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100 Trades Analysis

  • #441
  • Sep 7, 2017 11:40pm Sep 7, 2017 11:40pm
Quoting ForexStream
{quote} With all due respect hilmy, as you surely are quite a persona here... being aggressive means nothing to the market. The only question you should ask yourself is - do I have a clearly defined edge? If no, go back to the drawing board.

I think so. an edge is cumulative in nature. it's a sum of diferent parts. I'm trying to complete mine with the testing.
  • #442
  • Sep 8, 2017 12:15am Sep 8, 2017 12:15am
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} I started playing poker around the same time I decided to do daytrading which was 2009. back then they had poker after dark shows that I watch almost everyday. the way the pros handle big winners/losers was so inspiring. I would watch tom dawn and ivey just go all in on a bluff,and then fold so easily the next hand. truly amazing to see.
Durrr was a monster in those days, fun to watch, and it's good to see him back. I love that show! Along with High Stakes Poker, which was my preferred of the two. My favorite player being Daniel Negreanu. But if you watch him throughout the series, he's probably a net loser of almost $2M. Though would anyone contest that he's a bad player or a losing player. It comes down to variance and downswings. Understanding that and keeping your head is key. Which brings me to the aggressive comment.

Quoting ForexStream
{quote} With all due respect hilmy, as you surely are quite a persona here... being aggressive means nothing to the market. The only question you should ask yourself is - do I have a clearly defined edge? If no, go back to the drawing board.
While, inherently, this is true, an edge is most certainly required, I don't necessarily think that Hilmy was referring to aggressive as being reckless. I believe that is why he is running the experiments. Relating back to poker, a "tight/aggressive" strategy is the commonly accepted, profitable strat in most games. I believe it is also assumed Hilmy refers to being 'aggressive' as a means of maximizing his opportunities and profit potential and not a 'pray and spray' maniac trading mentality that some may come to as a conclusion. He has experience and a track record of competent trading and I feel these are fair assumptions. In true Hilmy fashion I say this:

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  • #443
  • Sep 8, 2017 6:48am Sep 8, 2017 6:48am
Quoting ForexStream
{quote} With all due respect hilmy, as you surely are quite a persona here... being aggressive means nothing to the market. The only question you should ask yourself is - do I have a clearly defined edge? If no, go back to the drawing board.
Being aggressive is everything to the market... it decides whether you blow up fast or make enough money while it's available. Being aggressive means no hesitation when a good opportunity presents itself. I think you're referring to 'impatience'.
"The fun is in the hunt. Not the kill."
  • #444
  • Edited 8:38am Sep 8, 2017 7:23am | Edited 8:38am
talking about poker just made realize that I need to keep stats of the outcome of each profile structure in my list to see how they compare. kind of like tracking how I play each hand.

I have 3 profile structures and its variations and 1 extended day structure. to keep it simple, just going to keep track of net pips for each struture. short term high volatility may skew the results, so I should keep this test longer to remove that variable

test3 (1 trade)

Structure 1a = 24
Structure 1b

Structure 2a
Structure 2a

Structure 3a
Structure 3b
-----------------------------
Structure 4a
Structure 4b

Structure 5a
Structure 5b

Structure 6a
Structure 6b
-----------------------------
Structure 7
-----------------------------
Structure 8a
Structure 8b
  • #445
  • Sep 11, 2017 8:21am Sep 11, 2017 8:21am
those times when euro didnt do shit and NY trends well..

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  • #446
  • Sep 11, 2017 10:46am Sep 11, 2017 10:46am
T.E looks better, is it different to your other strategy?

p.s whats happening with this ? 18 days left

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...5#post10093375
  • #447
  • Sep 11, 2017 10:56am Sep 11, 2017 10:56am
Quoting Don96
T.E looks better, is it different to your other strategy? p.s whats happening with this ? 18 days left https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...5#post10093375
lol it's just 2 trades. i still trade the same concept of profiles, just included more patterns.

main account is on pause until i get this testing done, til prob end of this month. then i can resume trading normally. it's hard to trade 2 accounts at same time, so i'm not gonna try.

if you're talking about the bet..well you win. here's your $1000

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  • #448
  • Sep 11, 2017 11:59am Sep 11, 2017 11:59am
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} lol it's just 2 trades. i still trade the same concept of profiles, just included more patterns. main account is on pause until i get this testing done, til prob end of this month. then i can resume trading normally. it's hard to trade 2 accounts at same time, so i'm not gonna try. if you're talking about the bet..well you win. here's your $1000 {image}
:0 - don't let me call you sore loser the rest of your entire FF life, you already told KillerWhale how it was, you joining the boat with him i see

looks better than a pic you showed the other day, how is Market profile treating you?

