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  • #1,139,361
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:36pm Dec 27, 2017 10:36pm
Quoting zarghami
{image}
Result
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  • #1,139,362
  • Dec 28, 2017 12:04am Dec 28, 2017 12:04am
Cashed chips at 1.1940 FLAT . Of course it can go higher...

  • #1,139,363
  • Dec 28, 2017 12:09am Dec 28, 2017 12:09am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} on M30 doesn't want to let go of that poc so be careful here.
took a few pips here but less than my risk......but I was not able to get on the long side afterwards due to my mental bias.....those smaller time frames they often make me more confuse than anything else...


here is my view on the 60m.. seems very much overbought....but personally I need to see money coming in....otherwise I watch a movie...
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trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,139,364
  • Dec 28, 2017 12:11am Dec 28, 2017 12:11am
Watch this MN polarity change point...
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #1,139,365
  • Dec 28, 2017 12:42am Dec 28, 2017 12:42am
Quoting heispark
Watch this MN polarity change point... {image}
Mate, kindly elaborate...
  • #1,139,366
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:11am Dec 28, 2017 3:11am
Quoting F.g
{quote} Mate, kindly elaborate...
I would like to refer you to this link instead: https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...5#post10450565
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #1,139,367
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:22am Dec 28, 2017 3:22am
Expecting the zone to flip from support to resistance.

KP

Quoting F.g
{quote} Mate, kindly elaborate...
Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
  • #1,139,368
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:43am Dec 28, 2017 3:43am
For anyone wondering why EUR turned over in the middle of nowhere at 1.1946 the futures ran into 1.2000 level.
There was a significant options call barrier at that price allowing the gamma scalpers to take shorts onto their books, hence the sell off.

Institutional traders very rarely take outright trades, they always need to have their positions hedged for risk purposes. Therefore they will buy call options for hedging against shorting the EUR and visa versa with Puts.
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Boxing clever since 76.
  • #1,139,369
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:52am Dec 28, 2017 3:52am
@asgcorp, do you think that DXY will go to 91.5 level if it breaks 92.6 barrier and 92.5 barrier?
  • #1,139,370
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:53am Dec 28, 2017 3:53am
Quoting copi88
Institutional traders very rarely take outright trades{image}
max pain is somewhere around 2000 so that's where spot is headed. Most of the money is made by put/call writers (liq providers) and they have an incentive to make sure that all the options expire worthless. )))

PS: max pain is pretty cool actually. I use this a lot on weekly stock options.
  • #1,139,371
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:55am Dec 28, 2017 3:55am
Quoting FateAnother
@asgcorp, do you think that DXY will go to 91.5 level if it breaks 92.6 barrier and 92.5 barrier?
Not sure about DXY levels, but looks like EURUSD is going to hit 2000-2050 this Friday. Not taking any shorts here and not chasing the price here on buy side also.
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  • #1,139,372
  • Dec 28, 2017 3:59am Dec 28, 2017 3:59am
Quoting FateAnother
@asgcorp, do you think that DXY will go to 91.5 level if it breaks 92.6 barrier and 92.5 barrier?
DX H4 looks like neckline of the H*S will break any minute now, next logical target is 91.75-91.85. which is a 100 points move in eurusd.
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  • #1,139,373
  • Dec 28, 2017 4:01am Dec 28, 2017 4:01am
everyone ready for EURUSD 2050???
  • #1,139,374
  • Dec 28, 2017 4:01am Dec 28, 2017 4:01am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} max pain is somewhere around 2000 so that's where spot is headed. Most of the money is made by put/call writers (liq providers) and they have an incentive to make sure that all the options expire worthless. )))
Yes MMs will try to take it there on expirey.
Not sure where you get 2000 for the max pain though?

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Boxing clever since 76.
  • #1,139,375
  • Dec 28, 2017 4:16am Dec 28, 2017 4:16am
Quoting asgcorp
everyone ready for EURUSD 2050???
That would be a nice way to end the year....cheers mate.
  • #1,139,376
  • Dec 28, 2017 4:23am Dec 28, 2017 4:23am
Quoting copi88
{quote} Yes MMs will try to take it there on expirey. Not sure where you get 2000 for the max pain though? {image}
possible, but retail sentiment is like 60/40 and/or 70/30 short/long MMs got incentive to drive this beyond 2000 to wipe everyone out. until this changes the only way is up.
  • #1,139,377
  • Dec 28, 2017 5:13am Dec 28, 2017 5:13am
Quoting pohchuan
{quote} That would be a nice way to end the year....cheers mate.
unless the max pain screws this deal ))) I don't have much experience with fx max pain, not sure it's got enough power to drive this to 1850 on Friday.
  • #1,139,378
  • Dec 28, 2017 5:23am Dec 28, 2017 5:23am
Quoting MrPresident
entered long position targeting 1.194, 1.20 stop below 1.186
1.20 is likely the next target
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #1,139,379
  • Dec 28, 2017 5:51am Dec 28, 2017 5:51am
third target 1.1990, stop stays at BE at 1.1871
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #1,139,380
  • Dec 28, 2017 5:56am Dec 28, 2017 5:56am
euro buyers on top will end up in tears
COT: The precious data ignored
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