The only thread you will ever need: FX Exposed!

Great video, The counter moves they make to let traders put there stops closer makes a lot of sense.
I never could figure it out and most often would chicken out off the trade and they would continue the way i expected the would.
This is why BO strategy's are doomed to fail they just widen the swing pick up all BO traders, hitting there stops and move on.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EU...-ITS-NOT-SAFE/


FF, whats your take on this article.
regards

STS is clear out for uchf?

"Great video, The counter moves they make to let traders put there stops closer makes a lot of sense.
I never could figure it out and most often would chicken out off the trade and they would continue the way i expected the would."


Welcome brother.

It is these kind of insights I want this collective brain to have.

CIQ 47.

"FF, whats your take on this article.
regards"

Hi pamc,

I will now comment on some of the points made in that article; for you.

FF

Great video on the different stop levels! Am looking forward to putting this all together.

"Stop hunting is not illegal its just a strategy that makes profit for those who trade it which would be the Hedge Funds, Centre Banks, Institution"

That feels to simplistic to me.

"The market players are no different than that of a poker player trying to get lower traders out of the game and having more buyers come on board. "

Similar. What about price-moving abilities?

"If they dont hit these stops which are the sellers then the momentum will fail and the price will drop as more sellers come on board and they will exit their positions because their strategy has failed."

Not necessarily (see vids for the "why").


"If they succeed by stopping out all of the sellers, the buyers come on board hence the market continues upwards."

Not necessarily, but there is a certain H4 dynamic that is relevant here.


"In time we may see these traders push the market further in anticipation to get the traders with stops at a higher level."

Again, too simplistic!
Beware of the "Anti-learning principle". This one is valid for human traders and systems alike. SM varies the price action a lot, in order to prevent any "learning".

"If price at a high structure point pushes up fast then drops dramatically this indicates they were trying to get these stops and failed and the Bears have won the battle"

NO. He believes in the "supply and demand fairy tale". I may soon make a video on "fake SR". That should clear things up.


Overall, this looks to me like a poker player tried to have a go at trading.
Most views are too simplistic.
As Einstein said, make the model as simple as possible, but not simpler.
Still, I appreciate the effort.

FF

"Great video on the different stop levels! Am looking forward to putting this all together."

You are welcome.

FF

...After a long time not posting on forex factory anymore, I really casually (well, being a strong believer of Cause/Effect I am just now wondering If this really casually...) cane accross this thread 2 days ago.

It is not that easy to digest 40 pages as a not full time trader, even harder If the content is of this Level.

Hut Ab, Sir.
You are showing very important concepts.

Being a genuinely passionated trader (meaning the Journey of it, not the results), I would really like to know about the steps, your steps, that brought You to this point, but fully respecting the rules of post #1 I won't ask.

I want to Thank You for getting my interest too, beside all the other positive people here, willing to do the homeworks as a pleasure and honour, instead of seeing it as a resistance.

I Unfortunately have short available time for that (now writing from a smartphone in an hotel during a business trip..) so I Apologize If I could be a slower student, but in full humilty I am enjoying the words and videos Here.

My trading includes a big portion of Your concepts.
I agree 100% with your view and guess that my gains are just within the DM tollerance, knowing that in order to let ppl believe in any given Strategy, that MUST be allowed to be profitable from time to time.
My theory is that Algos are programmed for that too.
That's the scalping "edge" that I use, but am glad to may invest time and energy in learning more.

From what I saw in your videos I got some "theories.
They can be of course wrong (I am long over the need to show up or of being "right" or "wrong").

The first was that your young age weighted with the kind of Knowledge that You are demonstrating to have, is a sign of a person deserving my Respect.

The second was that the mixture of your very good english accent and of your perfect German could tell me that even German is not your "only" mother language.
Am I wrong ?

BTW, I wish that getting deeper in your Sight of the Market would be as easy as to find out your name.
Doing the homeworks that was the easiest answer to get

The third one was (confirmed from your last great video) was that there is a kind of "Fractal" priority in the Algo.
Nothing to do with timeframes, but as a result of several dinamic

...dinamic factors... (Sorry guys, hard to use a phone for this... I posted too early and dont know how to edit from the phone), as : volume of the stop cloud, distance, timeframe of the stops (lts, mts, sts), volume of entering DM shorts/longs during the move to the stops...and much more
Time, Psychology and so on.
So Thank You for this work.

I hope you will continue.
No matter what your reason of doing it is.
Whatever it is, would be FULLY correct and to be respected.

Nobody, in the whole Trading Universe, is forced to do anything against his/her will.

Danke sehr.

"Hut Ab, Sir.
You are showing very important concepts."

Dank Dir.

FF

"The second was that the mixture of your very good english accent and of your perfect German could tell me that even German is not your "only" mother language.
Am I wrong ? "


Thank you,
German is my mother-tongue.
I am German / Iranian.

FF

" kind of "Fractal" priority in the Algo"


Well, let me put it this way;

YES,
markets are fractal, as is the universe. I recommend Mandelbrot's book "Fractal Finance".

However, what dominates in general is the manipulation itself as shown. When it comes to trading implementation,

the knowledge of fractality in finance may not always be of direct use.

Mandelbot showed how a "multi fractal model of returns" had good chances of predicting the price VOLATILITY quite well, for what it is worth.

Also, his model incorporates "fat tails" as opposed to the CAPM.

In all humbleness, above all, the ACTUAL market structure as shown here is the reason why the price will go up or down next.

But on an academic level, Mandelbrot has found GROUND-breaking results and was even able to "simulate" prices with a "fractal generator".

I better stop here. I do not plan to go back to academia anytime soon.

Stay safe.

FF

"I hope you will continue.
No matter what your reason of doing it is."

Thank you,
alles Gute.

FF

Absens haeres non erit.

FF

...often present people too...
Lol

Haha, someone finally released some information on the Algo and Smart Money. Everyone I've found to know anything about this stuff has been self-taught, I must say, you've learned about it incredibly well, especially with that 'indicator' you've made, never seen it so well laid out and simple to read. Thanks alot for sharing more and more with everyone.

I've been watching your youtube vids for over a year, wouldnt have guessed that was you. I would give everything and all my time to learn more directly from you if you'd be interested.

Thanks.