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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #59,221
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 8:58pm Feb 8, 2016 8:58pm
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
this is a fcking disgrace. did anybody notice scammer Ken A deleted his post where he said long 115. 41 with stop loss at 115.16? now he is long 115... i just want to throw up at him. piece of shit without an honor. Slight probably will remember that specific post from within last two hours. why would ever someone do such thing? this is the third time he has been stopped out trying bottom picking today and he has no fcking understanding of price action. be a man, and get a long with it. this is just ridiculous.
Ignored
Follow him enough & you'll see he might make a few attempts @ picking the bottom/top before it holds. In the end it's a pretty small price to give up 10-20 pips a few times if you're riding the winner for several hundred or more than 1000 pips.
 
 
  • Post #59,222
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:00pm Feb 8, 2016 9:00pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting stylinex
Disliked
{quote} I was wondering where that post had vanished off to.
Ignored
he deleted it as usual. i will be revealing more of this trash CAN A's scams as soon as he keeps posting in FF.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,223
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:02pm Feb 8, 2016 9:02pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting srt
Disliked
{quote} Follow him enough & you'll see he might make a few attempts @ picking the bottom/top before it holds. In the end it's a pretty small price to give up 10-20 pips a few times if you're riding the winner for several hundred or more than 1000 pips.
Ignored
again you. did you transfer him your all money as once you told me?
now tell me, where is his post where he was long at 115.46? if you can't, just fck off my sight and keep licking this scammer's ass.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,224
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:07pm Feb 8, 2016 9:07pm
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
{quote} again you. did you transfer him your all money as once you told me? now tell me, where is his post where he was long at 115.46? if you can't, just fck off my sight and keep licking this scammer's ass.
Ignored
OK, everyone know's you've been in a "catfight" with him forever. I won't get involved. I'm just giving my opinion of what I see.
When did this become your sight?
When did I tell you I was going to give him all my money? A six figure account I would but "all", never.
 
 
  • Post #59,225
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  • Feb 8, 2016 9:24pm Feb 8, 2016 9:24pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting srt
Disliked
{quote} OK, everyone know's you've been in a "catfight" with him forever. I won't get involved. I'm just giving my opinion of what I see. When did this become your sight?
Ignored
dude, i am not going to tell you all my observations about this No.1 scammer in FF but i will tell you something: he is fcking fake and a big loser. i am well versed in price action (or at least that is what i think) and every time i see him posting a trade, it is almost guaranteed loser. after countless tries he gets a winner and he posts only that exact winning trade repeatedly to make an impression he is a pip to pip sniper. don't believe me? go through his posts. he hedges (i do not know how he does it if he is in the States) and again posts only winning trades and keeps doing that all over again. you are his devoted follower but i am amazed you have not noticed this before. read his posts again in audusd and usdcad threads.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,226
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:36pm Feb 8, 2016 9:36pm
  •  srt
  • Joined Dec 2012 | Status: On Life's Path | 2,076 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
{quote} dude, i am not going to tell you all my observations about this No.1 scammer in FF but i will tell you something: he is fcking fake and a big loser. i am well versed in price action (or at least that is what i think) and every time i see him posting a trade, it is almost guaranteed loser. after countless tries he gets a winner and he posts only that exact winning trade repeatedly to make an impression he is a pip to pip sniper. don't believe me? go through his posts. he hedges (i do not know how he does it if he is in the States) and again...
Ignored
I guess we just see it differently.
He might make a few attempts to pick tops/bottoms. He will also at times make a few entries when picking tops/bottoms so he can take quick profits on part of his entries so those small profits cover the small losses on the positions that get stopped out.

He does no hedging the way you see it. At times he will have a long & short position in the same market @ the same time but they're separate trades so he's either taking a retracement trade against his long-term trade or locking in profit on his first trade.
Just my views which could be wrong of course.
***If I followed your trading long enough I may even consider your trading worthy of an investment.
 
