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AUD/USD

  • #38,061
  • Dec 21, 2011 11:37pm Dec 21, 2011 11:37pm
Morning , similar to gu , an spike may be there towards 1.0171 or so before breaks the level of concern 1.051 but unlike gu there again remain support at 1.0016 & so more ranging possible before the action down to be done .
lets see .
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...89#post5240789
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,062
  • Dec 21, 2011 11:40pm Dec 21, 2011 11:40pm
1h
it looks like it could rise to 1.0200 again or go down to 0.9950 or more
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  • #38,063
  • Dec 22, 2011 2:16am Dec 22, 2011 2:16am
London opening caused that 40+ pip spike up?
  • #38,064
  • Dec 22, 2011 2:29am Dec 22, 2011 2:29am
In case it hasn’t already been mentioned there is a lot of option interest today in the AUD/USD..
There’s a very large 1.0000 strike (1+ yard of AUD) which runs off at the 1000EDT/1500GMT cut and there are smaller ones at , 1.0050, 1.0100 and 1.0125

AUD/USD bids sit down at 1.0055/65, and offers starting from 1.0100/10. Major tech resistance now up around 1.0205/ 20, with the 100 day MA in the range at 1.0207.
  • #38,065
  • Edited 3:45am Dec 22, 2011 3:24am | Edited 3:45am
watch out for Draghi and King press conference

add..

1.0150 is still valid resistance. buy on break for quick pips
  • #38,066
  • Dec 22, 2011 5:02am Dec 22, 2011 5:02am
“$EURUSD: We are now hearing that talk of a France downgrade has been making the rounds and that this is what has pulled the Euro back.”

Keep watch folks this could be just rumor but then it could be Santa shorting Euro
  • #38,067
  • Dec 22, 2011 5:24am Dec 22, 2011 5:24am
Quoting ragnakore
“$EURUSD: We are now hearing that talk of a France downgrade has been making the rounds and that this is what has pulled the Euro back.”

Keep watch folks this could be just rumor but then it could be Santa shorting Euro
$EURUSD: The France downgrade rumors are proving to be unfounded to this point and the Euro is marching back towards 1.3100.


So it is just another rumor...
Rumors abound!

These were tweets from Joel Kruger of DailyFX
  • #38,068
  • Dec 22, 2011 6:12am Dec 22, 2011 6:12am
my 4h just closed
looks like it stil can reach 1.0160 nd 1.0200-20
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  • #38,069
  • Edited 7:24am Dec 22, 2011 7:07am | Edited 7:24am
Quoting Erebus
Seems to me by your action and your remarks that you are purely a discretionary trader?

That is to say, you don't have a plan, don't know where your are entering, exiting or placing your stop loss, if you even do that?

Any risk management in your trading? Apart from "I can deal with that"?

Just rambling thoughts, no real need to answer....

