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  • #11,081
  • Nov 18, 2017 6:36pm Nov 18, 2017 6:36pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
consolidative mess but good place {image}
another good place
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  • #11,082
  • Nov 19, 2017 9:52am Nov 19, 2017 9:52am
Very interesting chart.....

Think we expect failure now but ab cd meets 1618 so good place above
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  • #11,083
  • Nov 19, 2017 10:00am Nov 19, 2017 10:00am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Very interesting chart..... Think we expect failure now but ab cd meets 1618 so good place above {image}
these are related love the 886 above but thought was she can do shark to ab cd confluence first
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  • #11,084
  • Nov 19, 2017 10:29am Nov 19, 2017 10:29am
Quoting Mr. Scott
Very interesting chart..... Think we expect failure now but ab cd meets 1618 so good place above {image}
antipodean crosses looking same ab cd into weekly supply did 886 already
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  • #11,085
  • Nov 19, 2017 10:31am Nov 19, 2017 10:31am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} antipodean crosses looking same ab cd into weekly supply did 886 already {image}
zoom out for perspective and other opp
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  • #11,086
  • Nov 19, 2017 10:32am Nov 19, 2017 10:32am
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} zoom out for perspective and other opp {image}
still thinks she wants lower
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  • #11,087
  • Nov 19, 2017 11:03pm Nov 19, 2017 11:03pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} still thinks she wants lower {image}
Makes sense to me Scott. Top of range so test below with IR rates expectations changing could be a good trade. Got to break through that higher range sooner or later but doesn't seems improbable now.

Don't think either will be strong in the long run though. My thinking is both have the long-term tail risk to the downside for many reasons.
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  • #11,088
  • Nov 19, 2017 11:10pm Nov 19, 2017 11:10pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
Very interesting chart..... Think we expect failure now but ab cd meets 1618 so good place above {image}
Looks good Scott. I was thinking rotation bit higher but 1 - 1 fits here. Would love the short around 2.00
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  • #11,089
  • Nov 19, 2017 11:25pm Nov 19, 2017 11:25pm
Quoting squawk
Some forecast OCR and Ten Year, US, AUD and NZD. If the market plays out these forecasts and new inflation RBA settings play out then only one way to go for the AU and Kiwi. Below 70 for the Aussie and 60 for the Kiwi in the next 12 months, I would think. {image}
2yr spread keeps its downward fall to 43bps. This isn't about to Uturn north......
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  • #11,090
  • Nov 19, 2017 11:25pm Nov 19, 2017 11:25pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Looks good Scott. I was thinking rotation bit higher but 1 - 1 fits here. Would love the short around 2.00 {image}
This looks really good trade
rat
  • #11,091
  • Nov 20, 2017 3:18am Nov 20, 2017 3:18am
Quoting elbert3
{quote} Hi S your higher 161 would be great 3345 ish B
Morning S it looks like getting there 3310 ??? Regards. B
  • #11,092
  • Nov 20, 2017 4:43am Nov 20, 2017 4:43am
looks like this pig is headed to 1.1672 in short run. anyone stuck with a bitcoin short position. my broker allows bitcoin trading on weekend and I am into a short position at 7800
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  • #11,093
  • Nov 20, 2017 6:34am Nov 20, 2017 6:34am
Quoting squawk
{quote} 2yr spread keeps its downward fall to 43bps. This isn't about to Uturn north...... {image}
probably not but place to look before larger pattern below
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  • #11,094
  • Edited 10:57pm Nov 20, 2017 1:03pm | Edited 10:57pm
Quoting giveachance
looks like this pig is headed to 1.1672 in short run. anyone stuck with a bitcoin short position. my broker allows bitcoin trading on weekend and I am into a short position at 7800 {image}
I watch it but don't trade it. I find it hard to trade there's just no reference points in price for me. She has to blow sooner or later and if your lucky enough to catch it and execute well there's a hell of a trade.

Something to consider. https://www.coindesk.com/cmes-bitcoi...ampaign=buffer

CME allowing for volatility in the limit settings.

"Special price fluctuation limits equal to 7% above and below prior settlement price and 13% above and below prior settlement price and a price limit of 20% above or below the previous settlement price. Trading will not be permitted outside the 20% above and below prior settlement price," the company explained.
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  • #11,095
  • Edited 2:42pm Nov 20, 2017 1:35pm | Edited 2:42pm
US2Y - another 2% move today and closer to the 10y. Spread between Euro Bunds and US2YR now widening Gap of 244 points. Highest since 1999.

Gains a .3% on the Aussie 2yr for the week. With an upward OCR and Antipodeans on hold, when does the US OCR start becoming the Carry Trade of choice? and capital exit gate 1 for the Antipodeans.
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  • #11,096
  • Nov 20, 2017 2:19pm Nov 20, 2017 2:19pm
If we get an S&P turn around, OCR rates differential declining on AU then AJ has catalyst back to the lower range. Cant see where the inflows will come from especially with coming Corporate tax changes and Aus labour government likely or major Government uncertainty playing out in Australia over the next 12 months.

Of course, didn't mention the big grey elephant in the room with the Aussie housing market.
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  • #11,097
  • Nov 20, 2017 3:12pm Nov 20, 2017 3:12pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} probably not but place to look before larger pattern below {image}
Nice chart Scott. I like EA, has cleaner tradable edges at the moment.

EU and AU, NU. The Antipodeans possibly leading the sell-off. Gold, Euro and Yen holding against treasuries on the Risk sentiment, so will see the outcome. I'm positioned short on Euro but a messy turn seems to be flushing everything out. I think it has a decent 500pt sell-off but who knows with the Euro could Uturn back up to new highs.
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  • #11,098
  • Nov 20, 2017 8:23pm Nov 20, 2017 8:23pm
Quoting squawk
{quote} Nice chart Scott. I like EA, has cleaner tradable edges at the moment. EU and AU, NU. The Antipodeans possibly leading the sell-off. Gold, Euro and Yen holding against treasuries on the Risk sentiment, so will see the outcome. I'm positioned short on Euro but a messy turn seems to be flushing everything out. I think it has a decent 500pt sell-off but who knows with the Euro could Uturn back up to new highs. {image} {image}
Think is good set up, she at crab now, keep thinking top has to go....
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  • #11,099
  • Nov 20, 2017 11:10pm Nov 20, 2017 11:10pm
Quoting Mr. Scott
{quote} Think is good set up, she at crab now, keep thinking top has to go.... {image}
Think your on the money there Scott
  • #11,100
  • Nov 20, 2017 11:28pm Nov 20, 2017 11:28pm
2yr Swap rate moved into negative territory for the AU. AU seems a long way lagging.
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