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NFP Prediction

  • #21
  • Jul 21, 2017 9:18am Jul 21, 2017 9:18am
Quoting RapzyFX
{quote} HI Mesi99, I just started looking at your other thread which you said there that you have closed and posted a link to this one but I realised that you still posted a prediction for CAD in that thread. Should I continue to follow both threads? This thread is only for NFP predictions, so is the other one for other types of RED News? I like your idea and would really like to see you suceed. Don't bother about the very negative comments. People only STANDOUT when they venture into stuff that ALL OTHERS see as Impossble. Hang On and continue...
Good luck everyone.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #22
  • Aug 4, 2017 7:15am Aug 4, 2017 7:15am
i predict positive usd and cad employment report so sell xau usd and sell eur cad and wait
https://t.co/UF6m5o2eZ4
https://twitter.com/ahmedfouad44771
  • #23
  • Aug 4, 2017 10:18am Aug 4, 2017 10:18am
i just closed all orders
  • #24
  • Aug 4, 2017 10:27am Aug 4, 2017 10:27am
Quoting RapzyFX
{quote} HI Mesi99, I just started looking at your other thread which you said there that you have closed and posted a link to this one but I realised that you still posted a prediction for CAD in that thread. Should I continue to follow both threads? This thread is only for NFP predictions, so is the other one for other types of RED News? I like your idea and would really like to see you suceed. Don't bother about the very negative comments. People only STANDOUT when they venture into stuff that ALL OTHERS see as Impossble. Hang On and continue...
thanks a lot rapzyfx for supporting me, and sorry for taking long time to reply,i did not have time to write here
  • #25
  • Aug 4, 2017 10:35am Aug 4, 2017 10:35am
Quoting mesi99
buy gbp usd and sell gbp cad
this quote was for july news ,for the first five minutes candles both prediction was right and i did not say wait ,that was catch and run
and for aud jpy went down like i said wait not only the first five minutes candle and the one who wait when the aud employment released earned more than 50 pips that night
and today i said wait and i was right
so after five predictions ,i made the whole five right
  • #26
  • Aug 4, 2017 10:47am Aug 4, 2017 10:47am
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=518501&page=242
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #27
  • Aug 5, 2017 5:45pm Aug 5, 2017 5:45pm
Quoting AlexReid
{quote} Total guess.... 1 right 1 wrong. Indicators wont predict news events. Don't take advice from this thread, theirs always one guy that thinks he can predict the news.
hi alexreid you said that it is total guess but i told you it is not guess and i explained in my last thread before this one under name of
"prediction of price movement during red news"
i told you that i to predict usd , i look at all charts of usd not only majors but also minors like usd zar,usd mxn ,usd nok ,usd sek,and gold
for cad i look also for all canadian pairs plus canadian exotic pairs like cad nok,cad mxn,cad zar,cad sek
and yesterday eurcad was the pair that gave me the chance to see positive employment report
and yesterday before news release by 40 minutes, i released my article in this link
under title : eur cad signal positive canadian employment report

https://arincen.com/analytics/351
but you need to translate this page from arabic to english to learn how i predict
you alexreid and others who were not convinced that charts gave us signals before red impact news telling us how the red news will come positive or negative
translate this article to learn how to predict and stop arguing me
  • #28
  • Aug 5, 2017 5:55pm Aug 5, 2017 5:55pm
Quoting Catch-22
Please don't start dumb threads like this. It's not a prediction it's a GUESS, and people follow this forum with more money than sense.
read this article to know that it is not guess
read to learn how charts gave us signals before red news
but you have to translate it
here the link
https://arincen.com/analytics/351
it is my article i wrote it
  • #29
  • Aug 5, 2017 10:58pm Aug 5, 2017 10:58pm
What is the News Hub Lockup like?

Shortly after dawn on most weekday mornings, a strange ritual takes place in Washington D.C. Two dozen select men and women leave their homes, grab their newspapers, and rush off to spend part of the day under virtual house arrest. Yes, house arrest—as in incarceration. Precisely where they go to be confined can vary day to day. It could be in a dilapidated government building one morning and a high-tech office complex the next. Regardless of the location, what occurs in all these places is always the same. They enter a strict, prison-like setting where contact with the outside world is cut off.

One Friday morning, this same group climbs a long set of steps to the side entrance of a sleek, white-stone building on 3rd Avenue and C Street in the heart of the nation's capital. Armed guards greet them at the entrance for a security check; from this point on, everyone has to wear their ID tags at all times. The visitors proceed across a lobby, down a quiet narrow corridor, eventually stopping in front of a locked, heavy wooden door. A government official awaits them and quickly opens the door to reveal a drab, windowless, L-shaped room 40 feet long and some 10 feet across. It is empty except for two dozen plain-looking orange and chrome chairs, each resting alongside a row of narrow cubicle-like desks. A digital clock that rests high on the wall breaks time down to seconds. It is 7:30:15 a.m., and already 12 people have found their way into the "lock-up" room. More are expected within the next 15 minutes. All who enter dutifully sign their names on a special sheet.

