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  • #1,125,081
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:29pm Jul 26, 2017 2:29pm
Quoting FateAnother
{quote} well, thing is they might do it as long cpi yoy is 2-3% and the last data shows cpi yoy is 1.9% right now and the speech told that they will not follow the other banks. Well, but i understand what you're talking about as for that possibility. Traders are buying the hope and pricing in for that. But this is just too much since they are turning a blind eye for most reasonings.
Yeah .80 is too much. Has to lose some vs GBP/EUR at least but it's summer so...

At least CAD seems to be done for now, went too far without a retrace.
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  • #1,125,082
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:35pm Jul 26, 2017 2:35pm
BOC is clear and very bullish. Unlike RBA that can still flipflops since they are uncertain. Funny thing is check AUD/CAD.
AUD can even got stronger than before the CPI data printed. What is going on? Lol...
A rush to carry trade on AUD/USD? Cmon!
  • #1,125,083
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:37pm Jul 26, 2017 2:37pm
EURUSD starting to look over-extended (W1) in my opinion..
Trade
  • #1,125,084
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:38pm Jul 26, 2017 2:38pm
Quoting FateAnother
BOC is clear and very bullish. Unlike RBA that can still flipflops since they are uncertain. Funny thing is check AUD/CAD. AUD can even got stronger than before the CPI data printed. What is going on? Lol... A rush to carry trade on AUD/USD? Cmon!
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  • #1,125,085
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:39pm Jul 26, 2017 2:39pm
Quoting inamasei
{quote} {image}
ok, interesting.. iron price up since usd got weaker. But we should not forget oil might be the same too.
  • #1,125,086
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:51pm Jul 26, 2017 2:51pm
Quoting FateAnother
{quote} ok, interesting.. iron price up since usd got weaker. But we should not forget oil might be the same too.
Good to see that this all is not fucking up the global system we all depend on to price things. *SARCASM*
  • #1,125,087
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:52pm Jul 26, 2017 2:52pm
EUR/USD wants to retrace but it hasn't found a reason to. More news to favor the EUR today while the USD still getting hammers. Until we see some kind negative news for the EUR or positive news for the USD, this pair isn't going to retrace and it's just going to continue in its current pattern. I'm only looking to short looking for that retrace despite whatever people will say about following the trend. I do follow the trend but I don't just follow it religiously. It's not good R/R to be going long at these levels.
I wanna be a billionaire so freaking bad!
  • #1,125,088
  • Jul 26, 2017 2:57pm Jul 26, 2017 2:57pm
these manipulators are digging big grave for themselves, as euro goes higher more wealthier retailers will sell more
aggressively with more confidence, and 1.2 is a big red line that euro can not cross it.
  • #1,125,089
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:14pm Jul 26, 2017 3:14pm
Quoting arash66110
these manipulators are digging big grave for themselves, as euro goes higher more wealthier retailers will sell more aggressively with more confidence, and 1.2 is a big red line that euro can not cross it.
1.13 and then 1.15 were also said to be a big red line and here we are...
Euro rally will end and it'll drop like a bag of shit once ECB announces its tapering. That's gonna be a huuuge anticlimax for the speculators. Probably biggest event of this year. Euro will end below 1.10 at the end of 2017
  • #1,125,090
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:16pm Jul 26, 2017 3:16pm
No way man... The ECB said it will trim balance sheet in 2020. The FED is starting in 2017. That is a 3 year difference where the ECB lags.

So you do this to get the real EURUSD value:
1.1720 X 3 = 3.516
NOTE: it should technically go there here over the next year with no pullbacks.

*Heavy SARC in case you did not notice - since technically the opposite should be true*
  • #1,125,091
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:17pm Jul 26, 2017 3:17pm
EURUSD H4 - Quick Outlook

  1. Not much left towards the overall AB=CD target: 1.1845
  2. The earliest signal for a bearish bias is the violation of green supportive trendline! Whether it breaks before or after target is reached, doesn't matter.
  3. As long as price stays above blue pitchfork channel pivot (dashed blue) bulls will have always more power than bears.
  4. Any deep correction, which starts either after mentioned target is reached or after a bearish breakout through green trendline, will most probably head back to previous breakout levels: Roughly towards 1.1270 area.
  5. If bullish trend exceeds point D at 1.1845 then nearest final resistance will be the blue channel upper edge roughly at 1.1888

