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  • Post #2,101
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:12pm Oct 20, 2017 1:12pm
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,386 Posts
It's very funny, Last week Euro ended at 1.1815. This week i think it'd end at 1.1775. Just a 40 pips down.

I think the price stuck at this range 1.19 - 1.16. maybe for the whole year. Hysterical.
 
1
  • Post #2,102
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:13pm Oct 20, 2017 1:13pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,142 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
{quote} I dont get it. Why would it open at 1.1880? Why the big gap.
Ignored
These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
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  • Post #2,103
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:18pm Oct 20, 2017 1:18pm
  •  Venomousssss
  • Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 1,125 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I.. Stay Green
Ignored
I dont have any guess about the open on sunday..but definitely wouldnt say youre nuts about things like this being possible. ultimately that is the goal of the banks, regardless of economics and monetary policy blah blah blah..the banks goal is to take out all the stops it can..hence when you end up with say 70-80% net short positions..it often heads north, visa versa..correct me if im wrong
 
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  • Post #2,104
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:19pm Oct 20, 2017 1:19pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
Hi A not just that at all ,I'm counting the reasons and there are many this outlook is very firm at this stage
if actual war breaks all bets are off
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
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  • Post #2,105
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:20pm Oct 20, 2017 1:20pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
a bear failure like that means one thing only let's see...

Quoting Bones
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
 
  • Post #2,106
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:20pm Oct 20, 2017 1:20pm
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,386 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
{quote} These days war and politics can affect the markets in unexpected ways.. weekends are like manipulation opportunities for robber banks.. and for EURUSD, if they see that many retail trades left open with bearish expectations of H&S pattern.. they could kick all of these trades easily out with weekend news.. Yellen speaks tonight.. why especially after market is closed? Little things like this just made me think out loud.. ignore my words if you have more information than I.. Stay Green
Ignored

Yeah i know that. But the price is very wide. I'm sure my trading style changed what it used to be 5 months ago. Market reacts heavily these days even someone fart.

Funny. Anyway, how was your week. I closed all the shorts. Luckily before the final pullback. No trades running on any pairs. Positive week for me.
 
1
  • Post #2,107
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:21pm Oct 20, 2017 1:21pm
  •  SnaveForex
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 3,788 Posts
1718 is that number, a retest of that should be good for the books. it was barely tested (quick reaction) there should be real reaction there in my humble opinion. we shall see where we close today.

Yellen the trigger mistress
 
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  • Post #2,108
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:22pm Oct 20, 2017 1:22pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
Quoting Bones
Disliked
good discussion guys ,maybe usdx is easier on your eye the level were at and what price says {image}
Ignored
Attached Image
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
1
  • Post #2,109
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:33pm Oct 20, 2017 1:33pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,142 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
{quote} Yeah i know that. But the price is very wide. I'm sure my trading style changed what it used to be 5 months ago. Market reacts heavily these days even someone fart. Funny. Anyway, how was your week. I closed all the shorts. Luckily before the final pullback. No trades running on any pairs. Positive week for me.
Ignored
Week was pleasant and generous.. for now I have no trades running.. can't risk a weekend trade before we know for sure if H&S will fail or not.. I am glad you had a green week as well.. enjoy the weekend and rest well..

Stay Green
Be a seer, not a looker!
 
 
  • Post #2,110
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:34pm Oct 20, 2017 1:34pm
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Enjoying Trading | 12,414 Posts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: EURUSDM30.png
Size: 34 KB
 
 
  • Post #2,111
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:38pm Oct 20, 2017 1:38pm
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Enjoying Trading | 12,414 Posts
simple question, why has eu failed to clear below 1700 time and again
 
 
  • Post #2,112
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:40pm Oct 20, 2017 1:40pm
  •  Venomousssss
  • Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 1,125 Posts
any long looks good to me for 1824 MINIMUM. I am bullish but even the bears should count on hitting that again.
1
 
  • Post #2,113
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:42pm Oct 20, 2017 1:42pm
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Enjoying Trading | 12,414 Posts
i will exit 1806, it can do whatever it wants to do after that
 
1
  • Post #2,114
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:44pm Oct 20, 2017 1:44pm
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Enjoying Trading | 12,414 Posts
Quoting PatienceFx
Disliked
i will exit 1806, it can do whatever it wants to do after that
Ignored
50% of todays range
 
 
  • Post #2,115
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  • Oct 20, 2017 1:56pm Oct 20, 2017 1:56pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
bearish consolidation, strong uptrend forget about H&S theres about 10 other things I can think of , when it breaks down the new trend will begin it's not up at this point

Quoting PatienceFx
Disliked
simple question, why has eu failed to clear below 1700 time and again
Ignored
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
1
 
  • Post #2,116
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 2:03pm Oct 20, 2017 2:03pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
this is what that consolidation
Attached Image
looks like closed
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
1
  • Post #2,117
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 2:11pm Oct 20, 2017 2:11pm
  •  BeyondD
  • | Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 222 Posts
Quoting BeyondD
Disliked
This mini rollercoaster of 1.179 to 1.176 and back up again is quite fun to make baby pips of 25 each per short. {image}
Ignored

Rollercoaster part 2, the slide down is limited to 1.1771 instead.
Past glory means nothing on the battlefield
 
 
  • Post #2,118
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 2:19pm Oct 20, 2017 2:19pm
  •  Bones
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: left CanaryWharf desk-tea break | 22,307 Posts
lets see

Quoting Bones
Disliked
could be a snag for up anymore bearish under {image}
Ignored
Attached Image
#doyourownanalysisordietryin
 
2
  • Post #2,119
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 2:52pm Oct 20, 2017 2:52pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 18,142 Posts
Daily Outlook and Sweetspots for Monday

With chart below, you can already make use of most current sweetspots today and especially on Monday.

  1. Price tries to drop back below 1.1762 (stubborn resistance level from earlier now best friend of bulls)
  2. Day has not closed yet so we don't know if today's candle will be an engulfing candle but it shows pretty significant bearish power.
  3. Range for Monday seems to be between 1.1858 and 1.1762 (bright blue area)
  4. Monday candle opens below 55 sma.. below 6 sma.. below pivot.. below current week's opening.. in other words: bearish territory (assuming no gap),
  5. If price pushes lower the most important level that expectedly will support is 1.1705
  6. Nearest resistance is 1.1814 for now

Day and week is done for me.. wishing you all a pleasant weekend..

Stay Green

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: EURUSD-D-Analysis.png
Size: 40 KB
Be a seer, not a looker!
1
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  • Post #2,120
  • Quote
  • Oct 20, 2017 8:12pm Oct 20, 2017 8:12pm
  •  4for4
  • | Joined Apr 2017 | Status: 38737526 / 29052019 | 1,245 Posts
Minor range @ [1.1729 - 1.1856] ...
If broken low, I think the 1.1668 could be broken too, thus the longer H&S will then be formed ...
Will be planning for a sell afterward ...
Market is not random but unpredictable
 
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