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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #74,501
  • Mar 13, 2018 9:04pm Mar 13, 2018 9:04pm
Quoting 4xjunkie
im interested with 106.45 maybe a long, going to watch it.
The USD is going down, not is a good time for to open long.
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  • #74,502
  • Mar 13, 2018 9:12pm Mar 13, 2018 9:12pm
USD JPY - M30

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Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,503
  • Mar 13, 2018 9:25pm Mar 13, 2018 9:25pm
Gold crossed the resistance now.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,504
  • Mar 13, 2018 9:45pm Mar 13, 2018 9:45pm
Quoting 4xjunkie
im interested with 106.45 maybe a long, going to watch it.
I dont like it, see what happens at 106.35
  • #74,505
  • Mar 13, 2018 11:17pm Mar 13, 2018 11:17pm
Get in after PPI and Core sales...

If market hits 106.123 we could look at 105.488 for the rest of the next week probably but if market hits 106.900, I'd say long pans would be an idea.
  • #74,506
  • Mar 13, 2018 11:26pm Mar 13, 2018 11:26pm
Not is good, the USD is earning force.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,507
  • Mar 13, 2018 11:45pm Mar 13, 2018 11:45pm
Quoting Pipclimax
Get in after PPI and Core sales... If market hits 106.123 we could look at 105.488 for the rest of the next week probably but if market hits 106.900, I'd say long pans would be an idea.
If you open in 106.123, where you put your stoploss?
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Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,508
  • Mar 13, 2018 11:57pm Mar 13, 2018 11:57pm
10:00 EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks

They are waiting the news.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,509
  • Mar 14, 2018 2:16am Mar 14, 2018 2:16am
I think with Europe open UJ will break below 106.50 which holds this week and if US PPI and sales are not pretty good we will see price under 106 today:
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  • #74,510
  • Mar 14, 2018 2:18am Mar 14, 2018 2:18am
Longer term - downtrend was broken but the price is still inside bearish flag:
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  • #74,511
  • Mar 14, 2018 7:45am Mar 14, 2018 7:45am
Looks like UJ is chewing into the demand from Monday evening, post NY close move up.

Buying is getting weaker but the sellers cannot get through all the orders yet.
  • #74,512
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:29am Mar 14, 2018 8:29am
Just my thoughts...Fed desperately wants inflation to rise. Why? Prices of goods go up. Right now the common man isn't spending much, today's numbers show big drop in car sales and retail sales down. What does this mean? People aren't spending! Why don't people spend money? Because they don't have any extra, and/or are worried about the future. At present, we get a kazillion products made in china and emerging markets super cheap. What if tariffs are put on a lot of everyday cheap goods we purchase?
Prices go up, and some are produced locally. with higher north American labor costs and/or extra taxes, prices of goods rise. Effect? The majority of people just getting by have every last cent chipped away from them for basic goods consumed as prices rise. As prices rise so does inflation, so fed kicks in interest rate hikes further crippling those on the edge. Affect? Defaults on all loans, car, mortgage, etc. Most regular small businesses can't afford wage increases unless prices rise. If prices rise but people not spending, layoffs en masse, business closures, etc as cost of goods rise as well. I only see a lose lose situation. Am I missing something?
  • #74,513
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:33am Mar 14, 2018 8:33am
Quoting nealpek
Just my thoughts...Fed desperately wants inflation to rise. Why? Prices of goods go up. Right now the common man isn't spending much, today's numbers show big drop in car sales and retail sales down. What does this mean? People aren't spending! Why don't people spend money? Because they don't have any extra, and/or are worried about the future. At present, we get a kazillion products made in china and emerging markets super cheap. What if tariffs are put on a lot of everyday cheap goods we purchase? Prices go up, and some are produced locally. with...
I think you are correct. The flip side is we can't continue to borrow money to pay our citizens to not work, ship jobs overseas, import a slave labor class of highly skilled workers, and continue down this path forever.

Pain is needed, either now or even more pain down the road. Democracy appears to lead to politicians pandering to the lowest common denominator and the result is bankruptcy and then chaos.
  • #74,514
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:37am Mar 14, 2018 8:37am
Add to that, if interest rates do go up, shouldn't that make the USD stronger v. the JPY? Or is the JPY such a safe haven for risk issues that it would overcome the interest rate increases?
  • #74,515
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:43am Mar 14, 2018 8:43am
safe haven!
  • #74,516
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:46am Mar 14, 2018 8:46am
i will buy near 106.2, target 107
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #74,517
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:54am Mar 14, 2018 8:54am
Quoting nealpek
Just my thoughts...Fed desperately wants inflation to rise. Why? Prices of goods go up. Right now the common man isn't spending much, today's numbers show big drop in car sales and retail sales down. What does this mean? People aren't spending! Why don't people spend money? Because they don't have any extra, and/or are worried about the future. At present, we get a kazillion products made in china and emerging markets super cheap. What if tariffs are put on a lot of everyday cheap goods we purchase? Prices go up, and some are produced locally. with...
In the past we had high inflation here in Brazil and was terrible, the products had 1 price in the morning and in the afternoon was more expensive.
Together we can be strongest
Vantage Return This Month: -97.0%
  • #74,518
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:56am Mar 14, 2018 8:56am
Quoting unlv_tj
Add to that, if interest rates do go up, shouldn't that make the USD stronger v. the JPY? Or is the JPY such a safe haven for risk issues that it would overcome the interest rate increases?
Do you hear nothing that I say?

EURUSD - USD weaker
GBP/USD - USD Weaker
USDJPY- USD weaker
GOLD up - USD Weaker
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Learn, a forex trader must, unlearn and relearn he will.
  • #74,519
  • Mar 14, 2018 8:58am Mar 14, 2018 8:58am
Yoda, I was waiting for your analysis...
  • #74,520
  • Mar 14, 2018 9:04am Mar 14, 2018 9:04am
COGS, I certainly have read your posts. I was speaking more if we get 4 or 5 additional interest rate increases.

Why is the USD getting weaker if we continue to raise interest rates making it a better investment?
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