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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #71,321
  • Edited 9:58pm Nov 8, 2017 9:36pm | Edited 9:58pm
Im thinking that the short term chart is off.one more push higher 114.2x then down.
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  • #71,322
  • Nov 8, 2017 10:55pm Nov 8, 2017 10:55pm
I see a some local S near 113.68 right this second...but I cant figure if we are going up, or down..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,323
  • Nov 8, 2017 10:56pm Nov 8, 2017 10:56pm
it looks like .80 was the line in the sand. I drew it right called it wrong. maybe i should draw more and talk less. what do you guys think?
  • #71,324
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:24pm Nov 8, 2017 11:24pm
just bought some at 113.68, risking 10....

thinking this is the last chance for the bulls here this week...should know shortly I guess
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,325
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:28pm Nov 8, 2017 11:28pm
well that was a quick donation...

guess 113.23 is up for visit now...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,326
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:29pm Nov 8, 2017 11:29pm
the worst should be behind us now. I thought there was another bounce left and is has been .40 not .70 I truly dislike this section even though it my favorite trend to play its fory. i give up tonight. buy at 113.4 sell 114.48, 100 pips for you. i know ive been off but this is it.
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  • #71,327
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:36pm Nov 8, 2017 11:36pm
What the hell just happened lol.
  • #71,328
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:38pm Nov 8, 2017 11:38pm
Quoting 4xjunkie
the worst should be behind us now. I thought there was another bounce left and is has been .60 not .70 within 10 pips not bad. I truly dislike this section even though it my favorite trend to play.{image}
the Nikkei just sharded itself....you best widen those bats out a tad today man
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,329
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:43pm Nov 8, 2017 11:43pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} the Nikkei just sharded itself....you best widen those bats out a tad today man
its how it plays, this long time frame has my timing all screwed up. and this is the hardest part to survive through. it plays out identical every time. just at different scales which changes the timing. on a one or 5 minute chart things happen quickly. I know there is a lot of pips to be cleaned up on. without the cadence at this scale it impossible to try and predict.
  • #71,330
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:46pm Nov 8, 2017 11:46pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
just bought some at 113.68, risking 10.... thinking this is the last chance for the bulls here this week...should know shortly I guess
Any buy trade should have hit a tight target by now. If I forced a buy on USDJPY, my target would have been 113.923. But price made it past yesterday's open which is usually one of the last final stops on questionable trades. Hopefully it was a small donation.
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Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #71,331
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:52pm Nov 8, 2017 11:52pm
Quoting 4xjunkie
{quote} its how it plays, this long time frame has my timing all screwed up. and this is the hardest part to survive through. it plays out identical every time. just at different scales which changes the timing. on a one or 5 minute chart things happen quickly. I know there is a lot of pips to be cleaned up on. without the cadence at this scale it impossible to try and predict.

that's just the thing though, you can't call or play for the low every 10 ticks...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,332
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:55pm Nov 8, 2017 11:55pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} Any buy trade should have hit a tight target by now. If I forced a buy on USDJPY, my target would have been 113.923. But price made it past yesterday's open which is usually one of the last final stops on questionable trades. Hopefully it was a small donation. {image}

never saw daylight on them, maybe plus 1 at best, it was over before it started.....one only good thing was it was over quick, I'll look elsewhere now...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,333
  • Nov 8, 2017 11:58pm Nov 8, 2017 11:58pm
Quoting 4xjunkie
the worst should be behind us now. I thought there was another bounce left and is has been .40 not .70 I truly dislike this section even though it my favorite trend to play its fory. i give up tonight. buy at 113.4 sell 114.48, 100 pips for you. i know ive been off but this is it.{image}
Whats wrong with the Lot Size in NinjaTrader?

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Didn't they fixed NT for Forex in version 8? I used NT7 a while last year and it was already bit of a pain. Still a great Trading Tool tho. But that on your screen looks really weird.
  • #71,334
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:08am Nov 9, 2017 12:08am
and what if equities go down one day, what if there is a fire sale, it does happen from time to time you know, then what do you do....whats six handles in a day anyway, like 4 standard deviations...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,335
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:10am Nov 9, 2017 12:10am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} never saw daylight on them, maybe plus 1 at best, it was over before it started.....one only good thing was it was over quick, I'll look elsewhere now...
On the smaller pockets, it is quickly over before it starts. But if zero'd in on that portion, ya can grab it if it's high probability. The buy would have hit target even though both USDJPY, CHFJPY were no where near any kind of probability, but EURGBP was.
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Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #71,336
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:15am Nov 9, 2017 12:15am
Quoting OHLC
{quote} On the smaller pockets, it is quickly over before it starts. But if zero'd in on that portion, ya can grab it if it's high probability. The buy would have hit target even though both USDJPY, CHFJPY were no where near any kind of probability, but EURGBP was. {image}

my philosophy is that if I'm right, I'm right immediately...if a level is good, it should react immediately, if not, I'm out...thing is I cant trade them all, I have to choose...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #71,337
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:24am Nov 9, 2017 12:24am
there is one more bounce to go did not stop on a dime at the low. we just bounced off of it. which is normal. this low marks the entry point for the end of this mess. so going forward back up to above the highs and then right back down to stop dead in its tracks at .40 after we punch through this high. it will look like its going to the moon it is showing so much strength. then it will pause, then the bottom of the swamp will be drained. sucking it back down. for the impulse ive been talking about for ever will take us back up to 114.49. with another one back down that will probably be later next week. This is what gave me the idea of home school map making. who would ever get this last few weeks even 80% correct. Ive done it once. back when i had all of my maps. had to start over. This is map trading. and its clear now. thank god its over. going to have to triple archive it this time. this one will be around for a while.
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  • #71,338
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:30am Nov 9, 2017 12:30am
Quoting mw108
{quote} Whats wrong with the Lot Size in NinjaTrader? {image} Didn't they fixed NT for Forex in version 8? I used NT7 a while last year and it was already bit of a pain. Still a great Trading Tool tho. But that on your screen looks really weird.
there is nothing wrong with it. the boss said i had to make 100 million before she would cut loose any real cash to trade with. so this is how im doing it. flipping yards. its a pain to get there. i am in no way a traditional trader.
  • #71,339
  • Nov 9, 2017 12:34am Nov 9, 2017 12:34am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} that's just the thing though, you can't call or play for the low every 10 ticks...
thst is where i messed up today. i should have not taken my lumps. and lived with the trade i had. bad habits surfacing, ive broke every rule to trading in the past ,they tend to surface from time to time. its over now. the map is clear, just a little freak out session.
  • #71,340
  • Edited 12:53am Nov 9, 2017 12:34am | Edited 12:53am
Nikkei Index 9.11.:

High - 23382.15
Low - 22522.83

I can`t find explanations for this Sell-off ??

Sixer
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