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  • #1,136,741
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:10am Oct 6, 2017 1:10am
Quoting axecap
{quote} based on what...if you don't mind explaining....there isnt a bullish signal in sight that I can see.
I am still waiting to exit the shorts, but you are right, technically it seems difficult to see any upside.

Using the BuySellArrow indicator posted by suthmo, the trade performance of the indicator is pretty good in a trending market if you use the EMA50 as a guide to test if the signal is false or not.
  • #1,136,742
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:11am Oct 6, 2017 1:11am
Quoting Vitallica
{quote} I am still waiting to exit the shorts, but you are right, technically it seems difficult to see any upside. Using the BuySellArrow indicator posted by suthmo, the trade performance of the indicator is pretty good in a trending market if you use the EMA50 as a guide to test if the signal is false or not.
The daily chart is enclosed.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD BuySellArrow D1.PNG Size: 117 KB
  • #1,136,743
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:27am Oct 6, 2017 1:27am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} i am happy with my trades {image} {image}
same here.
shorted eurusd yesterday
today i am long, i see that 1.1685 is holding for now. we might habe a bounce before the mighty NFP
MAKE IT RAIN
  • #1,136,744
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:29am Oct 6, 2017 1:29am
Quoting PatienceFx
cable will now jump to 3172 minimum can kiss 3200
Prankster Lee Nelson hands 'P45' to Theresa May on stage during her disastrous speech to Tory party conference
Inserted Video
I am who I am
  • #1,136,745
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:31am Oct 6, 2017 1:31am
Quoting Vitallica
{quote} I am still waiting to exit the shorts, but you are right, technically it seems difficult to see any upside. Using the BuySellArrow indicator posted by suthmo, the trade performance of the indicator is pretty good in a trending market if you use the EMA50 as a guide to test if the signal is false or not.
aside from NFP....I see quiet a bit more downside...maybe a spike up and then a continuation down. A spike up though would only be news related...
I'm staying short as long as it looks right, but will reduce risk or close altogether at NFP. Also expect some profit taking at close of week which will lift price at the close regardless. Buysellarrow (halftrend) indi is great. Good for entries..
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #1,136,746
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:33am Oct 6, 2017 1:33am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} Updating my pit stop @ 1.1684 before resuming its downward trend to 1.1587.
So far so good, seems like we are hovering "my" pit stop 1.1684 and looking good for the head and shoulders target @ 1.1587.

We might see again a pullback toward 1.1715 before resuming its downward trend.
  • #1,136,747
  • Oct 6, 2017 1:40am Oct 6, 2017 1:40am
Quoting Jonstaples
{quote} So far so good, seems like we are hovering "my" pit stop 1.1684 and looking good for the head and shoulders target @ 1.1587. We might see again a pullback toward 1.1715 before resuming its downward trend.
Or we might not see it resuming its downward trend.
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #1,136,748
  • Oct 6, 2017 2:41am Oct 6, 2017 2:41am
got the feeling everything is about to drop against dollar...


predicting 82k in NFP... really...
  • #1,136,749
  • Oct 6, 2017 2:42am Oct 6, 2017 2:42am
Quoting OHLC
{quote} What timeframe are you trading?
4H and above.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #1,136,750
  • Oct 6, 2017 2:43am Oct 6, 2017 2:43am
Quoting Don96
got the feeling everything is about to drop against dollar...
inside information....or wishful thinking....
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #1,136,751
  • Oct 6, 2017 2:44am Oct 6, 2017 2:44am
Quoting Don96
got the feeling everything is about to drop against dollar...
What about euro against the aud?
  • #1,136,752
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:03am Oct 6, 2017 3:03am
Quoting Don96
got the feeling everything is about to drop against dollar... predicting 82k in NFP... really...
I wonder why Nonfarm Payrolls Consensus is 90K on MyFxBook while it is 82k on FF...

My prediction is 85k, 90k seems too optimistic...

Unfortunately, Average Hourly Earnings m/m Consensus is 0.3%, too optimistic from 0.1% Previous so most likely it will come in red...
I am who I am
  • #1,136,753
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:15am Oct 6, 2017 3:15am
Quoting imwim
{quote} I wonder why Nonfarm Payrolls Consensus is 90K on MyFxBook while it is 82k on FF... My prediction is 85k, 90k seems too optimistic... Unfortunately, Average Hourly Earnings m/m Consensus is 0.3%, too optimistic from 0.1% Previous so most likely it will come in red...
I do not trade NFP or any news events but I'm curious, once the NFP release is complete, does price movement for remainder of Friday agree at least 50% of the time with the release outcome?
Here's Tom with the weather.
  • #1,136,754
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:19am Oct 6, 2017 3:19am
I like my levels like I like my chicken.....crispy
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,136,755
  • Edited 3:55am Oct 6, 2017 3:23am | Edited 3:55am
Quoting digger1
{quote} Yea ,,,usually to exit you have to be on a lower floor,,anyway thanx for the heads up,,,,,,,,nice little short going from just under last weeks low,,still have to figure out what .77777 had to do with anything ,,W S1 hasent slowed it much as of yet, was my tgt but may see how far it goes now ,,,,,stp will be down there now if it goes Ill trail it. PS sorry to hear bout the eur thing man,,, keep swinging {image}
Goddamn FED HYSTERIA Well contrary to my epic brag about killing news day... I'm on the ropes... Interesting to see it's FED NEWS FANTaSY TIME AND We're Exactly 30 pips under my buy target... 0.77777 I was looking at it earlier in the week thinking "Don't go there when i'm trying to buy above. But would be cool to see that price." EURO This move to sub 1715 may just be NEWS NOISE, I think it's still within outer containing wave, still hovering above multi year support. Hope 1680 is the bottom. Every News day price moves 30 pips above and below. Looks like a full set of seven down ending @

1678 Has to contain it, then we're getting closer to news so can see 1648 In a spike..


Aud was forming a symmetrical triangle that has made brief break of it's channel (signal of reversal)

If Euro does same it's 1748 ball-park


It's GO TIME

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUD TL BREAK.png Size: 45 KB
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #1,136,756
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:27am Oct 6, 2017 3:27am
of the majors nothing looks feasible to me.......maybe Au.....now pulling back a bit.....PDL not far away....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,136,757
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:37am Oct 6, 2017 3:37am
Quoting ZenNy
of the majors nothing looks feasible to me.......maybe Au.....now pulling back a bit.....PDL not far away....

7798 could be a spot, plus its ATR to boot...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,136,758
  • Edited 4:06am Oct 6, 2017 3:41am | Edited 4:06am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} 7798 could be a spot, plus its ATR to boot...
could you explain?

Yes I see reasons around 7798...
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,136,759
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:52am Oct 6, 2017 3:52am
Quoting ZenNy
{quote} could you explain? Yes I see reasons around 7798...

10 day Average True Range....its around 55/60 pips....

its gives you a guestimate, and lets you know where you are relative to whats been happening last few days volatility wise...


I wouldn't bet the farm on it, but it can filter some levels out that maybe are too close...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDM15.png Size: 43 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #1,136,760
  • Oct 6, 2017 3:54am Oct 6, 2017 3:54am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} 10 day Average True Range....its around 55/60 pips....
I see.....30 days is 68, yesterday 78..today 55..
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
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