #3,488
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:26am Jul 3, 2018 6:26am
Quoting vwap
{quote} FractalFreak has been temporarily suspended...again. wtf?
It shows that the sharks are everywhere, including here. Maybe they own here too. But thank God for FractalFreaks's work.
  • #3,489
  • Jul 3, 2018 6:51am Jul 3, 2018 6:51am
Quoting pamc
{quote} What??? Forex factory what an utter DISGRACE.
Wow our hero is no longer suspended. But i guess FF's suspending button is either auto or hacked
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  • #3,490
  • Jul 3, 2018 7:33am Jul 3, 2018 7:33am
SM money is not licking what FF is doing...hes giving people a way to defend themselves. Im afraid SM attacks on FF will increase as the thread gets more popular. This knowledge is worth gold bars, incredible how it helped my trading. TY FF I will never be able to repay you for this, all I can say is thank you from the bottom of my heart.
  • #3,491
  • Jul 3, 2018 7:55am Jul 3, 2018 7:55am
Hi FF !

From my point of view as I understand until now your intention is to show us why
prices change and you explained it very clear.
So with that knowledge it should be possible to anticipate price direction without knowing the exact stop levels
because now we have the reason for that activity.

Thanks again !
  • #3,492
  • Jul 3, 2018 8:45am Jul 3, 2018 8:45am
Welcome Back FractalFreak,

If you don't mind please could I ask you to comment on this post please when you have time? If you do not want to expand on it I understand also.

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post11224014
  • #3,493
  • Jul 3, 2018 10:07am Jul 3, 2018 10:07am
Quoting FractalFreak
" 1) Scalp few pips in the drection of the prevailing trend (towards stops, towards fakeouts, towards spikes etc). This is my preferred style of automation that jives well with my personality as I like to stack and get aggressive when timing is in my favor Unfortunately, this means larger stop loss (I use equity stops) or inverse risk reward, faster profit taking, slower/bigger loss taking, faster and awesome looking balance curve and equity curve with bigger than normal equity drops hoping to come ahead in the end of my accounting period...weekly...
Thanks for the detailed response. I can go into such deep dives as it is the best way to learn. Still unclear on the entry trigger. Exits are Crystal clear so perhaps include both entries and exits in your videos or screenshots would be nice....keeping in mind that you won't be around for ever and readers have to figure out only two things about trading....Entry and Exit. Your style requires so many analytical variables so I would question how much consistency could be achieved with executions..which is always on my mind when deciding on a trade setup to enter. Can I Rinse and Repeat? When and how often? These are all the parameters that make or break traders when they try to pick a system that does not go well with their life style. That can never work imo.

I clearly understand the need to NOT have robust entry rules for obvious reasons. I completely get that and expecting those openly from you is only going to hurt progress, I just don't like the "It Depends" type phrases in my trading plan. Either I know it or I don't. It has to be Crystal clear without any thought process involved once experience is gained to do this for the next 2 decades without burning out! At the end of the day, knowledge is good, understanding is great but EXXECUTION IS KING! Figuring out what works for the traders personality is a decade long exercise. Believe me....trading style has to work with who you are as an individual. If not, you will be system hopping every few years either making money and bored to death or not making money and feeding your intellectual curiosity by trying out new things that do not work.

I rather make less for next 2 decades than waste time on a strategy that can only work for some time....just my 2 cents.
Staying in my lane...
  • #3,494
  • Jul 3, 2018 10:38am Jul 3, 2018 10:38am
Quoting FractalFreak
" 1) Scalp few pips in the drection of the prevailing trend (towards stops, towards fakeouts, towards spikes etc). This is my preferred style of automation that jives well with my personality as I like to stack and get aggressive when timing is in my favor Unfortunately, this means larger stop loss (I use equity stops) or inverse risk reward, faster profit taking, slower/bigger loss taking, faster and awesome looking balance curve and equity curve with bigger than normal equity drops hoping to come ahead in the end of my accounting period...weekly...
I have done significant research on reverse engineering in the field of software engineering. In fact, I started my career in the late 80's redesigning mainframe based based apps over to client/server apps and then from C/S to web based n-tier architectures. Everything can be hacked. Every action by human can be automated, every algo can be mimic'd and counter mimic'd in my experience. With enough determination, all this is doable. There are many visible and hidden signatures in the market but I would agree on what you said about using statistical based approach with entries.

With that said, it appears you are a manual trader or at least advocating to be a descretionary trader based on your knowledge and research of the markets. Am I correct in saying that?

Your 3 scale-in position entries....are you not worried that such scale in type entries could be easily deciphered into replicating your thought process and for SMs to take counter measures. I always felt scaling in to be a noob game of announcing your intentions for the counterparties to crush you in this game. Agree?

