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  • #2,101
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:12pm Oct 20, 2017 12:12pm
It's very funny, Last week Euro ended at 1.1815. This week i think it'd end at 1.1775. Just a 40 pips down.

I think the price stuck at this range 1.19 - 1.16. maybe for the whole year. Hysterical.
  • #2,102
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:13pm Oct 20, 2017 12:13pm
Quoting Traderview
{quote} I dont get it. Why would it open at 1.1880? Why the big gap.
These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,103
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:18pm Oct 20, 2017 12:18pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I.. Stay Green
I dont have any guess about the open on sunday..but definitely wouldnt say youre nuts about things like this being possible. ultimately that is the goal of the banks, regardless of economics and monetary policy blah blah blah..the banks goal is to take out all the stops it can..hence when you end up with say 70-80% net short positions..it often heads north, visa versa..correct me if im wrong
  • #2,104
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:19pm Oct 20, 2017 12:19pm
Hi A not just that at all ,I'm counting the reasons and there are many this outlook is very firm at this stage
if actual war breaks all bets are off
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,105
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:20pm Oct 20, 2017 12:20pm
a bear failure like that means one thing only let's see...

Quoting Bones
{image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,106
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:20pm Oct 20, 2017 12:20pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I.. Stay Green

Yeah i know that. But the price is very wide. I'm sure my trading style changed what it used to be 5 months ago. Market reacts heavily these days even someone fart.

Funny. Anyway, how was your week. I closed all the shorts. Luckily before the final pullback. No trades running on any pairs. Positive week for me.
  • #2,107
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:21pm Oct 20, 2017 12:21pm
1718 is that number, a retest of that should be good for the books. it was barely tested (quick reaction) there should be real reaction there in my humble opinion. we shall see where we close today.

Yellen the trigger mistress
  • #2,108
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:22pm Oct 20, 2017 12:22pm
Quoting Bones
good discussion guys ,maybe usdx is easier on your eye the level were at and what price says {image}
Attached Image
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,109
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:33pm Oct 20, 2017 12:33pm
Quoting Traderview
{quote} Yeah i know that. But the price is very wide. I'm sure my trading style changed what it used to be 5 months ago. Market reacts heavily these days even someone fart. Funny. Anyway, how was your week. I closed all the shorts. Luckily before the final pullback. No trades running on any pairs. Positive week for me.
Week was pleasant and generous.. for now I have no trades running.. can't risk a weekend trade before we know for sure if H&S will fail or not.. I am glad you had a green week as well.. enjoy the weekend and rest well..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,110
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:34pm Oct 20, 2017 12:34pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDM30.png Size: 34 KB
  • #2,111
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:38pm Oct 20, 2017 12:38pm
simple question, why has eu failed to clear below 1700 time and again
  • #2,112
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:40pm Oct 20, 2017 12:40pm
any long looks good to me for 1824 MINIMUM. I am bullish but even the bears should count on hitting that again.
  • #2,113
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:42pm Oct 20, 2017 12:42pm
i will exit 1806, it can do whatever it wants to do after that
  • #2,114
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:44pm Oct 20, 2017 12:44pm
Quoting PatienceFx
i will exit 1806, it can do whatever it wants to do after that
50% of todays range
  • #2,115
  • Oct 20, 2017 12:56pm Oct 20, 2017 12:56pm
bearish consolidation, strong uptrend forget about H&S theres about 10 other things I can think of , when it breaks down the new trend will begin it's not up at this point

Quoting PatienceFx
simple question, why has eu failed to clear below 1700 time and again
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,116
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:03pm Oct 20, 2017 1:03pm
this is what that consolidation
Attached Image
looks like closed
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,117
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:11pm Oct 20, 2017 1:11pm
Quoting BeyondD
This mini rollercoaster of 1.179 to 1.176 and back up again is quite fun to make baby pips of 25 each per short. {image}

Rollercoaster part 2, the slide down is limited to 1.1771 instead.
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
  • #2,118
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:19pm Oct 20, 2017 1:19pm
lets see

Quoting Bones
could be a snag for up anymore bearish under {image}
Attached Image
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #2,119
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:52pm Oct 20, 2017 1:52pm
Daily Outlook and Sweetspots for Monday

With chart below, you can already make use of most current sweetspots today and especially on Monday.

  1. Price tries to drop back below 1.1762 (stubborn resistance level from earlier now best friend of bulls)
  2. Day has not closed yet so we don't know if today's candle will be an engulfing candle but it shows pretty significant bearish power.
  3. Range for Monday seems to be between 1.1858 and 1.1762 (bright blue area)
  4. Monday candle opens below 55 sma.. below 6 sma.. below pivot.. below current week's opening.. in other words: bearish territory (assuming no gap),
  5. If price pushes lower the most important level that expectedly will support is 1.1705
  6. Nearest resistance is 1.1814 for now

Day and week is done for me.. wishing you all a pleasant weekend..

Stay Green

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-D-Analysis.png Size: 40 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #2,120
  • Oct 20, 2017 7:12pm Oct 20, 2017 7:12pm
Minor range @ [1.1729 - 1.1856] ...
If broken low, I think the 1.1668 could be broken too, thus the longer H&S will then be formed ...
Will be planning for a sell afterward ...
Market is not random but unpredictable
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