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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #71,561
  • Nov 17, 2017 10:45am Nov 17, 2017 10:45am
Quoting Seshwaan
{quote} ... Leaving 113.627 entry open to see what happens. SL is at like +50 anyway
Smart doing that. Good luck grabbing more
  • #71,562
  • Nov 17, 2017 10:49am Nov 17, 2017 10:49am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Smart doing that. Good luck grabbing more

Thanks man, about 30 mins after i closed the +20 it broke RDL with massive volume so that +120 is now +150
  • #71,563
  • Nov 17, 2017 12:35pm Nov 17, 2017 12:35pm
Took prfts now at 112.00 and entered LONG at same . Low has been 111.95

kind regards to all

  • #71,564
  • Nov 17, 2017 9:35pm Nov 17, 2017 9:35pm
This is as bearish as I can be. nothing is telling me to flop to a short position. Good luck.
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  • #71,565
  • Nov 18, 2017 7:55am Nov 18, 2017 7:55am
Quoting 4xjunkie
This is as bearish as I can be. nothing is telling me to flop to a short position. Good luck.{image}
Outside bars are those that have higher highs and lower lows than the previous bar(s). Best to stick to proper naming convention (same with gaps) when discussing on an open worldwide trading forum of many people, languages and experience.
  • #71,566
  • Nov 18, 2017 10:23am Nov 18, 2017 10:23am
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} Outside bars are those that have higher highs and lower lows than the previous bar(s). Best to stick to proper naming convention (same with gaps) when discussing on an open worldwide trading forum of many people, languages and experience.
If you really want to go back down this road again we can. I would just appreciate if you disagree with my views just ignore me. I man enough to take it. in the future if you disagree with my views please dont comment. i see a repeating pattern with you. you disagree with something and you will stir the pot every time. I am not interested in you or your drama. i know what an outside candle is.
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  • #71,567
  • Nov 18, 2017 10:39am Nov 18, 2017 10:39am
Well if you know what an outside candle is and yet are pointing to bars that are not .... well?

Anyway no problem - outta sight, outta mind
  • #71,568
  • Nov 18, 2017 10:39am Nov 18, 2017 10:39am
Quoting 4xjunkie
{quote} If you really want to go back down this road again we can. I would just appreciate if you disagree with my views just ignore me. I man enough to take it. in the future if you disagree with my views please dont comment. i see a repeating pattern with you. you disagree with something and you will stir the pot every time. I am not interested in you or your drama. i know what an outside candle is.{image}
Calm down brother. It's the weekend!

I always appreciate your views, be it if your views are on the same side as mine. Looking forward to more of your sharing in my thread too! Cheers.
  • #71,569
  • Nov 18, 2017 11:00am Nov 18, 2017 11:00am
Quoting SunTrader
Well if you know what an outside candle is and yet are pointing to bars that are not .... well? Anyway no problem - outta sight, outta mind
I will give this a try, If I named those candle formations, incorrectly, what is The proper name for them, I dont hide the fact that im self taught, My status dose say home school map maker. If i miss understood you i apologize. Maybe if you had added the proper Terminology in your post, it would have gave me something to go and investigate and educate myself with. maybe i would have not been so defensive. im just not into drama.
  • #71,570
  • Nov 18, 2017 12:04pm Nov 18, 2017 12:04pm
In a slow downwards range. So far lower lows. Likely to see lower in the coming weeks.

Daily RSI already oversold but there is plenty of room for it to fall. Looking at support near 108.
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #71,571
  • Nov 19, 2017 7:51am Nov 19, 2017 7:51am
I would love to see it bounce back to 113, but only because I have some silly longs there.

Having a look at the technical perspective, ever since April, every time it has hit around 114.5 it has always gone to around 108 in a fairly straightforward way. So the question is, what will be different this time?

If it makes a higher low around the midline here and goes back up, I think that would be an incredibly bullish sign, however historical precedent so far is against longs at this point, I'm afraid to say.

The only thing of hope to longs are two interesting 4h candles before close which would indicate a move higher, but I think it may just be a retrace to 112.5 or thereabouts.

On the hourly you can see a series of impulse down and correction over last week. The last was a very clear flag, which allowed me to profit from some shorts. This looks very much like it can turn into a flag as well, so have to be very careful here.

What do you guys think?
  • #71,572
  • Nov 19, 2017 8:48am Nov 19, 2017 8:48am
Well although the Dollar Index broke the up trend line this past week and momentum has swung bearish a possible retracement could take place. With a U.S. holiday - Thanksgiving - on Thursday this coming week probably will have a narrow range so I don't expect much to happen. Caveat as always nowadays Trumpie/Little Kimmy wildcards.
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  • #71,573
  • Nov 19, 2017 12:02pm Nov 19, 2017 12:02pm
I was having troubles with my nt8 so if you noticed my last chart was not correct, so did I. here is the updated version. here is the updated version.
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dose not change my opinion. I did some extra credit chart work over the weekend. there up on money focus's thread, for now my usual keyboard worrier banter, will be held over there for a while. good luck traders.
  • #71,574
  • Nov 19, 2017 2:00pm Nov 19, 2017 2:00pm
-Market is performing exactly as previously anticipated.
-Bearish structure
-P/O divergence
-111.65-45 initial target.
-111.00-11040 extended target.

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https://twitter.com/ADFINANCIALCORP/...02154822045696
-Market is performing exactly as previously anticipated. -Bearish structure -P/O divergence -111.65-45 initial target. -111.00-11040 extended target.
  • #71,575
  • Nov 19, 2017 3:51pm Nov 19, 2017 3:51pm
If USDJPY doesn't gap up, I'm going to buy.
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #71,576
  • Nov 19, 2017 4:01pm Nov 19, 2017 4:01pm
No gap.
  • #71,577
  • Nov 19, 2017 4:08pm Nov 19, 2017 4:08pm
Quoting SunTrader
No gap.
finally, a start of the week without gap.
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #71,578
  • Nov 19, 2017 4:23pm Nov 19, 2017 4:23pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} finally, a start of the week without gap.
LOL but I'd say Yen pairs looking to be leaning down more than up.
  • #71,579
  • Nov 19, 2017 4:44pm Nov 19, 2017 4:44pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} finally, a start of the week without gap.
First time for a while aye?
  • #71,580
  • Nov 19, 2017 4:58pm Nov 19, 2017 4:58pm
Quoting SunTrader
{quote} LOL but I'd say Yen pairs looking to be leaning down more than up.
but I like living on the edge trading against trend with retraces or reversals. There's no feeling like price moving against you racing towards the stop when you're wrong.
Here's Tom with the weather.
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