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BEST LONG TERM PAIR?

  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Jan 8, 2008 11:13am Jan 8, 2008 11:13am
  •  wasupnow14
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: Member | 34 Posts
What is the best long term position in your opinion? Currently, I feel that USDJPY will go down over the next several months based on my indicators. Anyone else have any long term (3 months or longer) trades that they reccomend?
  • Post #2
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  • Jan 8, 2008 11:27am Jan 8, 2008 11:27am
  •  Dopey
  • Joined Apr 2005 | Status: Dopey Bastard | 1,568 Posts
Sell the dollar...the pounding isn't going to stop anytime soon.
  • Post #3
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  • Jan 8, 2008 11:29am Jan 8, 2008 11:29am
  •  jacobtrader
  • | Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 570 Posts
Quoting wasupnow14
Disliked
What is the best long term position in your opinion? Currently, I feel that USDJPY will go down over the next several months based on my indicators. Anyone else have any long term (3 months or longer) trades that they reccomend?
Ignored
I Agree with you there..
USD/JPY in 2-3 Months time we will be at around 100.20 levels.
  • Post #4
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  • Jan 8, 2008 11:33am Jan 8, 2008 11:33am
  •  de123
  • Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Member | 2,331 Posts
eur/usd...if 1 lower interest rates, and the other raises them,...this is a sure winner on long run, maybe only eur/gbp might outperform eur/usd on long term, i mean 2+ years... if 1.9666 goes at cable is my guess...
its just money
  • Post #5
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  • Jan 8, 2008 12:18pm Jan 8, 2008 12:18pm
  •  semar
  • Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Member | 490 Posts
they all are good long term pairs, as long as you know what drives the markets
"Abandon all hope, you who enter here" La Divina Commedia, Dante Alighieri
  • Post #6
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  • Jan 8, 2008 12:20pm Jan 8, 2008 12:20pm
  •  TIckerShuffl
  • Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Member | 2,903 Posts
From here, I don't know...I am treading lightly on the prospect of unexpected Dollar strength
  • Post #7
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  • Last Post: Jan 8, 2008 12:45pm Jan 8, 2008 12:45pm
  •  youalreadykn
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 138 Posts
Based on my long-term views, AUD/USD still has room to run to ~0.95-0.97 if AU hikes rates one more time before 2Q08, US lowers rates at least 75bps more, and gold can stay above 900 for any decent period of time.

Another lesser talked about pair that's on my radar is USD/CHF approaching parity in 2008. I think it will recover very strong from around 1.01, but if US interest rates really do hit 3-3.25% then there is no carry element to the pair and we could be looking below parity. Switzerland may also hike rates sometime this year which would really push this pair to parity in a hurry.
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