Despite its austere appearance, there is an atmosphere of calm in the room, at least for now. Some visitors talk excitedly about the previous night's televised basketball game. Others are either chatting on cell phones or checking their Palm Pilots for messages. A few keep to themselves by catching up on the morning paper or downing a quick muffin and coffee. Everyone in the room, however, makes a point of always knowing the time, with some people eyeing the digital clock so frequently that their actions may be mistaken for nervous tics.

As the time approaches 8 a.m., there is a palpable change in mood. Gone now are the sounds of light conversation; these sounds are replaced by the din of laptops firing up. Everyone appears to be focused on what is about to occur.

At 7:55 a.m. sharp, a government official walks in and picks up a wall phone to call the Naval Observatory, home to the Vice President of the United States. It is also the location of the ultra-accurate atomic clock. She listens intently for a few seconds and then abruptly hangs up without saying a word. The individual then inserts a key into a lock on the wall, which allows her to adjust the digital clock to the precise second. With the correct time now set, the official then turns around to make a terse announcement.
"Please turn off all cell phones and Palm Pilots, and disconnect laptops from your telephone lines."


To make sure everyone complies, the official walks across the room and eyes each desk. Meanwhile a second federal employee arrives carrying copies of a highly sensitive government report. Each one is placed facedown on an empty desk.

Then it begins.

At precisely 8 a.m., the door to the lock-up room clicks shut. From this point on, all those inside are out of touch with the rest of the world. No one is permitted to leave. No calls or messages can come into or out of the room. Security is tight. A guard stands by outside, ready to use force if anyone attempts to sneak out.

What secret is the government protecting? Is the CIA about to begin a classified briefing on intelligence activities? Are Congressional investigators huddling to hear the newest terrorist threat? No. All these precautions are taken for one reason. The government is about to release numbers. Statistics. More precisely, economic statistics. The visitors in the room are business reporters representing news organizations from around the world, and this morning they're working out of the Department of Labor's secure press room.

Why such tight secrecy? Because in the next few seconds, these journalists will be the first to lay their eyes on one of the country's most sensitive economic measures—the monthly report on employment conditions. It can shed fresh light on whether the U.S. economy is growing or facing a slowdown. Did the number of Americans who have jobs rise or fall in the latest month? Have hourly wages gone up or did they drop? Did people work more hours or less? These statistics might not seem particularly earthshaking to most Americans, but they can and do whip the global stock, bond, and currency markets into a frenzy. For individual investors and professional money managers, the information in the jobs report can mean the difference between having a winning or losing portfolio. It also explains the need for the security measures. Individuals getting such hot figures ahead of time can make a quick bundle of money because they know something of which no one else in the financial markets is yet aware. To prevent such abuses, the government guards these and dozens of other key economic indicators as tightly as a military base. It also implements a carefully controlled procedure to disseminate sensitive economic news.

8:00:00 The instant the door is shut, reporters dive in to grab the latest release on employment conditions, which up to now had been facedown. They have just 30 minutes to read, digest, and write their stories on how the job market changed during the previous month. Most of the journalists arrived that morning with the expectation that the employment release would carry dismal economic news, with the number of people without jobs rising—a troubling sign the economy was weakening. At least that was the opinion of most professional forecasters whom these reporters consulted just days earlier.

But on this particular morning, the employment report stuns everyone. Those in the lock-up room read with amazement that companies actually hired workers in far greater numbers than anyone expected. Moreover, other figures inside the report appear to corroborate signs the economy is doing quite well. Wages are rising and factory overtime is increasing. Far from slowing, the latest evidence indicates the economy is actually picking up steam. It is astounding news of which the rest of the world is yet unaware.


As the digital clock continues its silent countdown, reporters working on the story suddenly face some urgent questions. What's really happening in the economy? Why were so many "experts" caught off guard? What does this mean for future inflation and interest rates? How might the stock, bond, and currency markets react to the news?

Though the latest jobs report was unexpected, these journalists are not completely unprepared. As is their routine, a day or two earlier they showered private economists with questions that covered a variety of hypothetical employment scenarios. What does it mean if the job market worsens? What if it actually improves? Now the reporters are frantically searching through their interview notes to help them file their stories.

8:28:00 A Labor Department worker in the lock-up room notifies television reporters that they can now leave under escort to prepare for their live 8:30 broadcast of the jobs report.

