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EURUSD only

  • #19,541
  • Apr 22, 2018 12:39pm Apr 22, 2018 12:39pm
Quoting SmartErisa
that said most retail traders are not winners in forex business, so we might open a position opposite to their position. -when they start open buy position at top, we should open sell position. -when they start open sell position at bottom, we should open buy position. based on statistics that I observed the change in position of retail traders began to happen when their movement already reached -/+ 10%. see chart below, I apply the theory in eurusd. how do you think? {image}
hello sir can you share this indicator so i can try.

thanks
  • #19,542
  • Apr 22, 2018 1:29pm Apr 22, 2018 1:29pm
Quick Daily Outlook

  1. On Friday, bears broke out of small triangle. Bulls might try to retest breakout level first. 1.2298 and if higher then also 1.2340 are potential areas to short.
  2. 1.2242 area is also potential area where bears would want to break through. If it breaks 1.2213 would be next nearest support level.
  3. My bias is bearish but in the next 5 to 10 days 1.2400 area might get retested one last time before it goes down deeper.

Wishing you all good luck for the new week.

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #19,543
  • Apr 22, 2018 2:25pm Apr 22, 2018 2:25pm
Pre market is 1.2272.
Let's see...but ladt red week suggests to sell mostly.
Risky buys.

Monday news. Thursday Draghi.
Correction Wednesday.

Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #19,544
  • Apr 22, 2018 2:52pm Apr 22, 2018 2:52pm
Speculators continue to sell the dollar. According to the latest CFTC data, the volume of their net short position in U.S. currency reached $28.2 billion (+$1 billion) a week before April 17, which is a record since 2011. The main changes in positioning have occurred within the framework of the trends that have developed in recent weeks.

The volume of net long in the Euro rose to a new historic high of $23.4 billion, slightly higher than the end of January.

Net long position on the pound increased by $449 million (speculators opened new purchases and sales), but the decline in the British currency in the second half of last week, probably prompted bulls to close part of the fresh long.

Positioning in the loonie has undergone minimal changes. In recent weeks, speculators were in no hurry to buy the canadian dollar, despite the growth of its rate, and now bears can again start to sell actively.

During the reporting period, the speculators sold aussi quite actively, but it is worth noting that since the end of last year, the positioning in it is quite neutral. Therefore, it is too early to say whether the growth of bearish sentiment is a harbinger of the beginning of the downtrend.

Speculative positioning in the franc and the yen has hardly changed.

The net long position in the Mexican peso remains high by historical standards.
Attached Image
  • #19,545
  • Apr 22, 2018 3:57pm Apr 22, 2018 3:57pm
This Plenov guy above

Wait for Ata to see

The net long position in the Mexican peso remains high by historical standards.!!!!!!!!!



Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #19,546
  • Apr 22, 2018 4:51pm Apr 22, 2018 4:51pm
Quoting Plenov
Speculators continue to sell the dollar. According to the latest CFTC data, the volume of their net short position in U.S. currency reached $28.2 billion (+$1 billion) a week before April 17, which is a record since 2011. The main changes in positioning have occurred within the framework of the trends that have developed in recent weeks. The volume of net long in the Euro rose to a new historic high of $23.4 billion, slightly higher than the end of January. Net long position on the pound increased by $449 million (speculators opened new purchases...

What?!? LOL.. What?
  • #19,547
  • Apr 22, 2018 10:29pm Apr 22, 2018 10:29pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
This Plenov guy above Wait for Ata to see The net long position in the Mexican peso remains high by historical standards.!!!!!!!!! 
blind copy paste

the safe way is to link to the article and talk about euro lol
  • #19,548
  • Edited 11:14pm Apr 22, 2018 11:03pm | Edited 11:14pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
This Plenov guy above Wait for Ata to see The net long position in the Mexican peso remains high by historical standards.!!!!!!!!! 
Well, the MXN is a ccy linked with the USD ...and the USD is linked with the EUR/USD, an indirect correlation
Ok, just kiddin', ...Ata, tally ho! lol

Quoting Plenov
Speculators continue to sell the dollar. According to the latest CFTC data, the volume of their net short position in U.S. currency reached $28.2 billion (+$1 billion) a week before April 17, which is a record since 2011. The main changes in positioning have occurred within the framework of the trends that have developed in recent weeks. The volume of net long in the Euro rose to a new historic high of $23.4 billion, slightly higher than the end of January. Net long position on the pound increased by $449 million (speculators opened new purchases...
Nice job, bud! But is there any short version of all that fundamental stuff? And BTW, some of us we're reading lots of fundie crap, but we are not just copy it, ...we would appreciate a personal view. Thanks
Member
  • #19,549
  • Apr 22, 2018 11:44pm Apr 22, 2018 11:44pm
i want to short eu but not at current prices, a bit higher, then i will dive in with big lots, weekly is toast
  • #19,550
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:44am Apr 23, 2018 12:44am
My Intraday Outlook.
(ahead London)

Big data week.
If Donnie Trump stays quiet, I'd say consolidation until US data and ECB press conference...

