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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #69,821
  • Oct 13, 2017 1:47pm Oct 13, 2017 1:47pm
Quoting Mooshu22
{quote} Thank you Nicholishen. Is this something learned from experience or is there a good place to read about how pairs impact each other. Thank you once again.
Here is a great article that lays out the simple math that governs the pricing of all forex pairs.
https://www.kreslik.com/forums/neoti...ble-hedge-t307
  • #69,822
  • Oct 13, 2017 2:29pm Oct 13, 2017 2:29pm
Quoting Nicholishen
{quote} Here is a great article that lays out the simple math that governs the pricing of all forex pairs. https://www.kreslik.com/forums/neoti...ble-hedge-t307

Interesting read N! Thanks
  • #69,823
  • Oct 13, 2017 2:40pm Oct 13, 2017 2:40pm
I see what your saying
I forgot aud on that your right

Quoting nealpek
Bones, the new thinking is to add AUS to your equation as well!
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,824
  • Oct 13, 2017 2:49pm Oct 13, 2017 2:49pm
Quoting Nicholishen
{quote} Here is a great article that lays out the simple math that governs the pricing of all forex pairs. https://www.kreslik.com/forums/neoti...ble-hedge-t307


Thank you for sharing this. You are very generous. I really appreciate it. I will be taking some time to thoroughly pour over this!
  • #69,825
  • Oct 13, 2017 2:51pm Oct 13, 2017 2:51pm
very sim but better, thanks
bearish with potential problems to go far is how I read
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 40 -usd index Screenshot 2017-10-13_20-49-35.png Size: 72 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,826
  • Oct 13, 2017 3:11pm Oct 13, 2017 3:11pm
Quoting Bones
very sim but better, thanks bearish with potential problems to go far is how I read {image}
Bullish head and shoulders forming on DXY
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: HandS.png Size: 110 KB


My Friday projections for UJ next week.
Attached Image
  • #69,827
  • Oct 13, 2017 3:26pm Oct 13, 2017 3:26pm
yea I think so ,that will be eu

Quoting Nicholishen
{quote} Bullish head and shoulders forming on DXY{image} My Friday projections for UJ next week. {image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,828
  • Oct 13, 2017 4:20pm Oct 13, 2017 4:20pm
Difficult to trade for the last week.
  • #69,829
  • Oct 13, 2017 4:25pm Oct 13, 2017 4:25pm
Quoting Mooshu22
{quote} Thank you for sharing this. You are very generous. I really appreciate it. I will be taking some time to thoroughly pour over this!
Can you take a screenshot of the content and post it? My computer is protecting me from myself.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Site.jpg Size: 34 KB
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #69,830
  • Oct 13, 2017 4:36pm Oct 13, 2017 4:36pm
Quoting OHLC
{quote} Can you take a screenshot of the content and post it? My computer is protecting me from myself. {image}

There's more than one page of notes... Uploaded a PDF.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf FPI - Fractional Product Inefficiency_ The Impeccable Hedge - Kreslik.pdf   278 KB | 600 downloads
  • #69,831
  • Oct 13, 2017 6:21pm Oct 13, 2017 6:21pm
Quoting Nicholishen
{quote} Bullish head and shoulders forming on DXY{image} My Friday projections for UJ next week. {image}
i love ur optimism brother
Your friendly neighbourhood Sith
  • #69,832
  • Oct 14, 2017 7:11am Oct 14, 2017 7:11am
he could add confluence to that

Quoting Bones
bad news {image}
Quoting darthPip
{quote} i love ur optimism brother
Attached Image
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,833
  • Oct 14, 2017 7:20am Oct 14, 2017 7:20am
Attached Image
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,834
  • Oct 14, 2017 7:29am Oct 14, 2017 7:29am
Quoting darthPip
{quote} i love ur optimism brother
111.80 did hold at closing, so there could be a possibility....
  • #69,835
  • Oct 14, 2017 7:30am Oct 14, 2017 7:30am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 120 eu Screenshot 2017-10-08_16-29-47.png Size: 138 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #69,836
  • Edited 6:31pm Oct 14, 2017 5:28pm | Edited 6:31pm
Finished my weekend training, My personal worst score yet 60% win ratio.
10/10s. make 10, 10 pip trades (as close as i can stops start more, but get rolled to break even. I have to cover the spread for a positive 10 pip trade)

All trades are usd/jpy demo on trading212 weekend trading,with a fixed 5 pip spread.

1.(W) sell 112.144 tp 111.950 looks like a high in place.
2.(L) sell 111.930 tp 111.770 retest previous day close.
3.(W) buy 112.075 tp 112.225 flopped the trade short was stopped out.
4.(W) sell 112.003 tp 111.850 Broke out of chop range.
5.(W) buy 111.818 tp 111.974 gap down testing previous day close.
6.(L) sell 112.015 tp 111.75 higher M formation try for a double.
7.(W) sell 112.573 tp 112.422 looks like it going to break trend line.
8.(L) sell 112.431 tp 112.201 trend line broke, should have waited for the retest.
9.(L) sell 112.536 tp 112.186 waited for the retest. trying to finish the exercise and pad pnl 10 pips, Is this going to be the worst one yet?, Yep.
10. (W) sell 112.700 tp 112.55 bounced back to the top of the chop with higher M formation. Thank god its over.

If anyone knows of any other similar exercises I'd like to here them. even though its my worst score I learned not to trade choppy markets they don't suit me.
  • #69,837
  • Oct 15, 2017 1:53am Oct 15, 2017 1:53am
Keep in mind that now is October 15. Within a few weeks Trump will be visiting Asia. Prior to Trump’s visit to Japan the Japanese YEN will strengthen and after Trump leaves it will weaken. Watch and see.
  • #69,838
  • Edited 10:29am Oct 15, 2017 8:05am | Edited 10:29am
Oh if only it were that simple.
  • #69,839
  • Oct 15, 2017 8:34am Oct 15, 2017 8:34am
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...n20171015a.htm

Mama Yellen sounding pretty hawkish this morning at the Group of 30 International Banking Seminar. Inflation on track and gradual rate hikes imminent over the next few years.
  • #69,840
  • Oct 15, 2017 9:34am Oct 15, 2017 9:34am
Quoting Nicholishen
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newse...n20171015a.htm Mama Yellen sounding pretty hawkish this morning at the Group of 30 International Banking Seminar. Inflation on track and gradual rate hikes imminent over the next few years.
Interesting, I was about to start googling for news on her speech.

Thanks for sharing, Nicholishen.

FF never disappoints.
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