For the remaining journalists in the room, there is just a brief warning: "Two minutes left!" By now, most have pieced together their initial version of the story—the headline, the opening sentences, key numbers, and the implications for the economy. All that's left are some last-minute fact checking and a word tweak here and there.

8:29:00 "One minute. You can open your telephone lines—BUT DO NOT TRANSMIT!"

The level of tension is not just high in the lock-up room, for at that moment, money managers and traders in New York, Chicago, Tokyo, Hong Kong, London, Paris, and Frankfurt are riveted to their computer screens, anxiously waiting for the release of the crucial jobs report. It's a stomach-churning time for them because investment decisions that involve hundreds of billions of dollars will be made the instant the latest employment news flashes across their monitors. Why such worldwide interest in how jobs fare in America? For one, many foreign investors own U.S. stocks and bonds, and their values can rise or fall based on what the job report says. Second, the international economy is now so tightly interconnected that a weak or strong jobs report in the U.S. can directly impact business activity in other countries. If joblessness in America climbs, consumers will likely purchase fewer cars from Germany, wine from France, and clothing from Indonesia. In contrast, a jump in employment means households will have more income to spend on imports, and this can stimulate foreign economies.

8:29:30 "Thirty seconds!" The fingers of reporters hover over their computer's Send button, ready to dispatch the latest employment news to the world. On-air reporters are also prepared to deliver the news live.

8:29:50 An official counts the final seconds out loud.

"Ten . . . nine . . . eight . . . seven . . . six . . . five . . . four . . . three . . . two . . . one!"

8:30:00 "Transmit!" Reporters simultaneously hit the Send buttons on their keyboards. In seconds, electronic news carriers, including Bloomberg, AP, Reuters, and Japan's Kyodo News, release their stories. Television and cable news stations, such as CNBC, Bloomberg TV, CNN, and MSNBC broadcast the report live. A second or two later, computer screens around the globe carry the first surprising words: "Jobs unexpectedly rose the previous month, with the unemployment rate falling instead of rising!"

For journalists in the lock-up room, the stress-filled half-hour grind is over, and they are now free to leave. But the work has just begun for those in the investment community.

2006

http://wingstarfx.webs.com/aboutthenewslockup.htm
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #30
  • Aug 5, 2017 11:01pm Aug 5, 2017 11:01pm
Question: how can you predict NFP ?
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #31
  • Aug 6, 2017 2:25pm Aug 6, 2017 2:25pm
here is my telegram channel where i will write my forex analysis and signals
so press the next link
https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEQlscqnlbmEeSb_pA
  • #32
  • Aug 6, 2017 5:08pm Aug 6, 2017 5:08pm
Quoting mesi99
{quote} read this article to know that it is not guess read to learn how charts gave us signals before red news but you have to translate it here the link https://arincen.com/analytics/351 it is my article i wrote it

What you think you see isn't there, if you get lucky (it's 50/50) that doesn't mean you are right. Trading the news is fairly easy as long as you don't over-complicate it, don't make it difficult by getting yourself into positions based on shadows.

