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  • #1,137,041
  • Oct 11, 2017 8:41am Oct 11, 2017 8:41am
Quoting TudorIoan
{quote} OMFG, still above that bullish TL but I wouldn't see it reaching 1.1850 before FOMC ...but that's why FX is fun, isn't it ?!
the price is on the move. and only going higher and higher.
any reason for this euro strenght?
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #1,137,042
  • Oct 11, 2017 8:47am Oct 11, 2017 8:47am
Euro Bulls, check EuroAud.
  • #1,137,043
  • Oct 11, 2017 8:54am Oct 11, 2017 8:54am
Quoting Samson85
Has anyone else realised this? I only manage to catch 50 pips straight on oil!! https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...with-no-escape
Volatility doesn't matter. It just makes the trip slower. You up the leverage and lower volatility issue is gone.

Gonna stop somewhere near for refuel or for fall.
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  • #1,137,044
  • Oct 11, 2017 8:55am Oct 11, 2017 8:55am
Quoting mihai1986
{quote} the price is on the move. and only going higher and higher. any reason for this euro strenght?
Don't short it.

I expect a move to 1.1930 area.

Maybe big boys buying before FOMC.

Can we see a drop after.

I don't know.
  • #1,137,045
  • Edited 10:01am Oct 11, 2017 9:01am | Edited 10:01am
with little dramatic / early bounce with intact limit down for up 1.1661 & 12 for last leg up for the bull to show strength , broken limit up 1.1837 & now testing last limit 1.1860 to further up try towards 1.1950/top . take care , fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #1,137,046
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:02am Oct 11, 2017 9:02am
Quoting sakisf
{quote} Volatility doesn't matter. It just makes the trip slower. You up the leverage and lower volatility issue is gone. Gonna stop somewhere near for refuel or for fall. {image}
Yea I figured that out about upping the leverage but it just means more risk now because I am seeing these guys in penny stocks bring in heard cash lol
  • #1,137,047
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:23am Oct 11, 2017 9:23am
Haven't been back to the world of speculation in a while. After I made my profit, I wanted to some time to reassess my situation. After the UA dropped 300+ pips and having broken the channel, it may be time to consider that this may be a turnaround for a downtrend or just a breather as it heads back up. Politics would suggest the euro is entering into a stressed environment. Economically the european nation states are doing reasonably well. If Trump can get the tax reform through, I would see a major shift on the downside for the EUR/USD. This background is ripe for fertile speculations on both sides.

Also consider that the 1.1850's has been a strong support and resistance area. If it holds the resistance, it could be a strong drop.

That said, I am starting to short again long term building up my position as the PA goes against me. Put your surfboards away cuz a storm's a comin'.
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Taigen Profit This Month: na
  • #1,137,048
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:25am Oct 11, 2017 9:25am
Quoting Snowden
Short 11855 SL 11905
Close +10 and reverse w 10 sl
  • #1,137,049
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:38am Oct 11, 2017 9:38am
Quoting Anis
{quote} Do you mind keeping your forecast to yourself or else where auric..it's so misleading
Could you please explain in another words?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #1,137,050
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:41am Oct 11, 2017 9:41am
Quoting Anis
{quote} Do you mind keeping your forecast to yourself or else where auric..it's so misleading
It's not misleading at all, you just don't know how to read it. I'll help...When you hear something like 'sure thing', '100% it will go there' etc, RUN!
  • #1,137,051
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:47am Oct 11, 2017 9:47am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} It's not misleading at all, you just don't know how to read it. I'll help...When you hear something like 'sure thing', '100% it will go there' etc, RUN!
Was I wrong so far? I only specified TPs not SLs altough sometimes it seemed that way. In one of the signal I specified "scalpable" and it was. But I'm not sure if the man wants me to use full name or avoid pasting keywords from may name like "forecast"....

The only variable is time, specially when there are heavy disturbances/anomalies as there are now. It seems even 1.190 will be reached with slight delay but after that I would be confident to short till the end of the year (If I wouldn't already). And yes, I'm 3sigma sure price 1.1712 will be reached, should I knew the exact time as well and exact SL, I would be Billy in a week...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #1,137,052
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:48am Oct 11, 2017 9:48am
Took a fat USD/TRY long in expectations that trump acts like a child with Turkey and both parties escalate this situation. .also because the uptrend is strong..also because trump wants less and less non American countries involved with our products.
  • #1,137,053
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:51am Oct 11, 2017 9:51am
It is worth mentioning that the 200 SMA (white) on the 4 hour chart is in decline as well as the 50 SMA (yellow) has crossed over. When the daily chart reflects the same indicators, it would be fair to say the the EU is entering a downtrend. The 200 SMA hasn't even flatlined yet on the daily but it is getting close.
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Taigen Profit This Month: na
  • #1,137,054
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:53am Oct 11, 2017 9:53am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Was I wrong so far? I only specified TPs not SLs altough sometimes it seemed that way. In one of the signal I specified "scalpable" and it was. But I'm not sure if the man wants me to use full name or avoid pasting keywords from may name like "forecast"....
When you give a signal and the price goes 140+ pips against you, maybe it's time to call it quits and admit you are wrong. Or would you like me to scream things like 'parity' or 'eurusd will reach 2.0' and come back when i'm old and say 'i told you so'?
  • #1,137,055
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:57am Oct 11, 2017 9:57am
try to long here @1.184
and will short fib50 @1.188
  • #1,137,056
  • Oct 11, 2017 9:58am Oct 11, 2017 9:58am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} When you give a signal and the price goes 140+ pips against you, maybe it's time to call it quits and admit you are wrong. Or would you like me to scream things like 'parity' or 'eurusd will reach 2.0' and come back when i'm old and say 'i told you so'?
I already did that, 3 times. But I also stated that price is still ok (trend not trade). So I admit again, as I did a few times, the trade signal was wrong but price (direction) isn't. You can quote within let's say, a month?

My confessions:
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...2#post10373352
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post10375529
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...2#post10378242
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #1,137,057
  • Oct 11, 2017 10:01am Oct 11, 2017 10:01am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} I already did that, many times. But I also stated that price is still ok. So I admit again, as I did a few times, the trade signal was wrong but price (direction) isn't. You can quote within let's say, a month?
I agree on the direction part although it's been hard for me to short this after -33k nfp figure. Not saying i was long all this time either.
  • #1,137,058
  • Oct 11, 2017 10:03am Oct 11, 2017 10:03am
Quoting Snowden
{quote} Close +10 and reverse w 10 sl
Close b/e and reverse
  • #1,137,059
  • Oct 11, 2017 10:11am Oct 11, 2017 10:11am
i believe profits to be taken at 1.1890 -1.190 too
  • #1,137,060
  • Edited 10:41am Oct 11, 2017 10:15am | Edited 10:41am
Quoting Stillearnin
{quote} I agree on the direction part although it's been hard for me to short this after -33k nfp figure. Not saying i was long all this time either.
Ok then. And yes, I received SL yesterday, will have to be more careful now, specially around events like this. About the trend we will see soon, it was rather specific.

P.S. I will make up for the last signal's mistake, later... Will have to wait how this trend plays out first.
Can you afford to take that chance?
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