thank you for taking an interest in my trading. RM 1:3, no more than 1.5% of account per loss. I have had three times in 45 days of trading where I over-extended myself when I went into the trade. Two have been posted, your comment on the last. I really was trying to find a way to stay in an overleveraged trade. Once I realized that I was "married" to the trade, i got out.... no matter what the outcome. Because I am a newbie at this, I am still trying to get the emotional thing undercontrol. As far as entry, and exit..... if I obey my own trading plan, based on supply/demand, percentage of loss ratio, along with percentage of ATR add to S/L. Still learning to be consistant and disciplined (sp) and i dont have great confidence in my charting ability, but learning.... and will continue to until I get it perfected.
  • #38,070
  • Dec 22, 2011 7:46am Dec 22, 2011 7:46am
Its beginning to look a lot like a usd rally.
  • #38,071
  • Dec 22, 2011 7:49am Dec 22, 2011 7:49am
PA is very boring today...
  • #38,072
  • Edited 8:18am Dec 22, 2011 7:51am | Edited 8:18am
bo 1.0100 , validation 1.0051 for 170pips possible target , care at 1.0025 & 1.0014 before next 0.9925 . news positive . waiting for more in after an hour , so validation by then 1.0051 ok expect .other lady eu bo already , gu at validation & might spike master not rejecting so far violently or any . anyway this lady is more resistant to fall , even for validation H4 tf 200sma & daily ma14 below 100sma H4 though & may pull others leg for some more time . so most important pair to see done first before the other .
fontu
3 doji crush in H1 tf .
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,073
  • Dec 22, 2011 8:27am Dec 22, 2011 8:27am
extremely light liquidity makes for some herky jerky movement. Nevertheless, the AUD/USD is moving down while the USD looks to be building strength across the currency pairs.
It's the simple things in life that have the most powerful meaning.
  • #38,074
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:10am Dec 22, 2011 9:10am
Guys, I think the highs are getting lower and lows are getting higher, AUD looks like it's going to stabilize at roughly parity, gone are the 600-700 pip runs. Woe to me . Overall I'm pretty confident that euro zone can actually weather this crisis down. Lending banks at 1 % will encourage them to buy piigs bonds which yields 5%ish. And knowing the ECB will take them as collaterals, why not do an arbitrage ?
  • #38,075
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:38am Dec 22, 2011 9:38am
Quoting lebleup
extremely light liquidity makes for some herky jerky movement. Nevertheless, the AUD/USD is moving down while the USD looks to be building strength across the currency pairs.
I opened a short position and now I am in soup. My technicals indicated short position. I guess I will have to pay high swap on AUS/USD...shit...
But thanks for saying that AUD/USD will go down..at least it helped me cheer!
  • #38,076
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:41am Dec 22, 2011 9:41am
usdx now or soon , likely .
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...72#post5242072
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,077
  • Dec 22, 2011 9:45am Dec 22, 2011 9:45am
Quoting rustyram
I took long position at 1.0060

will get out at 1.0500

Is anyone holding any long positions in AUD ?

I am out of longs, just before the long weekend...
60 Pips profit...

Merry Christmas & Happy holidays....
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #38,078
  • Edited 11:42am Dec 22, 2011 10:58am | Edited 11:42am
real crazy but ok , waiting now it if act .covering the upside wick in the daily last day ,even may close as it is today & if so, again to watch for the bear next day . pulling all ladies by leg ! shit!
who knows who is now behind this commodity pair!! china or someone else !! not stoppe even at the d top & 1.0160/63 resistance comes on the scene with just over 50% fib of wick correction .

anyway breaks 1.0131 next will start think & 1.0099 will confirm over bull for now .

fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,079
  • Dec 22, 2011 3:54pm Dec 22, 2011 3:54pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0130

As my little nephew says "winner winner chicken dinner" and no doubt he will be saying that again on Sunday.
No Im not giving a 5 year old an FX account ..yet

Today should be fairly quiet as most will be packing up ready for the holidays. suggest 1.0000 1.0080

Speaking of holidays the Europe bound bogan Aussie backpackers are licking their lips at the sight of EUR/AUD sub 1.29 as we head toward 1.25.

Merry Xmas and Happy New Year to you all..
  • #38,080
  • Dec 22, 2011 4:08pm Dec 22, 2011 4:08pm
Quoting Riskit
thank you for taking an interest in my trading. RM 1:3, no more than 1.5% of account per loss. I have had three times in 45 days of trading where I over-extended myself when I went into the trade. Two have been posted, your comment on the last. I really was trying to find a way to stay in an overleveraged trade. Once I realized that I was "married" to the trade, i got out.... no matter what the outcome. Because I am a newbie at this, I am still trying to get the emotional thing undercontrol. As far as entry, and exit..... if I obey my own trading...
Excellent response, seems to me you are on the right path, just get the DISCIPLINE under control and you will be there; that and a method, I suggest looking at longer timeframes.

For discipline, I recommend that Santa gives you an audio copy of "TRADING IN THE ZONE"

Easy way to listen to a book, and go back to hear bookmarked chapters, really great if you happen to travel or spend hours in front of the computer.

All the best, E.
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
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