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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #72,401
  • Dec 22, 2017 2:53pm Dec 22, 2017 2:53pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} let's see what we get. 3 things I'm not so happy about atm - USDJPY - strong seasonality in Jan. On weekly - weird pattern - looks like sandwich to me. Finally, I see AUDUSD flipping south soon, though no direct link, they tend to move in opposite direction (loosing this link recently). So just scaling in, won't swim against the current.
yeah not betting the farm on this one just splashing in Mabey we'll get lucky.
  • #72,402
  • Dec 22, 2017 3:45pm Dec 22, 2017 3:45pm
Quoting OpenRoad
{quote} {image}im with you on this one some nice looking daily candles to short against 113.63 stop thinking at least 80 pips south.
that's one helluva good price, i'm short usdjpy from 113.29 with 113.89 SL and 111.9 TP ; i might change them depend on condition.
  • #72,403
  • Dec 22, 2017 6:58pm Dec 22, 2017 6:58pm
Quoting asgcorp
starting a short position in here. Stops @ 113.75. No target yet. Starting to scale in now.
That's also what I'm getting on USDJPY, for this coming week anyway.
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #72,404
  • Dec 22, 2017 8:16pm Dec 22, 2017 8:16pm
I am long on XAUUSD (GOLD) from 1266.00. Will short UJ when the market opens on Tuesday...
  • #72,405
  • Dec 23, 2017 8:08am Dec 23, 2017 8:08am
Expecting a correction next week.
  • #72,406
  • Dec 23, 2017 1:55pm Dec 23, 2017 1:55pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} target is 110-111.
112.70/80 confluence W/M pivots and TL's
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYH4.png Size: 29 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #72,407
  • Dec 24, 2017 4:40am Dec 24, 2017 4:40am
there is no specific opinion yet, there is a weak divergence emerging.
maybe weak short.
  • #72,408
  • Edited 12:50pm Dec 24, 2017 5:06am | Edited 12:50pm
Comparisons : 2017/12/06 - 21017/12/22.

Double click image for full view.

Note: Charts not MT4 - no time for questions.

Time: GMT (0)
Purple: 00:00
Dark Blue: 08:00
Light Blue & Green: 12:30, 13:30 & 14:30 (major US news release and US open)
Orange: Personal reference - no related to trading.
Double Red: 21:30/22:00 (swaps/rollover)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a1 - GU.png Size: 306 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: a2 - EU.png Size: 293 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: a3 - UJ.png Size: 288 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: a4 - EJ.png Size: 270 KB
TSLA: 30-Dec-22 123.18 // 16-Jun-23 260.54 **111.51%**
  • #72,409
  • Dec 24, 2017 2:35pm Dec 24, 2017 2:35pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} That's also what I'm getting on USDJPY, for this coming week anyway.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_2312.PNG Size: 194 KB

Weekly support target if we start heading south.
  • #72,410
  • Dec 24, 2017 2:38pm Dec 24, 2017 2:38pm
Quoting OpenRoad
{quote}{image} Weekly support target if we start heading south.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_2313.PNG Size: 237 KB

Daily support target
  • #72,411
  • Dec 24, 2017 2:48pm Dec 24, 2017 2:48pm
Quoting OpenRoad
{quote} {image} Daily support target
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_2314.PNG Size: 250 KB


We must be nimble and watch short term bottom trendline, could turn into an ascending triangle if bottom line holds.
  • #72,412
  • Dec 24, 2017 2:54pm Dec 24, 2017 2:54pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPYDaily.png Size: 57 KB
We Can
  • #72,413
  • Dec 24, 2017 5:22pm Dec 24, 2017 5:22pm
Quoting OpenRoad
{quote}{image} Weekly support target if we start heading south.
That's a pretty ambitious target you have there. It seems sensible but I just take it one week at a time targeting the retrace. Pretty simple but, the key is to pick the right candle.
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #72,414
  • Dec 24, 2017 8:56pm Dec 24, 2017 8:56pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} That's a pretty ambitious target you have there. It seems sensible but I just take it one week at a time targeting the retrace. Pretty simple but, the key is to pick the right candle.
he is perfectly correct on that, i vouch for it
  • #72,415
  • Dec 24, 2017 11:17pm Dec 24, 2017 11:17pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} That's a pretty ambitious target you have there. It seems sensible but I just take it one week at a time targeting the retrace. Pretty simple but, the key is to pick the right candle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_2315.PNG Size: 166 KB


Yes I agree it's ambitious and I could be wrong. I personally trade daily and weekly charts and sometimes 4hr. That's where I have the most success. I'm not very lucky at the lower timeframes. I find I can set it and forget it with the longer timeframes. I do drive a truck 60 hrs a week so with the larger timeframes I can just periodically check in.
  • #72,416
  • Dec 25, 2017 12:25am Dec 25, 2017 12:25am
Quoting OpenRoad
{quote} {image} Yes I agree it's ambitious and I could be wrong. I personally trade daily and weekly charts and sometimes 4hr. That's where I have the most success. I'm not very lucky at the lower timeframes. I find I can set it and forget it with the longer timeframes. I do drive a truck 60 hrs a week so with the larger timeframes I can just periodically check in.
Me too, I've always traded the Daily with entries around the Hourly but recently, I got into the Weekly and starting to like it. There are several possibilities with the Weekly. I made a thread about one thing, I plan to do more threads about other things on the Weekly in the near future.

Didn't notice the red news on JPY. Hopefully there aren't major gaps for JPY on Tuesday.
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #72,417
  • Dec 25, 2017 8:58pm Dec 25, 2017 8:58pm
I hope everyone has had a great holiday, looks like something my be on it way, the yens are pretty active, still waiting to be filled long just above 113.00
  • #72,418
  • Dec 25, 2017 9:19pm Dec 25, 2017 9:19pm
i will love to short uj and long eu on h4, but just waiting for markets to sober up a bit
  • #72,419
  • Dec 25, 2017 9:19pm Dec 25, 2017 9:19pm
UJ and Gold both up...one got to give sooner or later, question is, which?
  • #72,420
  • Dec 26, 2017 8:03am Dec 26, 2017 8:03am
looks like it will be in a range between 112 and 113.5, unless it breaks up soon
Don't Worry Be Happy
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