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The Really Useless Thread

  • #154,481
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:20am Aug 31, 2017 11:20am
Quoting gatorinla
bulls managed to get last h above 1841 on close. maybe looking at/for 1863. R at 1875.. {image}
L rolled -1875 at 1874.9 on day... the month is still open, 1826 is still undecided. even st bulls want 1865 once again
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,482
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:24am Aug 31, 2017 11:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} L rolled -1875 at 1874.9 on day... the month is still open, 1826 is still undecided
Gator, the monthly L roll is also 1874.9? I mean - the monthly L roll is the L roll on the last day of the month and it already passed?
or you mean that NY monthly roll is still open?
  • #154,483
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:26am Aug 31, 2017 11:26am
Quoting jaxx80
{quote} Gator, the monthly L roll is also 1874.9? or you mean that NY monthly roll is still open?
nope.. month dont end on a day roll unless its closes a month over the weekend.. that is why the forensics dont show 1926/27 (w/o the right time).. atm 1874.9 is some support.. 1865 norm below. the month hasn't decided with a close. it still may close the month below 1826
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,484
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:38am Aug 31, 2017 11:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope.. month dont end on a day roll unless its closes a month over the weekend.. that is why the forensics dont show 1926/27 (w/o the right time).. atm 1874.9 is some support.. 1865 norm below. the month hasn't decided with a close. it still may close the month below 1826
It's NFP tomorrow. Won't that just eat any numbers we are close to?
Gone to a better place
  • #154,485
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:47am Aug 31, 2017 11:47am
Quoting smikester
{quote} It's NFP tomorrow. Won't that just eat any numbers we are close to?
u already have adp as positive.. unless nfp is really worse than expected, i doubt it. last weeks unemployment claims were down. to me, that is positive toward nfp. next week/month the flood may change all of this.. as for as today goes, nfp has a better chance of being as expected tomorrow. pa took out Dragis already, then closed the day below his affect. in about 11hrs the month will vote. if that close is below 1826, its a dojo with a Dragis rejection.. if its below 1797 it is rejecting Dragis and Yellen.. if so, its like both of them have a press conference together. then where market buys usd after hearing them.. the month contains all those news releases.. then the market votes..up or down the results..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,486
  • Aug 31, 2017 11:50am Aug 31, 2017 11:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u already have adp as positive.. unless nfp is really worse than expected, i doubt it. last weeks unemployment claims were down. to me, that is positive toward nfp. next week/month the flood may change all of this.. as for as today goes, nfp has a better chance of being as expected tomorrow. pa took out Dragis already, then closed the day below his affect. in about 11hrs the month will vote.
Thanks for the reply. I tend to agree, especially looking at the monthly 1.2 - 1.19 support now turned resistance.
Gone to a better place
  • #154,487
  • Aug 31, 2017 12:00pm Aug 31, 2017 12:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} L rolled -1875 at 1874.9 on day... the month is still open, 1826 is still undecided. even st bulls want 1865 once again {image}
Hi Gator...
I still have a 150 projection into the 1.1946 norm as an intermediate target for the bulls, but that last little rally high at 1.1907x is exactly halfway to the higher norm at 1.1993....

I'm pretty sure you already noticed that since you mentioned 1.1865....
  • #154,488
  • Aug 31, 2017 12:06pm Aug 31, 2017 12:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope.. month dont end on a day roll unless its closes a month over the weekend.. that is why the forensics dont show 1926/27 (w/o the right time).. atm 1874.9 is some support.. 1865 norm below. the month hasn't decided with a close. it still may close the month below 1826
So if I understand correctly you use London close only for weekly and daily closes?
For monthly closes the London roll (1874.9 for the month of August) is not relevant and you use the 17h est time and 24h est time rolls?
  • #154,489
  • Aug 31, 2017 1:34pm Aug 31, 2017 1:34pm
july 1784 1826 and less 1841 were/are. .. less so was the ny 5 est close at 1841, the one most use for a close pivot etc.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,490
  • Aug 31, 2017 1:43pm Aug 31, 2017 1:43pm
i may be giving people the wrong impression.. the month is still open. it hasn't closed imo. i am not saying its bearish atm.. and even with a month close below 1826. it still can retrace some of the 1.20xx rise, b4 it drops.. i dont think that's the case with a close below 1826. it doesn't mean it wont happen. it doesn't mean a close below 1826 is a certainty bear move for a drop. closing above 1826 has a better shot of being bullish, more so above 1891. from there closing below those lessons the chance.. none is a certainty.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,491
  • Aug 31, 2017 6:30pm Aug 31, 2017 6:30pm
month bullish, tomorrow NFP we may be able to see again 1.176x and 1.168x support in one side, and aiming for a new High in the other side
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture3.JPG Size: 143 KB
Beware of Draghi
  • #154,492
  • Edited 7:11pm Aug 31, 2017 6:47pm | Edited 7:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
i may be giving people the wrong impression.. the month is still open. it hasn't closed imo. i am not saying its bearish atm.. and even with a month close below 1826. it still can retrace some of the 1.20xx rise, b4 it drops.. i dont think that's the case with a close below 1826. it doesn't mean it wont happen. it doesn't mean a close below 1826 is a certainty bear move for a drop. closing above 1826 has a better shot of being bullish, more so above 1891. from there closing below those lessons the chance.. none is a certainty.
Month was closed at 1908(O:1840) with bullish doji.
Tomorrow, if news push it up above 1940, then weekly could be closed with bullish too, we will see new H or retest 2069.
The drop from 2066 to 1823 was slowly, I did not see any strong drop there!
So I will short scalp around 1946, not for long term, the week can be closed with bullish one!
Good news also could turn it down to 176ish, but I think it will go up to 18ish or even 19ish before making a LL than 176ish
Wait to see how it moves with the news then !

