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AUD/USD

  • #38,081
  • Dec 22, 2011 7:05pm Dec 22, 2011 7:05pm
The Aud is looking like it wants to break above 1.0150. If it does we may see a quick run towards 1.0220, but we are running out of time to do so....
  • #38,082
  • Dec 22, 2011 7:28pm Dec 22, 2011 7:28pm
Quoting JimL
The Aud is looking like it wants to break above 1.0150. If it does we may see a quick run towards 1.0220, but we are running out of time to do so....
We just broke 1.0150......So now what?
  • #38,083
  • Dec 22, 2011 8:01pm Dec 22, 2011 8:01pm
Quoting lolygagv2
We just broke 1.0150......So now what?
wait for a peak. 100 DMA is at 1.0206ish right now.. price is closing in on the 61.8. there will be offers there and there will be heavy resistance at 1.0220

I cant figure out how to get the USDX in my charting but it looks like its itching to jump. anything can happen when markets are so thin.

if it breaks above 1.022, we very well may see a break to 1.04. i think that is really unlikely.
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Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,084
  • Dec 22, 2011 8:17pm Dec 22, 2011 8:17pm
Quoting lolygagv2
We just broke 1.0150......So now what?
buy a break for quick pips

NZ is just hit by quake.. nzd dropped. this must have prevented AUD from rising above 1.0200

like red said, if 1.022 breaks buy
  • #38,085
  • Dec 22, 2011 8:24pm Dec 22, 2011 8:24pm
I was waiting on 50.0 fibo with all my bags packed and ready to go when the bull bus picked up passenger (only) at 38.2 station. I missed my ride! LOL

A little bad luck in the asian session. Don't worry, I laugh in the face of bad luck
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The tone of your words reflects the quality and result of your trading ;-)
  • #38,086
  • Dec 22, 2011 8:32pm Dec 22, 2011 8:32pm
Quoting isaacyassar
I was waiting on 50.0 fibo with all my bags packed and ready to go when the bull bus picked up passenger (only) at 38.2 station. I missed my ride! LOL

A little bad luck in the asian session. Don't worry, I laugh in the face of bad luck

Yeah I had a long set with a break even profit LIMIT on the NY close.......shoulda taken it off...oops
  • #38,087
  • Dec 22, 2011 10:39pm Dec 22, 2011 10:39pm
Ok. Ive decided bloomberg is way too much of a bullish channel. Love to see an analysis that comes in and speaks truth.. Where do you see oil next year? Oh,,, about 50 bucks, then it may recover to 80 by year end.. What about aussie? Should come down to .60-.70 cents then close at .90 for the year... The dow? Hmm. Gonna drop to 7,000 maybe lower, then go baxk up to 10,000... Its like the analysts have no imagination.
  • #38,088
  • Dec 23, 2011 2:59am Dec 23, 2011 2:59am
Last trading day before Christmas.

Merry Christmas

  • #38,089
  • Dec 23, 2011 3:00am Dec 23, 2011 3:00am
Exaggerated too much & loss any hope here , expecting bo 1.0148 , confirms though 1.024 & 1.0097 .' The London boy failied so far break only 5 pips apart in gu 1.5714 over 1 hr play still . breaks 1.5687 corresponding here 1.0148 to see .
waiting .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,090
  • Dec 23, 2011 8:00am Dec 23, 2011 8:00am
Quoting fontu
Exaggerated too much & loss any hope here , expecting bo 1.0148 , confirms though 1.024 & 1.0097 .' The London boy failied so far break only 5 pips apart in gu 1.5714 over 1 hr play still . breaks 1.5687 corresponding here 1.0148 to see .
waiting .
fontu
might not be that far off. yesterday evening, it bounced off the 618 perfectly at the intersection of the previous daily highs. that TL outside of the broken hourly channel seems to be guiding it downward before the next move. impossible to say which direction that move will be. my bias says down.. but i've been wrong before.