In all honesty it's probably just some sales thing to get you more followers anyway.
  • #33
  • Aug 8, 2017 7:15am Aug 8, 2017 7:15am
Quoting mesi99
{quote} hi alexreid you said that it is total guess but i told you it is not guess and i explained in my last thread before this one under name of "prediction of price movement during red news" i told you that i to predict usd , i look at all charts of usd not only majors but also minors like usd zar,usd mxn ,usd nok ,usd sek,and gold for cad i look also for all canadian pairs plus canadian exotic pairs like cad nok,cad mxn,cad zar,cad sek and yesterday eurcad was the pair that gave me the chance to see positive employment report and yesterday before...
You finally had your first small winning streak and you decide to pull me up on my comment from two weeks ago. Funny how you didn't reply until you made a few consecutive profits. You can go back on to threads you have created and see that your losses out weight your profits. Don't get me wrong i occasionally trade the news but only changes in interest rates, i believe they are the only predictable news events. Trying to predict news events through technical analysis is ridiculous unless you try to analyse minutes before the event but this is often difficult due to high spreads and is also very unreliable. Your article shows me nothing but luck.
  • #34
  • Aug 9, 2017 7:08pm Aug 9, 2017 7:08pm
Quoting AlexReid
{quote} You finally had your first small winning streak and you decide to pull me up on my comment from two weeks ago. Funny how you didn't reply until you made a few consecutive profits. You can go back on to threads you have created and see that your losses out weight your profits. Don't get me wrong i occasionally trade the news but only changes in interest rates, i believe they are the only predictable news events. Trying to predict news events through technical analysis is ridiculous unless you try to analyse minutes before the event but this...
first :you blame me for taking two weeks for reply,do you think that i am availabel for forex everyday , and when i am available for forex this does not mean that i will open this thread to reply to members who arguing ,but i will open forex charts which is better than forex forums,and i do not open this thread unless before the employment news this means 4 times at month
second :in this thread i win in the five prediction that i predict
three:this thread is not about predicting for just prediction but prediction to show traders how forex is convincing and that prcie does not move in random way,you know , iread a lot of comments after red news about traders do not understand why price go in this way ,that i would like to reply and analyse,you know when trend it ,i stop trading , and concentrate to find out one thing why the trend end at this price what is there is it trend , is it fibonacci retarcement or fibonacci expansion or fibonacci fan or fibonacci tome zone or is it pivot , is it camrilla or classic pivot or woodie pivot or what or is it moving average
i do not say that i know the answer about every top or bottom but i try to know
four:you say you see no thing in my article but luck , i do not know what to say , fibonacci is luck , gartley is luck , deep crab is luck , marabuzo candle is luck i talk about four signals that eur cad not only one signal it is four so when some talk about one siganl this may be luck but four signals so this is not luck
unless you didnot understand the artcile after translation but you should understand the uploaded photos
you know i will not care about your comments any more and i will not reply to you
  • #35
  • Aug 9, 2017 7:16pm Aug 9, 2017 7:16pm
Quoting Catch-22
{quote} What you think you see isn't there, if you get lucky (it's 50/50) that doesn't mean you are right. Trading the news is fairly easy as long as you don't over-complicate it, don't make it difficult by getting yourself into positions based on shadows. In all honesty it's probably just some sales thing to get you more followers anyway.
first i present in this thred five right predictions so it is not about luck
second: getting more followers not for me but followers for forex, i want forex traders to increase, i want people wait for nfp release like they wait for classico between real madrid and barcelona so most of traders lost their money in forex for price move they do not understand so it is all about convincing traders about why the price move in such way so when you lose and understand better than you lose without understanding
  • #36
  • Aug 10, 2017 5:58am Aug 10, 2017 5:58am
Quoting mesi99
{quote} first :you blame me for taking two weeks for reply,do you think that i am availabel for forex everyday , and when i am available for forex this does not mean that i will open this thread to reply to members who arguing ,but i will open forex charts which is better than forex forums,and i do not open this thread unless before the employment news this means 4 times at month second :in this thread i win in the five prediction that i predict three:this thread is not about predicting for just prediction but prediction to show traders how forex...
Okay your clearly passionate about trading the news, so good luck to you. All i will say is you can look at any chart and come up with a million different reasons on why you should enter at this point or that point, but all that matters is that your signals are consistent with your results. And yours are not you can see this from previous posts and threads. My advice to stop trading the news is exactly that 'ADVICE' its up to you whether you take it. Trading news isn't consistent and that's what your looking for in Forex consistency.
  • #38
  • Aug 16, 2017 7:07pm Aug 16, 2017 7:07pm
here is my analysis for australia pairs before employment news
http://forexcluster.blogspot.com.eg/2017/08/the-australian-dollar-pairs-suggest.html
in arabic https://arincen.com/analytics/391
telgram me
https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEQlscqnlbmEeSb_pA

twitter

https://twitter.com/ahmedfouad44771
  • #39
  • Aug 30, 2017 4:33pm Aug 30, 2017 4:33pm
i succeed in prediction of gdp today but i did not have time to write here but here is my article which was published 19 hours before but in arabic langauge and the euro walk like i said in my article , and in the article you will know how i predcit positive gdp ,
here is the link of the arbic website where i publish my forex analysis
https://arincen.com/analytics/417
that was before the news release by 8 hours of american gdp
then a few minutes ago i translate it to my blogger in english
http://forexcluster.blogspot.com.eg/2017/08/euro-close-below-1618-of-quarterly.html
telegram me
https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEQlscqnlbmEeSb_pA
facebook


https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100013753568611
i hope all traders convinced with price move before red news and forex not working in random way except in surprises like what north korea did this week and make me lost a lot of pips about 350 pips and also surprising trump statment a week ago about possibility of government shut down
but away from surprising statment price walk in systemic manner
  • #40
  • Sep 1, 2017 8:16am Sep 1, 2017 8:16am
negative usa nfp like i said on my telegram channel five minutes before news release

https://t.me/joinchat/AAAAAEQlscqnlbmEeSb_pA
and i release my analysis showing how i predict the negative usd nfp in my aticle on my website two minutes before news release

http://forexcluster.blogspot.com.eg/2017/09/usd-charts-show-negative-nfp.html
facebook

https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100013753568611
twitter

https://twitter.com/ahmedfouad44771
this posy may be hidden in a few mintes
please make comments after reading my artcile
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