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  • #11,641
  • Apr 5, 2018 5:24am Apr 5, 2018 5:24am
Interesting chart, Libor and the overnight Indexed swap spread versus dollar index.
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  • #11,642
  • Apr 5, 2018 5:29am Apr 5, 2018 5:29am
Spread looks likely to move higher. With the Fed shrinking the 4.4 trillion balance sheet then you would think the competition between banks for fewer funds will only drive short-term higher.
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  • #11,643
  • Apr 5, 2018 6:30am Apr 5, 2018 6:30am
Quoting squawk
Interesting chart, Libor and the overnight Indexed swap spread versus dollar index. {image}
Squawk,

When you get a chance, could you please explain the significance of the chart...

Thanks
  • #11,644
  • Apr 5, 2018 7:17am Apr 5, 2018 7:17am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Some EC, larger sharkish nice too..... {image}
Hit GC look similar have confluence post larger to see ab cd
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  • #11,645
  • Apr 5, 2018 7:23am Apr 5, 2018 7:23am
AN all the rage, think I have posted before see if they can close that 786/crabby thing, if so, still great opp lot of confluence and an prefers 886 formations
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  • #11,646
  • Apr 5, 2018 8:12am Apr 5, 2018 8:12am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} ha ha B@stards {image}
That red line on top might look familiar...cypher ugly gartley I say bat......
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  • #11,647
  • Apr 5, 2018 8:19am Apr 5, 2018 8:19am
Quoting gnomoneey
Gold....hmmmm {image}
That is daily bat into gartely G, she wants pb and break I think....
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  • #11,648
  • Apr 5, 2018 8:25am Apr 5, 2018 8:25am
UJ
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  • #11,649
  • Apr 5, 2018 8:32am Apr 5, 2018 8:32am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Hit GC look similar have confluence post larger to see ab cd {image} {image}
Turn out Mr. C likes it too...but he no see my butterfly only crab
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  • #11,650
  • Apr 5, 2018 8:59am Apr 5, 2018 8:59am
JSE Daily

Dip, hammer, confirmation

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  • #11,651
  • Apr 5, 2018 4:31pm Apr 5, 2018 4:31pm
Quoting aaven
{quote} Squawk, When you get a chance, could you please explain the significance of the chart... Thanks
A widening spread between the Libor and the OIS (overnight rate indexed to the Fed Fund Rate) means credit risk is rising. A good indication that the financial sector is on edge leading to higher short-term borrowing costs and capital leaving the market. They affect short-term funding markets like Repo, Commercial short term, currency swap rates and others that are funded by short-term debt.

However, spread in other areas has not seen the same rise so could be due the to repatriation of corporate money into short term.

If the Libor-OIS spread stays as it is or rises further you should see a big move higher in the dollar index. With most vulnerable being the emerging markets.

However, you should investigate yourself as this is my opinion.
  • #11,652
  • Apr 6, 2018 2:48am Apr 6, 2018 2:48am
Quoting squawk
{quote} A widening spread between the Libor and the OIS (overnight rate indexed to the Fed Fund Rate) means credit risk is rising. A good indication that the financial sector is on edge leading to higher short-term borrowing costs and capital leaving the market. They affect short-term funding markets like Repo, Commercial short term, currency swap rates and others that are funded by short-term debt. However, spread in other areas has not seen the same rise so could be due the to repatriation of corporate money into short term. If the Libor-OIS spread...
Thanks Squawk for taking the time to give us the explanation...
  • #11,653
  • Apr 6, 2018 5:32am Apr 6, 2018 5:32am
Quoting aaven
{quote} Thanks Squawk for taking the time to give us the explanation...
No problem Aaven.
  • #11,654
  • Apr 6, 2018 8:54am Apr 6, 2018 8:54am
NC, missed
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  • #11,655
  • Apr 6, 2018 9:31am Apr 6, 2018 9:31am
GU
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  • #11,656
  • Apr 7, 2018 4:23am Apr 7, 2018 4:23am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Hit GC look similar have confluence post larger to see ab cd {image} {image}
Now that is 382 of swing as well....

B8stard, I was looking for that one too...

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post10942523

Funny, he reminds me of this guy...guess that is inside joke...

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  • #11,657
  • Apr 7, 2018 4:26am Apr 7, 2018 4:26am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Now that is 382 of swing as well.... B8stard, I was looking for that one too... https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post10942523 {image}
Maybe some were confused by bounce in light of data. Well, do not read the factory news, comments alone will lower your IQ....
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  • #11,658
  • Apr 7, 2018 4:31am Apr 7, 2018 4:31am
Quoting fxderek
GU {image}
also like this...
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  • #11,659
  • Apr 7, 2018 4:40am Apr 7, 2018 4:40am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Hit GC look similar have confluence post larger to see ab cd {image} {image}
only the greatest charts in the world, lot of confluence, and still missed it as just a structure trade...mostly you just make me mad...thought I could precise it...

Edit: look way left not on this chart
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  • #11,660
  • Apr 7, 2018 5:34am Apr 7, 2018 5:34am
Quoting squawk
Interesting chart, Libor and the overnight Indexed swap spread versus dollar index. {image}

this chart is superior!
90% of people, are wrong about 90% of everything, 90% of the time...
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