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EURUSD only

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  • Post #155,401
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 11:46am Aug 26, 2022 11:46am
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
EURUSD had some good fun to the upside, but failed to a wall of orders after a big piece of options expired and if, it keeps risng that way it will scare all the bears and finally volatility is going to dry and we are going to experience more sideways price action on Weekly and Daily chart.

Anyway I took only 50 pips from 100+ I could get and I can see it some pips at least lower. Its ok it was a good week...

1.0051 is resistance and can keep the downside intact until some news the next week decide to take that stop loss above 1.0089 and move higher at around 1.0135. A failure to rise will keep it depressed above 0.9901/0.9850 and maybe and lower.

...I had a great week trading EU, it looks like, a roller coaster now with many ups and downs that both bulls and bears enjoyed.

Powell is super hawk, but that can change depending the news outcomes. A rate cut, a failure to cut enough liquidity just to keep prices down can drop the Dollar really hard.

Thats all for now!
Feels right this time!
 
3
  • Post #155,402
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 12:11pm Aug 26, 2022 12:11pm
  •  suthmo
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 6,754 Posts
EUR VS DOLLAR Eur need to break 0980 to move down and 1.0090 to continue up!!

We're seeing and epic struggle of forces right now as Eur/Usd currency pair spend their 4th day ranging over parity at the 1.0000 price area. After reaching a 20 year low at 0.9890 Eur spiked back up over 2 days to reaching a high today of 1.0089 then another sudden drop down right now needs to break 0.9980 to move down lower. Buyers resistance at 1.0090 needs to break to continue up. It's attempted to break higher and dropped back down to test previous two days resistance at 1.0000 now looks like it's trying to find support at .0980.
Noticed yesterday, a triple bottom, a three drives pattern.
Still on support side...
Should jump to 1.0180 on next run.
Uneven price gap up, slow walk back down to test breakout at 1.1
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
 
2
  • Post #155,403
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 12:13pm Aug 26, 2022 12:13pm
  •  buddha-
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 1,301 Posts
️
 
 
  • Post #155,404
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 12:18pm Aug 26, 2022 12:18pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,507 Posts
Weekly Outlook

Since the excitement of this week and day is probably over, now I can share my levels for next week...

  1. The ellipse is the possible range that price will probably respect in upcoming weeks...
  2. 0.9919 is key support area!
  3. Based on daily wave count, any spikes without violating wave 4 would be limited with 1.0107 area...
  4. Overall, I still expect a final leg down to form a wave 5... but when the real drop would start is still a mystery!
  5. While candles are inside the lower half of this ellipse bears have the upper hand, but each time price nears the lower edge (0.9919 area when speaking for next week), there is always an opportunity to buy low.

I hope it helps

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Be a seer, not a looker!
 
3
  • Post #155,405
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  • Aug 26, 2022 12:30pm Aug 26, 2022 12:30pm
  •  louisfx
  • Joined Feb 2012 | Status: Member | 985 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} Nearly nailed it. Shorted some more at 1.0070 in the end, hope it holds and gaps down to 0.96 now. The day should close below 1.0040 in order to stay bearish for me.
Ignored
Very accurate. Weldone
Make it Green
 
1
  • Post #155,406
  • Quote
  • Edited 1:08pm Aug 26, 2022 12:42pm | Edited 1:08pm
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,692 Posts
Better wkly/daily close below 9941, ok below 9973/60 though! Let run it.
9978 broken, so sr 9971/ 64/46 first confirmation bear start if today after ext d up of bear set up! !
Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
1
  • Post #155,407
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 12:42pm Aug 26, 2022 12:42pm
  •  Js3mwtRc
  • Joined Jun 2016 | Status: "Through Playing Down Graphs" | 5,996 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
Weekly Outlook Since the excitement of this week and day is probably over, now I can share my levels for next week... The ellipse is the possible range that price will probably respect in upcoming weeks... 0.9919 is key support area! Based on daily wave count, any spikes without violating wave 4 would be limited with 1.0107 area... Overall, I still expect a final leg down to form a wave 5... but when the real drop would start is still a mystery! While candles are inside the lower half of this ellipse bears have the upper hand, but each time price...
Ignored
Next week is NFP and USD traders will wait bearish price action to EURUSD, its going to be another surprise if, the numbers fail to keep it down. How it looks is that many traders wait to see this much lower, but we may end being up much higher... damn how I like that upside down price action! Just realized what a [email protected]# I am sorry! Anyway the new week and price action will just show! Also its going to close above 0.9901 the low and 0.9953 - I hope
Feels right this time!
 