I also feel, what you are sharing cannot be taught to anyone to become a successful trader without the level of required experience and screentime. Agree? If you do, what is the required minimum experience (duration of failure in months/yrs/blown accounts) before they can truly become trade savvy. The way I see it, the success rate will be very tiny just like with any other professional relationship between mentor and mentee. This is mainly for others as I am also old and wrinkled. I get frustrated just taking screenshots and drawing like es on charts so definitely I am not your ideal psychological profile lol

Can a automated algo be developed by you to beat the SMs in "retail" space based on your own knowledge?
Staying in my lane...
  • #3,495
  • Jul 3, 2018 11:00am Jul 3, 2018 11:00am
I can say for my self having 8 1/2 years of trading experience this has helped me immensely thanks again fractalfreak
  • #3,496
  • Edited 12:35pm Jul 3, 2018 11:21am | Edited 12:35pm
Quoting VEEFX
{quote} I have done significant research on reverse engineering in the field of software engineering. In fact, I started my career in the late 80's redesigning mainframe based based apps over to client/server apps and then from C/S to web based n-tier architectures. Everything can be hacked. Every action by human can be automated, every algo can be mimic'd and counter mimic'd in my experience. With enough determination, all this is doable. There are many visible and hidden signatures in the market but I would agree on what you said about using statistical...
Also, in your fractal research, have you come across a "mandelbrot set" equivalent in price movements? This could be a "recursive pattern" that appears repeatedly in MTF fashion. Traditionally, folks search for price patterns in history on a linear scale which is the wrong way to address fractals imo. A price pattern without regard to time is just not enough (I am sure many will disagree by saying Time means nothing" etc). What I am asking is have you or any famous guru looked into the mandlebrot set just in time series irrespective of price patterns.? Hard to explain this shit but feel you understand where I am going with this....and I am not talking just the standard timeframes we see in MT4. We normally cover price over time but rarely cover "time over price"...atleast I have not come across anyone do the way I do with recursively scan ning of the times and then look for trend phases collusion and/or confluence. I think CrucialPoint also does something similar by going tick to M1+ via his indicators to find thrust resulting in divergence. Same or similar concept but at a bigger/grandeur scale in regards to the volume of data involved

Edit: Interesting to see him use -1 in his formula and I also base all my calculations every minute. He goes top down and I am going bottom up at the close of each minute. He goes top down to draw the set...I go bottom up to 'find' the set. Unfortunately, I am forced to limit to only 62 recursives in single threaded crapT4 due to the sheer computing power required to crunch all the numbers across 28 pairs. Perhaps just like there is a correction between Mandlebrot and Fibonacci sequence (in the tentacles), there is something on the time sequence to explore as a research project for a one pair solution that I would need to move out of retail into futures.... Sorry, just rambling my thoughts. I am sure I can't be the first to be thinking about going this way. Anyone done this?
Staying in my lane...
  • #3,497
  • Jul 4, 2018 12:50am Jul 4, 2018 12:50am
Quoting vwap
{quote} I filled short(s) at 0.737942
Hmmmmm. Very interesting. Wonder if there were some DM Shorties SL up even higher? Possible.

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  • #3,498
  • Jul 4, 2018 1:50am Jul 4, 2018 1:50am
Quoting vwap
{quote} Hmmmmm. Very interesting. Wonder if there were some DM Shorties SL up even higher? Possible. {image}
Every time frame has its own clear DM SL levels worth taking into consideration. The trick there is knowing if they are juicy enough to prioritize for the SM to go after them. FF helps in that respect by posting charts of 4 hr and sometimes daily charts.
  • #3,499
  • Jul 4, 2018 2:29am Jul 4, 2018 2:29am
Quoting pamc
{quote} Every time frame has its own clear DM SL levels worth taking into consideration. The trick there is knowing if they are juicy enough to prioritize for the SM to go after them. FF helps in that respect by posting charts of 4 hr and sometimes daily charts.
Good point, interesting thanks pamc will research further upper timeframe chart dynamics. I did see a few things on the upper timeframes which made me think, hmmm this time around something a little different could potentially occur, due to this/these previous factor(s) occurring and therefore the chance of these other factors, I mean, like a 'cause and effect' type situation in this market. And then you questioned previously 'are the DM longs still in and the SM seems to be tolerating them' also, which is a good point to investigate. 'Are the SL juicy enough to prioritize'......got me thinking now.
  • #3,500
  • Jul 4, 2018 3:08am Jul 4, 2018 3:08am
Quoting vwap
{quote} Good point, interesting thanks pamc will research further upper timeframe chart dynamics. I did see a few things on the upper timeframes which made me think, hmmm this time around something a little different could potentially occur, due to this/these previous factor(s) occurring and therefore the chance of these other factors, I mean, like a 'cause and effect' type situation in this market. And then you questioned previously 'are the DM longs still in and the SM seems to be tolerating them' also, which is a good point to investigate. 'Are...

note that AUD USD also had several supposedly 'low to medium' news announcements with slightly better than expected at 1.30am GMT3, at precisely the 15mins candle that went and tested the high (your phishing) so there we have 'plausibility' for the opportunistic rise to take out shorts sl within relatively close range. On the 4 hr chart to the left on 25.06.18 at 00.00 GMT3 was the previous peak at .74424. That was not too far from this mornings high so why not stretch a bit further above that high's SLs? Probably because most have trailed SL lower to say .74227 area prior and were taken out there, or just not juicy enough. I note that on MFXB current AU sentiment is long with positions pretty close to current price. We all know what happens next dont we?
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