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Attachments: Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles
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Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

  • #101
  • Oct 30, 2017 1:17pm Oct 30, 2017 1:17pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW 11 30 OCTOBRE 2017.jpg Size: 215 KB
  • #102
  • Oct 30, 2017 1:24pm Oct 30, 2017 1:24pm
Quoting medici
{quote} You're welcome Having done enough of such things in the past it was a kind of déjà vu to recall that filter, as it's several years ago that I looked at it.

And I am grateful to you for bringing Hurst cycle analysis to my attention

Having thought about it, it seems like the multifractal scaling of periods and channel distances is the essential thing. For practical trading, I think I prefer linear regression channels to both centered moving averages and more mathematical constructs.

Here's the DAX from late 2015 and this...

Hurst analysis is always actual
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Hurst_JM_-_Cyclic_Analysis__1974_.pdf   6.4 MB | 1,571 downloads
File Type: pdf Hurst, J M - The Profit Magic Of Stock Transaction Timing.pdf   7.8 MB | 1,389 downloads
  • #103
  • Oct 30, 2017 7:01pm Oct 30, 2017 7:01pm
does price follows basically a parabolic curve ?

then here the main Octave / Vibration to which EXXON is the most responsive is 12,50 (100 / 8 ) and its sub-harmonics 6,25, 3,125, 1,5625 etc
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 0-100 EXXON PARABOLE.jpg Size: 259 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FIBONACCI 0-100.jpg Size: 54 KB
  • #104
  • Oct 30, 2017 7:06pm Oct 30, 2017 7:06pm
does price follows basically a parabolic curve ?

then here the main Octave / Vibration to which AMAZON is the most responsive is 125 (1000 / 8 ) and its sub-harmonics 62,5, 31,25, 15,625 etc
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 0-1000 AMAZON PARABOLE.jpg Size: 161 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FIBONACCI 0-1000.jpg Size: 50 KB
  • #105
  • Oct 30, 2017 7:16pm Oct 30, 2017 7:16pm
does price follows basically a parabolic curve ?

then here the main Octave / Vibration to which PROCTER & GAMBLE is the most responsive is 12,50 (100 / 8 ) and its sub-harmonics 6,25, 3,125, 1,5625 etc
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 0-100 PROCTER & GAMBLE PARABOLE.jpg Size: 235 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FIBONACCI 0-100.jpg Size: 54 KB
  • #106
  • Oct 30, 2017 7:27pm Oct 30, 2017 7:27pm
Roughly 30 % of financial instruments fluctuate in the Range 0-100 being sensitive and responsive to their Octave / Vibration = 12,50 (100 / 8) and its sub-harmonics 6,25 , 3,125, 1,5625 etc

Hereunder EXPRESS SCRIPTS (ESRX)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 0-100 EXPRESS SCRIPTS PARABOLE.jpg Size: 197 KB
  • #107
  • Oct 30, 2017 7:36pm Oct 30, 2017 7:36pm
Let's apply these parameters 12,50 / 6,25 / 3,125 to build our Envelopes for EXPRESS SCRIPTS (ESRX)

here since the significant Low of March 2009
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ESRX_csv_daily31_10_2017 ENVELOPES 2009.jpg Size: 221 KB
  • #108
  • Oct 31, 2017 4:16am Oct 31, 2017 4:16am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD 11 31 OCTOBRE 2017.jpg Size: 191 KB
  • #109
  • Oct 31, 2017 4:42am Oct 31, 2017 4:42am
does price follows basically a parabolic curve ?

MMM price fluctuate within a Price Range of 0-250

then here the main Octave / Vibration to which MMM is the most responsive is 31,25 (250 / 8 ) and its sub-harmonics 15,625, 7,8125, 3,900625 etc
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MMM PARABOLE 0-250.jpg Size: 237 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FIBONACCI 0-250.jpg Size: 49 KB
  • #110
  • Oct 31, 2017 4:50am Oct 31, 2017 4:50am
Let's apply these parameters 31,25 /15,625 /7,8125 to build our Envelopes for MMM

here since the significant Low of March 2009
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MMM_csv_daily31_10_2017 ENVELOPES.jpg Size: 197 KB
  • #111
  • Nov 1, 2017 3:37am Nov 1, 2017 3:37am
A very beautiful example of the DOUBLING reality and methodology on the DAX between today and the 30 th of October - yesterday being holiday

A GAP UP of 127 points = 2 x 62,5 (13353- 13226)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAX 11 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 179 KB
  • #112
  • Nov 1, 2017 3:51am Nov 1, 2017 3:51am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD 11 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 192 KB
  • #113
  • Nov 1, 2017 5:34am Nov 1, 2017 5:34am
DAX - 4 H = 240 minutes
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAX 4H 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 166 KB
  • #114
  • Nov 1, 2017 10:28am Nov 1, 2017 10:28am
does price follows basically a parabolic curve ?

HERMES price fluctuate within a Price Range of 0-500

then here the main Octave / Vibration to which HERMES is the most responsive is 62,50 (500/ 8 ) and its sub-harmonics 31,25 /15,625, 7,8125, 3,900625 etc
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: HERMES RMS.PA PARABOL.jpg Size: 151 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: FIBONACCI 0-500.jpg Size: 49 KB
  • #115
  • Nov 1, 2017 1:46pm Nov 1, 2017 1:46pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD 11 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 236 KB
  • #116
  • Nov 1, 2017 1:56pm Nov 1, 2017 1:56pm
DOW Timeframe = 1 Year

Time Unit = 4 H

Envelope ¨Parameters : 1250 / 625 / 312,5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW 1 AN en 4 H 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 176 KB
  • #117
  • Nov 1, 2017 2:09pm Nov 1, 2017 2:09pm
The DOW fluctuates within the Fractal of Price 0-100.000

The Octave / Vibration is 100.000 / 8 = 12.500

the operative fractal of price is 25.000 = 2 x 12.500 = 2 Octaves / Vibrations . DOW = 23.441

25.000 / 8 = 3.125

3.125 / 2 = 1.562.50

you see on the chart that 1.562.50 as parameter ( and its sub-harmonics) build an Envelope which includes most of price fluctuations on a 1 Year / 4 Hours Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW 1 AN en 4 H 1 NOVEMBRE 2017.jpg Size: 176 KB
  • #118
  • Nov 1, 2017 2:32pm Nov 1, 2017 2:32pm
The DOW fluctuates within the Fractal of Price 0-100.000

The Octave / Vibration is 100.000 / 8 = 12.500

the operative fractal of price is 25.000 = 2 x 12.500 = 2 Octaves / Vibrations . DOW = 23.441

25.000 / 8 = 3.125

Envelopes parameters are 3.125 / 1.562.5 / 781.25
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOW since 1970.jpg Size: 150 KB
  • #119
  • Nov 1, 2017 2:35pm Nov 1, 2017 2:35pm
For Dow the next long-term strong resistance is at 29370 according to my calculations, at current rate it could happen already late next year.
Cheers,
k
  • #120
  • Nov 1, 2017 3:04pm Nov 1, 2017 3:04pm
Quoting kprsa
For Dow the next long-term strong resistance is at 29370 according to my calculations, at current rate it could happen already late next year. Cheers, k

25.000 (2 Octaves = 2 x 12.500) would be a strong Resistance

Next Long Term Target should be the third Octave : 3 x 12.500 = 37.500

intermediate strong Resistance at Midpoint between 25.000 and 37.500 = 31.500

Time will show us
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