2
  • Post #155,408
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 1:07pm Aug 26, 2022 1:07pm
  •  riegel94
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 33 Posts
H&SS on M5 ...my target is still 0.95.
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  • Post #155,409
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  • Aug 26, 2022 1:11pm Aug 26, 2022 1:11pm
  •  Erkat
  • Joined Jan 2022 | Status: Member | 431 Posts
Quoting Erkat
Disliked
Today we see a good two-way trend. First, growth up to the range of 0050 to 0090 and then the beginning of falling towards the 98xx channel(personal opinion)
Ignored
One of those magical predictions that happen once a year
I hope it has been noticed and used.⁦⁩
 
2
  • Post #155,410
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  • Aug 26, 2022 1:18pm Aug 26, 2022 1:18pm
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,892 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
whats the hold up? {image} {image} {image}
Ignored
You better be minting some money....
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1
  • Post #155,411
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  • Aug 26, 2022 1:32pm Aug 26, 2022 1:32pm
  •  Traderview
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 3,892 Posts
Quoting Traderview
Disliked
{quote} Update: Before and After {image} {image} {image}
Ignored
Update:
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  • Post #155,412
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  • Aug 26, 2022 1:33pm Aug 26, 2022 1:33pm
  •  Marekus
  • | Joined Jul 2022 | Status: Member | 77 Posts
Quoting fontu
Disliked
Better wkly/daily close below 9941, ok below 9973/60 though! Let run it. 9978 broken, so sr 9971/ 64/46 first confirmation bear start if today after ext d up of bear set up! !
Ignored
It seems to me that the bulls should not give up until they see at least 1.0500.
 
 
  • Post #155,413
  • Quote
  • Edited 11:19pm Aug 26, 2022 1:53pm | Edited 11:19pm
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,692 Posts
Quoting Marekus
Disliked
{quote} It seems to me that the bulls should not give up until they see at least 1.0500.
Ignored
Anything can happen before 9900 bear contuation, otherwise 9859/9802 or more down to play from this present level! Before checked. May not back arounds before next 2 months if below those levels next week. Lets see
Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
1
  • Post #155,414
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:24pm Aug 26, 2022 2:24pm
  •  Matej.FX
  • | Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Member | 280 Posts
ECB'S KNOT SAYS INTEREST RATE SHOULD BE RAISED EVERY SIX WEEKS UNTIL INFLATION STABILIZES

Interesting. Let's see what the market has to say on this.
We all know currency starts to appreciate when statements like this are in the game and then depreciate as the rate hikes are actually realized. Buy rumours sell facts.
 
 
  • Post #155,415
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:30pm Aug 26, 2022 2:30pm
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting Matej.FX
Disliked
ECB'S KNOT SAYS INTEREST RATE SHOULD BE RAISED EVERY SIX WEEKS UNTIL INFLATION STABILIZES Interesting. Let's see what the market has to say on this.
Ignored
All central banks are on the same track now. They keep raising rates until inflation stabilizes, no forward guidance and more.
Another day, another dollar.
 
2
  • Post #155,416
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 2:32pm Aug 26, 2022 2:32pm
  •  Matej.FX
  • | Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Member | 280 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} All central banks are on the same track now. They keep raising rates until inflation stabilizes, no forward guidance and more.
Ignored
True, but with this statement and the fact that Euro fell down this much today after NY open, with a signal, I am looking to go long on Monday. If nothing else, retracement should come.
 
 
  • Post #155,417
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 3:07pm Aug 26, 2022 3:07pm
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting Matej.FX
Disliked
{quote} True, but with this statement and the fact that Euro fell down this much today after NY open, with a signal, I am looking to go long on Monday. If nothing else, retracement should come.
Ignored
Not yet, don‘t lose it to fomo
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #155,418
  • Quote
  • Edited 11:28pm Aug 26, 2022 3:24pm | Edited 11:28pm
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 18,692 Posts
Checking usdx,just revovered failure with great monthly shooting star and big bull started for next target 110+.eu lagged behind, may to cover fast next!do likely fast tanking eu below previous lows!
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Not understand?never follow my analyses!
 
2
  • Post #155,419
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 5:16pm Aug 26, 2022 5:16pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,507 Posts
Quick H4 Outlook for Monday

This week closed right at channel support area: 0.9963... Monday will be interesting depending on where market opens.

The main question is: Can bears force price back into previous channel or will bulls keep it inside current channel?
As I always put it: Time will tell!

Enjoy your weekends folks
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Be a seer, not a looker!
 
9
  • Post #155,420
  • Quote
  • Aug 26, 2022 10:31pm Aug 26, 2022 10:31pm
  •  buddha-
  • | Joined Feb 2019 | Status: Member | 1,301 Posts
good friday all. now, rest and charge ur full pw to handle nextweek.
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