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #1,125,092
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:18pm Jul 26, 2017 3:18pm
Quoting effix02
{quote} 1.13 and then 1.15 were also said to be a big red line and here we are... Euro rally will end and it'll drop like a bag of shit once ECB announces its tapering. That's gonna be a huuuge anticlimax for the speculators. Probably biggest event of this year. Euro will end below 1.10 at the end of 2017
I have not heard about 1.15 to be a red line for ecb, there was only barrier option that breached last year.
1.20 is totally a different issue.
  • #1,125,093
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:24pm Jul 26, 2017 3:24pm
Quoting digger1
{quote}If 1590ish 80 ish dont stop it 1.15 ish Im sure would be looking attactive to the bull side , see what the news dictates
Back to the upper channel line.....bulls are relentless........
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,125,094
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:37pm Jul 26, 2017 3:37pm
Quoting skillz16
No way man... The ECB said it will trim balance sheet in 2020. The FED is starting in 2017. That is a 3 year difference where the ECB lags. So you do this to get the real EURUSD value: 1.1720 X 3 = 3.516 NOTE: it should technically go there here over the next year with no pullbacks. *Heavy SARC in case you did not notice - since technically the opposite should be true*
We're talking about 2 different things. Trimming balance sheet will indeed start in 2020. I'm talking about reduction in purchases which is to be announced in Autumn. I think this is going to be max 10 billion reduction out of total of 60 billion per month now. Once it's announced euro is back to 1.10 before 2017 is over.
  • #1,125,095
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:45pm Jul 26, 2017 3:45pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Nice My friend Novotny

Forgot to put my target. 1.1720 and 1800.
And 1.25.
Let's wait. Go Trumpy!!!''''
Seems nobody cares to reply, like or say something useful.


bad bad guys....

All i see is BOC, sarcasm, iron......

So i stop posting, and get to enjoy my real life more.

I may read...but unlikely. I'll post a final chart and that's it.

GL.

Bye.
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
  • #1,125,096
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:51pm Jul 26, 2017 3:51pm
Quoting edyraper
...imho if even we broke yearly low there are lots of levels to watch in monthly check out 1.034x that level caused 1.24xx move so there will be a magnet up there parity and lower will happen someday but pair has some "norm" to do in "techs" Regards
Nice rally from 1.034x.
  • #1,125,097
  • Jul 26, 2017 3:54pm Jul 26, 2017 3:54pm
Quoting Not-KPMG
{quote} Seems nobody cares to reply, like or say something useful. bad bad guys.... All i see is BOC, sarcasm, iron...... So i stop posting, and get to enjoy my real life more. I may read...but unlikely. I'll post a final chart and that's it. GL. Bye.

Were are you going? Are you short? I was hoping to buy around 1580 but she went back up......not buying here....maybe shorting.....we see...
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #1,125,098
  • Jul 26, 2017 4:03pm Jul 26, 2017 4:03pm
Quoting effix02
{quote} We're talking about 2 different things. Trimming balance sheet will indeed start in 2020. I'm talking about reduction in purchases which is to be announced in Autumn. I think this is going to be max 10 billion reduction out of total of 60 billion per month now. Once it's announced euro is back to 1.10 before 2017 is over.
I agree. I'm peeved with the whole thing so I was being sarcastic. haha.

Now they have this on my news feed:
"DJ Fed Ready to Shrink Bond Holdings as Soon as September 2017.07.27 00:01:10"
Because this is starting to get really excessive here now... haha.
  • #1,125,099
  • Jul 26, 2017 4:17pm Jul 26, 2017 4:17pm
Quoting ZenNy
{quote} Were are you going? Are you short? I was hoping to buy around 1580 but she went back up......not buying here....maybe shorting.....we see...
Is it not against the trend? You told me once not to go against the trend.
  • #1,125,100
  • Jul 26, 2017 4:30pm Jul 26, 2017 4:30pm
Quoting Ron25
{quote} Is it not against the trend? You told me once not to go against the trend.
did I ? Maybe I did not articulate myself properly

It is fine to go against the trend but it is advisable for new traders to take only trades with the trend....

said that at those levels she is O/B......upper channel line, 3 pushes up......some needs to take profits....if the hourly bar which broke the last resistance fails and prices trades below, prices could very well go back to 1655....only my perception

Never trade on other perceptions....you can listen to everyone but you have to make your own trades.
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
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