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  • #921
  • Jun 28, 2018 12:45am Jun 28, 2018 12:45am
No movement on usdtry despite dollar breakout. Banks aren't interested, at least in his hour. Focusing on eurusd scalping. I bring that up because: Remember that Wyckoff analysis on DXY? The eurusd was exact mirror (opposite),channel and all.

Post all you like, blackwinter. I'll read it all. Maybe I'll get learnt enough to ask questions. ha
  • #922
  • Edited 2:39am Jun 28, 2018 2:02am | Edited 2:39am
Quoting blackwinter
i just bought some usd/try at 4.623 after swap time..see how..
closed all positions at 4.646..even it looks more up, i didnt want to more stres and exit with profit..it was 1/10 leverage..approx. %5 profit..not bad haa

i wish you guys good earnings today

edit: luckily i have exited, after london open somebody selling hard usd/try..

edit 2: in 15m timeframes it seems, eur and gbp turning up from supports..and usd index around resistances, see how things develop until US Final GDP data today..

edit 3: usd/try is now bearish in 15 m chart..be careful
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #923
  • Jun 28, 2018 2:36am Jun 28, 2018 2:36am
Yeah, looks like USD and EURTRY are pointing down. I managed to make $44 on a long. Big money.
  • #924
  • Edited 4:03am Jun 28, 2018 2:40am | Edited 4:03am
I just shorted usdtry @ 4.6135 She's below the 200ma at the moment. I'll scalp, but if she's closes below the 200ma via h4? Dunno! Maybe I'll hold.

Remembered the calendar and took small profit.
  • #925
  • Jun 28, 2018 2:40am Jun 28, 2018 2:40am
usd/try is now bearish in 15 m chart..be careful.. it is approaching 4h 200 MA below at 4.595..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #926
  • Jun 28, 2018 2:51am Jun 28, 2018 2:51am
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again it went up added sells and down she went its at support now but the 30 min candle cut passed it and bounced back a bit sell here also , we see where it goes
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  • #927
  • Jun 28, 2018 3:00am Jun 28, 2018 3:00am
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  • #928
  • Jun 28, 2018 4:14am Jun 28, 2018 4:14am
i still see the down side but price action says a up for a short while i could be wrong and have been wrong before so i have a sell here i will wait to see what happens
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  • #929
  • Jun 28, 2018 4:58am Jun 28, 2018 4:58am
You're probably right.
  • #930
  • Jun 28, 2018 5:07am Jun 28, 2018 5:07am
Your support is in confluence with the 200ma via H4. It needs to make up it's mind. ha
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  • #931
  • Jun 28, 2018 5:46am Jun 28, 2018 5:46am
BOOM She did it, below 4.6
  • #932
  • Jun 28, 2018 6:59am Jun 28, 2018 6:59am
Turkey's Key Media Group to Be Sold to pro-Erdogan Business Fox 6 News
Eyes are on Key Seats as Government Shapes New System Hurriyet
Turkey's Construction Costs Surge in April Ahval
Turkey's Economy Minister to US: Up Yours (emphasis mine) Far News Agency
Turkish Economy Confidence Lowest in 18 Months Ahval
World Bank: 1.2bn Loan to Turkey for Natural Gas Storage Facility
  • #933
  • Jun 28, 2018 4:17pm Jun 28, 2018 4:17pm
on the 30 min try now sitting on my 0 fib have some old sells with heavy swaps so i will not add sells until we all see moverment
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  • #934
  • Edited 7:34pm Jun 28, 2018 7:05pm | Edited 7:34pm
Quoting blackwinter
{quote} We have ended the day almost at same price in usd/try..despite awesome Usd index rise today usd/try didn't rise at all, just in midday we have visited 1h 50 MA at 4.6550 and dropped back.. also considering yesterday's bearish close in daily, we haven't gone below significantly, barely it has touched to 4h 200 MA at below ard 4.5920 and bounce back.. so, when looking daily, 4h ,1h charts at the end of day, i think, bearish movement doesn't have much momentum..and considering Us index rise, decrease of global stocks and other risks of Try,...
ok..Usd/Try is closed today under 4h 200 MA..

when we look at daily chart..it looks quite bearish..we may visit Monday low ( 4.5350) tomorrow after a bit up movement..4h 200 MA (around 4.6015 now) and 1h 50 MA (around 4.6140 now) are resistances above...

i noticed usd/try make up movement usually after frankfurt open (also Turkish banks open)..it lasts a few hours at most (today it lasted just until london open).. then afternoon usually it goes down.. i noticed this pattern at recent weeks.. do you agree guys in this observaiton ?? i wonder your opinions.. so, tomorrow selling usd/try from high can be a good strategy..but we should be careful..fundamentals and technicals contradicts now in usd/try..as you know i have a bullish bias in this pair..shorts will be handled carefully..i m burned last month when shorting after last interest rate increase.. i was ecpecting to go 4.40 but didnt happen and suddenly up to the sky

lastly, Bist 100 index is rising slowly and it is supporting Lira and indicating post election optimism lasts.. it may touch to Monday high soon...then we see what happen ??
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: usd try 4h - end of 28 june.jpg Size: 393 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd try 1h - end of 28 june.jpg Size: 420 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: bist 100 daily-endof28june.jpg Size: 116 KB
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #935
  • Edited 7:29pm Jun 28, 2018 7:11pm | Edited 7:29pm
i would like to share you guys some other charts today.. you may find these useful..

