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Stop Hunting using Sentiment and Market Structure

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  • Post #741
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  • Apr 28, 2020 11:59am Apr 28, 2020 11:59am
  •  thelegend67
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
i have a question. i know you said you were in central time zone. what time do you begin looking at your charts? do you set price alerts?
 
 
  • Post #742
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  • Apr 28, 2020 12:42pm Apr 28, 2020 12:42pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Quoting thelegend67
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i have a question. i know you said you were in central time zone. what time do you begin looking at your charts? do you set price alerts?
Ignored
I do set alerts if a key decision has to be made for whatever reason. But typically I will just place the orders in areas of interest and place the stop at the "here is where I am wrong" point.... and just let the trades go to the orders.

I check charts before bed, in the morning when waking up, and throughout the day.

It isn't necessary to check all that often if you don't have the time. You can use 1H or 4H charts and only check 1-2 times per day.

Look at sentiment... .look at market structure..... place orders that go with the market structure flow and against retail positioning.... place stop at the "I know I am wrong" spot... and target at either an LG fill, STOP area, or an extension of a swing.
 
 
  • Post #743
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  • Apr 28, 2020 9:57pm Apr 28, 2020 9:57pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Pre-FOMC Trade Plan. Looking for short DXY opportunities until FOMC. Then reassess.
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  • Post #744
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  • Apr 28, 2020 10:51pm Apr 28, 2020 10:51pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
I'm actually not going to take any overnight trades. Will re-assess in AM but the green box is key.

Sentiment Wise .... Retail is at 50/50 for many USD pairs.

So you could use orderflow (negative dollar bias) but it's better with retail liquidity in play.
 
 
  • Post #745
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  • Apr 29, 2020 9:56am Apr 29, 2020 9:56am
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Arrows off? Good thing we get paid for the right bets.

Sell side dollar bias is playing out as expected.

I didn't take any trades, but you could have.

Dollar aiming at the liquidity below.
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  • Post #746
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  • Apr 29, 2020 10:11am Apr 29, 2020 10:11am
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Looking across USD pairs though it looks like strength may be coming in to USD.

The better option at this point is to look for dollar strength and go with that flow or look for opportunities to get long if those stops get taken.

And of course - there is the option to just sit on the sidelines and wait.
 
 
  • Post #747
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  • Apr 29, 2020 3:42pm Apr 29, 2020 3:42pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Market Makers really want those stops before the run up in MAY.
 
 
  • Post #748
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  • Apr 30, 2020 4:22pm Apr 30, 2020 4:22pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
The Grab and Go got most people today including myself.

I had an expectation of possibly stop run for that swing but didn't expect the run to grab the liquidity at the lows.

Well played MM's.... well played.
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  • Post #749
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  • May 4, 2020 10:40am May 4, 2020 10:40am
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
EU headed to the LG Fill.
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  • Post #750
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  • May 4, 2020 4:12pm May 4, 2020 4:12pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
USD Trade Plan going into the week had 3 options. It looks like the top scenario is what is playing out.

In order for that to do so, the blue box has to hold... if price breaks strongly below and pulls back, then that is a Dollar Short Opportunity.
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  • Post #751
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  • May 5, 2020 2:09pm May 5, 2020 2:09pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Plan A is still playing out and is expected to due to seasonality and those stops were grabbed and cleared below..
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  • Post #752
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  • May 5, 2020 2:13pm May 5, 2020 2:13pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
A few posts ago I talked about EU gunning for the LG fill, well it not only filled but took stops as well.

It's not surprising as the DXY analysis was showing a likely up move on the dollar if the pattern held.

If you're going to trade the majors - DXY is powerful to do your market structure analysis with.
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  • Post #753
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2020 3:44am May 6, 2020 3:44am
  •  skyf
  • | Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 294 Posts
Quoting SentiFX
Disliked
A few posts ago I talked about EU gunning for the LG fill, well it not only filled but took stops as well. It's not surprising as the DXY analysis was showing a likely up move on the dollar if the pattern held. If you're going to trade the majors - DXY is powerful to do your market structure analysis with. {image}
Ignored
Thanks
is DXY offered in all brokers and in what format.
Does it have sent info?
Without despair & distraught, focus on Patience to FRESH MOVES.
 
 
  • Post #754
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2020 3:58am May 6, 2020 3:58am
  •  skyf
  • | Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 294 Posts
Are there such symbol for the other majors? If yes what are they called?
Without despair & distraught, focus on Patience to FRESH MOVES.
 
 
  • Post #755
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2020 8:58am May 6, 2020 8:58am
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Quoting skyf
Disliked
{quote} Thanks is DXY offered in all brokers and in what format. Does it have sent info?
Ignored
You can track the dollar using trading view. You can trade it in the futures market but I'm not aware of any brokers that trade it like spot fx.

I use DXY for Market Structure Analysis to get an idea of how the USD is moving so that I can apply that with Sentiment to get added edge.
 
 
  • Post #756
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2020 10:13am May 6, 2020 10:13am
  •  thelegend67
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 10 Posts
Lite forex has the indexes of the individual currencies.
 
 
  • Post #757
  • Quote
  • May 6, 2020 11:21am May 6, 2020 11:21am
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Quoting thelegend67
Disliked
Lite forex has the indexes of the individual currencies.
Ignored
Good to know @thelegend67 thank you
 
1
  • Post #758
  • Quote
  • May 10, 2020 7:12pm May 10, 2020 7:12pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
EoWA Analysis for the Week Ahead

Good Day Traders, let's prepare to extract money out of the markets again this week.

https://sentifx.com/eowa-10-may-2020/
 
1
  • Post #759
  • Quote
  • May 10, 2020 9:29pm May 10, 2020 9:29pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
Positions from analysis already in profit, there is still opportunity.
 
1
  • Post #760
  • Quote
  • May 10, 2020 10:03pm May 10, 2020 10:03pm
  •  SentiFX
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2019 | 457 Posts
I gave you the keys to easy money
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