also anything on futures yet?

and, finally today AUD asshole is getting kicked
  • #449
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:37pm Sep 11, 2017 12:37pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} :0 - don't let me call you sore loser the rest of your entire FF life, you already told KillerWhale how it was, you joining the boat with him i see looks better than a pic you showed the other day, how is Market profile treating you? also anything on futures yet? and, finally today AUD asshole is getting kicked
MP is good ,but needs more testing with the additional patterns i'm tracking. I just want to make sure my patterns work 8 times out of 10 then i'm happy

futures is good. now I know a bit about it, i'll keep it as my backup market in case oanda goes insolvent or nfa just outright ban forex (more likely).,

where your TE at man..you lost your right to brag hiding it!
  • #450
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:41pm Sep 11, 2017 12:41pm
Patterns around mp levels are gold try nq you will never trade forex ever again
  • #451
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:44pm Sep 11, 2017 12:44pm
Quoting Divergence
Patterns around mp levels are gold try nq you will never trade forex ever again
actually I am tracking NQ since you mentioened in.. it is nice movements

but i'm debating why switch now. forex still works for me. i'm getting more bang for my money with volume rebate and higher leverage..
  • #452
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:44pm Sep 11, 2017 12:44pm
Quoting hilmy83
{quote} MP is good ,but needs more testing with the additional patterns i'm tracking. I just want to make sure my patterns work 8 times out of 10 then i'm happy futures is good. now I know a bit about it, i'll keep it as my backup market in case oanda goes insolvent or nfa just outright ban forex (more likely)., where your TE at man..you lost your right to brag hiding it!
im moving to Ctrader ECN with IC trader... its still about, ill post it when I get the account running...
  • #453
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:46pm Sep 11, 2017 12:46pm
If you say so good luck
  • #454
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:46pm Sep 11, 2017 12:46pm
Quoting Divergence
Patterns around mp levels are gold try nq you will never trade forex ever again
do you trade MP on NQ?

and yeah hilmy 8 out of 10 wins would be fucking awesome, atm im not quite there... i take too many trades... the less i take the more i win...

had UJ sell 108.88 missed entry by like 0.3 earlier, had to delete it, got another pending at 109.32 for 10
  • #455
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:47pm Sep 11, 2017 12:47pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} do you trade MP on NQ? and yeah hilmy 8 out of 10 wins would be fucking awesome, atm im not quite there... i take too many trades... the less i take the more i win... had UJ sell 108.88 missed entry by like 0.3 earlier, had to delete it, got another pending at 109.32 for 10
Yes I do trade nq with mp
  • #456
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:49pm Sep 11, 2017 12:49pm
Quoting Divergence
{quote} Yes I do trade nq with mp
ive seen some people trading low volume nodes rather than high volume nodes, im sticking with high volume in areas of rejection atm, it makes more sense, but whats your take?
  • #457
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:51pm Sep 11, 2017 12:51pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} ive seen some people trading low volume nodes rather than high volume nodes, im sticking with high volume in areas of rejection atm, it makes more sense, but whats your take?
I use hvn as well as pockets the pockets tell us not a lot of volume good to trade off of
  • #458
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:58pm Sep 11, 2017 12:58pm
Quoting Divergence
{quote} I use hvn as well as pockets the pockets tell us not a lot of volume good to trade off of
you look at pa from previous day to determine whether the level is trade able?

Quoting Don96
{quote} do you trade MP on NQ? and yeah hilmy 8 out of 10 wins would be fucking awesome, atm im not quite there... i take too many trades... the less i take the more i win... had UJ sell 108.88 missed entry by like 0.3 earlier, had to delete it, got another pending at 109.32 for 10
UJ looks likely for a SO... 200+ pips ago i was stopped out on the low of the day... cool
  • #459
  • Sep 11, 2017 1:03pm Sep 11, 2017 1:03pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} you look at pa from previous day to determine whether the level is trade able? {quote} UJ looks likely for a SO... 200+ pips ago i was stopped out on the low of the day... cool
Yes I used Friday's tpo chart for today's trading
  • #460
  • Sep 12, 2017 8:21am Sep 12, 2017 8:21am
what a zig zagging today. got me all confused. right now i'm thinking fade a breakout from Jolts?

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