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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #34,541
  • Sep 30, 2017 9:08pm Sep 30, 2017 9:08pm
Quoting mag00
{quote} (If ...) good question : the correlations (for the time being) are dollarcentric P.S. $ up, S&P up, Dax up, €$ dn, $Y up ... (and viceversa ... ) (there must be gas "$" for moving the "$&P" engine)
Thank you
  • #34,542
  • Edited 1:30am Oct 2, 2017 12:45am | Edited 1:30am
Quoting FxIpMan
{quote} Thank you
To be more precise. It is not for “the time being”...

It is ALWAYS like that!
The world (and the markets) are ALWAYS dollar-centred. Dollar IS the centre of markets.

Question is: whether or not -in each different moment- that correlation is or not working!
Market are selling or buying dollars “against all” or not?
Are we in “Risk aversion” or “Risk searching” mode?
The correlation is working or not?

Hope I was clear. Avoid to trade on fixed correlations... verify their existence in the NOW.
  • #34,543
  • Oct 2, 2017 3:06am Oct 2, 2017 3:06am
Quoting mag00
Ger30Dec (h4) @ 12900 ... 3co (4) + 3co (5) (tp13118) @ 13118 ... 4th & 5th (tp 13300) P.S. just one scribble: others will draw ... it is simply an interpretative model of graphic reality (not the same) {image} {image}
Ger30Dec (m30)

is a complex analysis?


P.S.
(not so much)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30Dec (m30).png Size: 41 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #34,544
  • Oct 2, 2017 3:53am Oct 2, 2017 3:53am
some shorts
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 2017-10-02_105252.png Size: 14 KB
The only constant is change
  • #34,545
  • Oct 2, 2017 4:17am Oct 2, 2017 4:17am
Quoting littspaniard
some shorts {image} {image}
move stop loss
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017-10-02_111644.png Size: 15 KB
The only constant is change
  • #34,546
  • Oct 2, 2017 4:22am Oct 2, 2017 4:22am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Ger30Dec (m30) is a complex analysis? P.S. (not so much)
aproximately same like mine TL analys. therefore I managed 13144 and 13299 sell limit orders. but I have a weekly channel which has 13800 top of for around. ascending channel so top is higher by time. and I always wait a huge drop from every top but delayed all the time.
  • #34,547
  • Oct 2, 2017 4:27am Oct 2, 2017 4:27am
Quoting littspaniard
{quote} move stop loss {image}
close manually 5*-2=-10 points
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017-10-02_112645.png Size: 14 KB
The only constant is change
  • #34,548
  • Oct 2, 2017 5:58am Oct 2, 2017 5:58am
Quoting Traderak
{quote} aproximately same like mine TL analys. therefore I managed 13144 and 13299 sell limit orders. but I have a weekly channel which has 13800 top of for around. ascending channel so top is higher by time. and I always wait a huge drop from every top but delayed all the time.
one of my thoughts ...

it is not so much the predictive capacity at the turning points (TargetPrices) of the interpretative model (more or less valid to describe the graphic reality) to be a priority (as it may seem ...) as the predisposition to support the time ...


P.S.
time as an entity that transforms and makes price observable and ...
... not the opposite: the price that is realized over time (?!)

(alias follow the trend ... until proven otherwise)
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #34,549
  • Oct 2, 2017 6:04am Oct 2, 2017 6:04am
whenever I follow the trend it falls upon me...
from the europe session begin I thought to sell brent but really afraid off and gave up. If you follow the trend with normal weighted position not to much problem but that is the problem with me over leveraged attempts.
fall upon
  • #34,550
  • Oct 2, 2017 6:05am Oct 2, 2017 6:05am
taken small possie short..1 min..only a punt.. if it goes rite price action i add too
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GER30M1.png Size: 62 KB
  • #34,551
  • Oct 2, 2017 6:05am Oct 2, 2017 6:05am
mean while it is out of the topic excuse me but normally brent should turn strongly according to my analys. but I see mostly people wait for a deep fall.
  • #34,552
  • Oct 2, 2017 6:25am Oct 2, 2017 6:25am
doubled my possie..closed now going bed..1 min
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GER30M1.png Size: 72 KB
  • #34,553
  • Edited 7:50am Oct 2, 2017 7:06am | Edited 7:50am
Quoting Traderak
mean while it is out of the topic excuse me but normally brent should turn strongly according to my analys. but I see mostly people wait for a deep fall.
Wti (D)

possible wave c in development: well visible in h1

P.S.
take a look ... (tpl)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Wti (D).png Size: 57 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: tpl Wti.tpl   21 KB | 483 downloads
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #34,554
  • Oct 2, 2017 8:11am Oct 2, 2017 8:11am
Anyone think dow will test dpp today before making a new high
  • #34,555
  • Oct 2, 2017 8:45am Oct 2, 2017 8:45am
Quoting FxIpMan
Anyone think dow will test dpp today before making a new high
It made a new high since friday, my 2 cents is that we will not see very much higher on dow & sp this week.
It might start retracing somewhat later this week.

If a monthly/weekly candle opens up higher, there is a statistical higher probability a significant part of that period move will be lower,.

It's testing 22420's now, which may hold for a little while,
If however dow retraces below 22330 and holds below 22280's, (sp below 2500's) I think we might see more significant retracement down.

just an idea on HTF.
Trade what you see not what you think,..happy trading
  • #34,556
  • Oct 2, 2017 8:54am Oct 2, 2017 8:54am
Quoting Pattrader
{quote} It made a new high since friday, my 2 cents is that we will not see very much higher on dow & sp this week. It might start retracing somewhat later this week. If a monthly/weekly candle opens up higher, there is a statistical higher probability a significant part of that period move will be lower,. It's testing 22420's now, which may hold for a little while, If however dow retraces below 22330 and holds below 22280's, (sp below 2500's) I think we might see more significant retracement down. just an idea on HTF.
Thanks
  • #34,557
  • Oct 2, 2017 8:57am Oct 2, 2017 8:57am
Quoting FxIpMan
{quote} Thanks

ps what is dpp?
Trade what you see not what you think,..happy trading
  • #34,558
  • Oct 2, 2017 9:01am Oct 2, 2017 9:01am
Quoting Pattrader
{quote} ps what is dpp?
Daily pivot point
  • #34,559
  • Oct 2, 2017 9:01am Oct 2, 2017 9:01am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Wti (D) possible wave c in development: well visible in h1 P.S. take a look ... (tpl)
Thank you for tpl..when you look this side there is a huge deep cliff.. short term 4H looking bull flag may be will be broken down..but as FA if stocks up oil is up;which is an old correlation oil 115 to 40 ...dow 12000 to 23000
  • #34,560
  • Edited Oct 3, 2017 2:22am Oct 2, 2017 9:17am | Edited Oct 3, 2017 2:22am
Quoting Traderak
{quote} Thank you for tpl..when you look this side there is a huge deep cliff.. short term 4H looking bull flag may be will be broken down..but as FA if stocks up oil is up;which is an old correlation oil 115 to 40 ...dow 12000 to 23000
It might be corrected ... the other version ...

ie we are already in second one (?!) within 3composed wave (no wave c ... already realized)
The yellow segment joining minima 1 and 3 is already present ...
(it will be used to determine the top wave 5 if positioned above max wave 4)


P.S.
an interpretative model ...
(not the same reality)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Wti (D).png Size: 56 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
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