Intraday resistance:
- 1.2300
- 1.2315 strong (the Weekly+Monthly Pivots)
Intraday support:
- 1.2265 (Weekly_Mid)
- 1.2250; 1.2236...

My Intraday Trading: Play range. Bought and sold 2271 (opposite positions) and I'll close first one at any S/R and let the other run to some pull back...

Have a good trading day, you all!
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  • #19,551
  • Apr 23, 2018 12:53am Apr 23, 2018 12:53am
  •  jmmn
  • | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Learning while making money... | 647 Posts
Quoting Plenov
Speculators continue to sell the dollar. According to the latest CFTC data, the volume of their net short position in U.S. currency reached $28.2 billion (+$1 billion) a week before April 17, which is a record since 2011. The main changes in positioning have occurred within the framework of the trends that have developed in recent weeks. The volume of net long in the Euro rose to a new historic high of $23.4 billion, slightly higher than the end of January. Net long position on the pound increased by $449 million (speculators opened new purchases...

Where did you get that data from, Plenov?


The most recent COT report (April 17) shows this, very different from what you show.
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  • #19,552
  • Apr 23, 2018 1:06am Apr 23, 2018 1:06am
EUR/USD bearish if:
- no political breaking news
- US data beats (first quarter advanced GDP on Friday!)
- US 10 year closer to 3%
- EU keeps the dovish tone started by Weidmann(cautious comments), Bundesbank(first quarter in Germany was dull), Draghi(euro-area growth may have peaked...)
- Eurozone PMIs, the German IFO report and German labor market numbers bad?
- ECB is not ready to signal the end of QE and no hike perspective hints

...we can see even 1.2100 this week
Attached Image
Member
  • #19,553
  • Apr 23, 2018 1:17am Apr 23, 2018 1:17am
Quoting jmmn
{quote} Where did you get that data from, Plenov? The most recent COT report (April 17) shows this, very different from what you show. {image}
stolen from under my cot lol

going long on eu with a 2310 tp
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  • #19,554
  • Apr 23, 2018 1:20am Apr 23, 2018 1:20am
Quoting TudorIoan
EUR/USD bearish if: - no political breaking news - US data beats (first quarter advanced GDP on Friday!) - US 10 year closer to 3% - EU keeps the dovish tone started by Weidmann(cautious comments), Bundesbank(first quarter in Germany was dull), Draghi(euro-area growth may have peaked...) - Eurozone PMIs, the German IFO report and German labor market numbers bad? - ECB is not ready to signal the end of QE and no hike perspective hints ...we can see even 1.2100 this week {image}
a rubber band gets back into position before stretching again, it does not keep stretching infinitely

look for areas of small retraces to short again, right now it needs to retrace a bit badly
  • #19,555
  • Apr 23, 2018 1:24am Apr 23, 2018 1:24am
Quoting TudorIoan
EUR/USD bearish if: - no political breaking news - US data beats (first quarter advanced GDP on Friday!) - US 10 year closer to 3% - EU keeps the dovish tone started by Weidmann(cautious comments), Bundesbank(first quarter in Germany was dull), Draghi(euro-area growth may have peaked...) - Eurozone PMIs, the German IFO report and German labor market numbers bad? - ECB is not ready to signal the end of QE and no hike perspective hints ...we can see even 1.2100 this week {image}
one more

last week we drop was visible on h4 macd divergence

now look at weekly macd ....... ROTFLMAO
  • #19,556
  • Apr 23, 2018 1:57am Apr 23, 2018 1:57am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} one more last week we drop was visible on h4 macd divergence now look at weekly macd ....... ROTFLMAO
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} a rubber band gets back into position before stretching again, it does not keep stretching infinitely look for areas of small retraces to short again, right now it needs to retrace a bit badly
What the hell are you talking about? Who said retracements/pull backs are excluded on the way?
One more, ...if MACD divergences would be accurate any dumb fool would easily make a fortune!
Member
  • #19,557
  • Apr 23, 2018 2:02am Apr 23, 2018 2:02am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} {quote} What the hell are you talking about? Who said retracements/pull backs are excluded on the way? One more, ...if MACD divergences would be accurate any dumb fool would easily make a fortune!
so you agree i am a dumb fool making money
  • #19,558
  • Apr 23, 2018 2:17am Apr 23, 2018 2:17am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} so you agree i am a dumb fool making money consistently
No, you don't make money at all. You are too idiot
You show too much of a loser, a troll, hater, defiant, frustrated... you're suffering too much like you're sick or you lost too much
I bet you're not even able to get a job at MacDonalds
But relax, you will lose much more and you need all your strengths to resist!
Member
  • #19,559
  • Apr 23, 2018 2:25am Apr 23, 2018 2:25am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} No, you don't make money at all. You are too idiot ...you need all your strengths to resist!
Now now T.
We're friends here, and PatienceFx has the patience quality already


relax ✌

1.2295-2310-2325 sell points?
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #19,560
  • Apr 23, 2018 2:29am Apr 23, 2018 2:29am
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Now now T. We're friends here, and PatienceFx has the patience quality already relax ✌ 1.2295-2310-2325 sell points?
Ok, let's sell. It looks like the fake bull almost done
Peace!
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