Will keep my eyes at 1940 !!!
  • #154,493
  • Aug 31, 2017 6:57pm Aug 31, 2017 6:57pm
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Month was closed at 1908(O:1840) with bullish doji. Tomorrow, if news push it up above 1940, then weekly could be closed with bullish too, we will see new H or retest 2069. The drop from 2066 to 1823 was slowly, I did not see any strong drop there! So I will short scalp around 1946, not for long term, the week can be closed with bullish one! Wait to see how it moves with the news then ! Will keep my eyes at 1940 !!!

i see 1,19465 for a short to 1,16989
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: capture 4.JPG Size: 171 KB
Beware of Draghi
  • #154,494
  • Aug 31, 2017 7:14pm Aug 31, 2017 7:14pm
Quoting Paolob
{quote} i see 1,19465 for a short to 1,16989 {image}
with good new, we could see that but bad new, it can make new H also!
There was a HH there, so I need to see a hard drop to confirm the reversal.
Remember month, week, day are bullish!
  • #154,495
  • Aug 31, 2017 7:17pm Aug 31, 2017 7:17pm
Quoting Angelina
{quote} with good new, we could see that but bad new, it can make new H also! There was a HH there, so I need to see a hard drop to confirm the reversal. Remember month, week, day are bullish!
Yes agree
Beware of Draghi
  • #154,496
  • Aug 31, 2017 8:46pm Aug 31, 2017 8:46pm
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Month was closed at 1908(O:1840) with bullish doji. Tomorrow, if news push it up above 1940, then weekly could be closed with bullish too, we will see new H or retest 2069. The drop from 2066 to 1823 was slowly, I did not see any strong drop there! So I will short scalp around 1946, not for long term, the week can be closed with bullish one! Good news also could turn it down to 176ish, but I think it will go up to 18ish or even 19ish before making a LL than 176ish Wait to see how it moves with the news then ! Will keep my eyes at 1940 !!!...
give it another 2hrs and 15 min... it looks dead atm .. unlikely looking now.. if something is going to happen, time is short now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,497
  • Aug 31, 2017 9:03pm Aug 31, 2017 9:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} give it another 2hrs and 15 min... it looks dead atm .. unlikely looking now.. if something is going to happen, time is short now..
Are you aspecting any movment in 2 hours?down or up?
Beware of Draghi
  • #154,498
  • Sep 1, 2017 2:44am Sep 1, 2017 2:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} give it another 2hrs and 15 min... it looks dead atm .. unlikely looking now.. if something is going to happen, time is short now..
i went Long on the 1879 touch.. i need it to close above 1902 to feel safe now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,499
  • Sep 1, 2017 2:45am Sep 1, 2017 2:45am
Quoting Paolob
{quote} Are you aspecting any movment in 2 hours?down or up?
no, i was letting it close.. and it did.. 1901. 75 pips higher than July's close , not much move in a month. never the less it was green. shooting for 1.2166 atm.. unless something changes.. i still have a pending short at 1.2166
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #154,500
  • Sep 1, 2017 2:53am Sep 1, 2017 2:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i went Long on the 1879 touch.. i need it to close above 1902 to feel safe now..
1872 may be better.. i wasn't sure if it would get under 1879 or not.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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