i dont expect much action today though.
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Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,091
  • Dec 23, 2011 8:19am Dec 23, 2011 8:19am
My Aussie lady broken at the first level 1.0148 at last , next 1.0124 & 1.0094 waiting to confirm for validation level only 1.0051 .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,092
  • Dec 23, 2011 9:27am Dec 23, 2011 9:27am
Quoting fontu
My Aussie lady broken at the first level 1.0148 at last , next 1.0124 & 1.0094 waiting to confirm for validation level only 1.0051 .
fontu
the cable broke the 5663 TL support. equities are strong so far in NY and yet currencies are not faring as well. this bodes well for a weak close into the holiday.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,093
  • Edited 9:55am Dec 23, 2011 9:38am | Edited 9:55am
Quoting redteamgo
the cable broke the 5663 TL support. equities are strong so far in NY and yet currencies are not faring as well. this bodes well for a weak close into the holiday.
Yeah the whole world not favouring usd now & they themself not favouring themself also as all good datas coming & not care . anyway waiting This lady to break next 1.0124/20 towards 1.0108 to have another bout of movement . may be 1.0155 to back again .waitng for next .anyway by this the bearish pressure should remain in others whatever small they be .most depenendent on this now & still on control .

fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,094
  • Dec 23, 2011 9:39am Dec 23, 2011 9:39am
Quoting fontu
My Aussie lady broken at the first level 1.0148 at last , next 1.0124 & 1.0094 waiting to confirm for validation level only 1.0051 .
fontu
Yep....
  • #38,095
  • Dec 23, 2011 10:58am Dec 23, 2011 10:58am
Merry Christmas!
  • #38,096
  • Edited 2:31am Dec 24, 2011 2:13am | Edited 2:31am
Morning , this lady is making enough trouble after trouble before being to flat consented early though. anyway prospect very high also than others still . to give more time to action.

for gold next week or early jaruary may to see flat also , break test theTL with it also !!

gu, gold & eu hints
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...64#post5245164

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...79#post5245179
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,097
  • Dec 24, 2011 1:53pm Dec 24, 2011 1:53pm
Hello,
I'm new here. AUD/USD is my favorite pair.
I'm using FX Solutions platform and spread is 4 PIPs for this pair. Was curious about other people's spread for this pair. Thanx in advance!
Also to "fontu": I have short OW trade open. Will it be bearish or bull at opening?
  • #38,098
  • Dec 25, 2011 2:32am Dec 25, 2011 2:32am
Quoting igorsandwich
Hello,
I'm new here. AUD/USD is my favorite pair.
I'm using FX Solutions platform and spread is 4 PIPs for this pair. Was curious about other people's spread for this pair. Thanx in advance!
Also to "fontu": I have short OW trade open. Will it be bearish or bull at opening?
AUD will be on the next rate cut on February. I've thought it would be bearish in the mid term. Let's find the right time and price to short on this pair.
  • #38,099
  • Dec 25, 2011 2:53am Dec 25, 2011 2:53am
Quoting igorsandwich
Hello,
I'm new here. AUD/USD is my favorite pair.
I'm using FX Solutions platform and spread is 4 PIPs for this pair. Was curious about other people's spread for this pair. Thanx in advance!
Also to "fontu": I have short OW trade open. Will it be bearish or bull at opening?
Did you just open your account? Generally AUD/USD spread should be less than 3 pip. It only goes above 3 pips either in

a) very thin liquidity (like right now)
b) very volatile markets (during news and when the market just opened)

Continue checking on your spread. If after new years it is still 4 pips, better find a different platform to trade with.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #38,100
  • Dec 25, 2011 2:55am Dec 25, 2011 2:55am
Quoting sampoerna
AUD will be on the next rate cut on February. I've thought it would be bearish in the mid term. Let's find the right time and price to short on this pair.
I don't like shorting this pair (i.e. more than 1 day) as the negative swaps reduces your profit. Generally, in bearish conditions for the pair, I would either

a) limit my trades to smaller TPs (so that I can close the trades within the same day)

b) purchase other pairs i.e. USDCHF (long) as it doesn't have any negative swaps.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
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