DislikedFundamentals: The USD remains the strongest currency in the longer term. The market is expecting the Fed to raise rates around September. Recent NFP readings have been positive and core inflation has, overall, been trending higher. Although we expect bullish sentiment on the dollar to remain in the near term, it is near its long-term highs against many counterparts and therefore may be susceptible to pullbacks such pullbacks will likely provide buying opportunities. The recent FOMC statement showed the Fed are on track to raise rates in the context...Ignored
In my opinion the only thing missing on USD side analysis is China - systemic failure in China could be a much greater threat to worldwide financial stability than the Greek shenanigans and could lead to greater weakness for USA than it does for Australia.
With Australia's dependence on China as a market for their raw resources and USA's international conglomerates dependent on Chinese manufacturing a major slowdown and consequent recession in China could turn the AUDUSD pair into a living hell
Important to note your analysis for AUD applies pretty much back-to-back on NZD as well, for anyone not informed of this fundamental long-term correlation