Eur/Usd is at Monthly 50 MA and after 2 days strong drop, it is closed up today..it may reverse to higher tom..

Gbp/Usd is at Weekly 100 MA.. after 3 days strong drop, it may turn up tomorrom..

USD index is around Weekly 200 MA..after 2 strong up and 1 day almost doji, it may drop tomorrow..

Gbp/Jpy has visited today Weekly 100 MA around 143.70 and bounce up to 144.50 ..and daily candlestick has a nice pin after 2 days drop..it may reverse higher tomorrow..

of course, all these also implies that Usd/Try may drop further tomrrow..

make your own anlaysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..

all the best

note 1: don't forget that even some pull back may happen tomorrow, all these pairs will continue with their main trend at next weeks..

note 2: tomorrow is last day of week and month..

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur usd monthly - end of 28 june.jpg Size: 398 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gbp usd weekly end of 28 june.jpg Size: 370 KB
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Click to Enlarge Name: usd index monthly - end of 28 june.jpg Size: 372 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usd index weekly - end of 28 june.jpg Size: 377 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbp jpy daily-endof28june.jpg Size: 391 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gbp jpy weekly-endof28june.jpg Size: 372 KB
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
  • #936
  • Jun 28, 2018 8:46pm Jun 28, 2018 8:46pm
""""i noticed usd/try make up movement usually after frankfurt open (also Turkish banks open)..it lasts a few hours at most (today it lasted just until london open).. then afternoon usually it goes down.. i noticed this pattern at recent weeks.. do you agree guys in this observaiton ?? """


yes it does a lot , but not allways its about now i start looking for shorts if a movement up it , i just had a small up so i have a sell now at this point thank you for all the information mate
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  • #937
  • Jun 28, 2018 8:54pm Jun 28, 2018 8:54pm
Quoting blackwinter
i would like to share you guys some other charts today.. you may find these useful.. Eur/Usd is at Monthly 50 MA and after 2 days strong drop, it is closed up today..it may reverse to higher tom.. Gbp/Usd is at Weekly 100 MA.. after 3 days strong drop, it may turn up tomorrom.. USD index is around Weekly 200 MA..after 2 strong up and 1 day almost doji, it may drop tomorrow.. Gbp/Jpy has visited today Weekly 100 MA around 143.70 and bounce up to 144.50 ..and daily candlestick has a nice pin after 2 days drop..it may reverse higher tomorrow.. of course,...

thanks again Blackwinter , this information for me and new traders is invaluable
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  • #938
  • Jun 28, 2018 8:56pm Jun 28, 2018 8:56pm
Quoting 2dollardog
Turkey's Key Media Group to Be Sold to pro-Erdogan Business Fox 6 News Eyes are on Key Seats as Government Shapes New System Hurriyet Turkey's Construction Costs Surge in April Ahval Turkey's Economy Minister to US: Up Yours (emphasis mine) Far News Agency Turkish Economy Confidence Lowest in 18 Months Ahval World Bank: 1.2bn Loan to Turkey for Natural Gas Storage Facility
and you 2dollardog also need a pat on the back for your effort in helping traders with your news
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  • #939
  • Jun 28, 2018 9:36pm Jun 28, 2018 9:36pm
Frankfurt open sets the high of the day starting with this hour. If you're not bullish usdtry at Frankfurt open be very careful. It's not always bullish, but usually That's my trade setup. I enjoy this pair so much I do more now.
  • #940
  • Jun 28, 2018 9:54pm Jun 28, 2018 9:54pm
Quoting Aussi
{quote} thanks again Blackwinter , this information for me and new traders is invaluable
you re welcome Aussi

eur and gbp spike up already.. probably these caused that.. https://twitter.com/eucopresident/st...24650017017856
when technical setup is ready, usually some news emerge from somewhere..

i closed my long gbp/jpy at 144.73 from 144.54..it is a bit early but %1 profit is ok..i can buy again if retreats..

now usd/try short after frankfurt open seems more attractive if not drop earlier..
make your own analysis and decisions..just giving some perspective..
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