 
  • Post #59,227
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  • Feb 8, 2016 9:38pm Feb 8, 2016 9:38pm
  •  Lukytom
  • | Joined Jul 2015 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Hmm... I feel the USD/JYP is highly undervalue at the moment. The market I feel is massively overreacting. Given -ve interest rates, I feel like USD/JYP is long for the future given the fundamental divergence of economic principles? Does anyone disagree?
 
 
  • Post #59,228
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  • Feb 8, 2016 9:43pm Feb 8, 2016 9:43pm
  •  KZman
  • | Joined Mar 2015 | Status: Bored | 54 Posts
Really moving last 30 minutes or so....
 
 
  • Post #59,229
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:46pm Feb 8, 2016 9:46pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting Lukytom
Disliked
Hmm... I feel the USD/JYP is highly undervalue at the moment. The market I feel is massively overreacting. Given -ve interest rates, I feel like USD/JYP is long for the future given the fundamental divergence of economic principles? Does anyone disagree?
Ignored
disagree. it is risk off times being global economy is in deep shit. investors run to safe heavens such as usd, gold and jpy. however usd is being sold off due to China trying to save the equity market and buying euro. two remaining safe heavens are gold and jpy. once euro starts revealing how in deep trouble, usd will have a come back and all currencies including euro, gbp, aud and others will have deep dive. it is all just matter of time. usdjpy is targeting well below 114. WELL BELOW.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,230
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:48pm Feb 8, 2016 9:48pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
now i wonder why this scammer Ken A shut the fck off with his long at 115. he just loss his another 20 pips in his demo account.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,231
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:50pm Feb 8, 2016 9:50pm
  •  PaulDaemon
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jan 2015 | 1,352 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
now i wonder why this scammer Ken A shut the fck off with his long at 115. he just loss his another 20 pips in his demo account.
Ignored
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
 
 
  • Post #59,232
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 9:54pm Feb 8, 2016 9:54pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting PaulDaemon
Disliked
{quote}
Ignored
ok, probably i am exaggerating, let me put it that way: his penny account, wait him to deposit another $10 and have a great come back.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,233
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:00pm Feb 8, 2016 10:00pm
  •  PaulDaemon
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jan 2015 | 1,352 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
{quote} disagree. it is risk off times being global economy is in deep shit. investors run to safe heavens such as usd, gold and jpy. however usd is being sold off due to China trying to save the equity market and buying euro. two remaining safe heavens are gold and jpy. once euro starts revealing how in deep trouble, usd will have a come back and all currencies including euro, gbp, aud and others will have deep dive. it is all just matter of time. usdjpy is targeting well below 114. WELL BELOW.
Ignored
I like your analysis on world economy and agree on it.

Quoting tashkent
Disliked
{quote} ok, probably i am exaggerating, let me put it that way: his penny account, wait him to deposit another $10 and have a great come back.
Ignored
I didnt realize he was like that, thanks for making me aware.
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
 
 
  • Post #59,234
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:02pm Feb 8, 2016 10:02pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
have been long biased jpy since november 2015 and after that have posted many times my jpy longs. nothing has changed since then.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...42#post8577842

i apologize to post it here but euro is the only currency trying to resist yen but eurjpy will fall off the cliff once chinese equities get closer to 2400
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As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,235
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:06pm Feb 8, 2016 10:06pm
  •  dg514
  • | Joined Feb 2016 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Quoting Lukytom
Disliked
Hmm... I feel the USD/JYP is highly undervalue at the moment. The market I feel is massively overreacting. Given -ve interest rates, I feel like USD/JYP is long for the future given the fundamental divergence of economic principles? Does anyone disagree?
Ignored
I'm sure people felt that way at 116 too, or 115. Been watching this all day looking for a reversal and it keeps moving lower. Purely TA there is support around 109-110 from around Sep 2014, doubt it will go that low (knock on wood). Selling volume seems to have dropped off at this point around 114.70 mark looking at M30 and H1. I'm waiting to see what happens at the 30Y bond announcement in 40 minutes and then what happens on the Euro open.
 
 
  • Post #59,236
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:16pm Feb 8, 2016 10:16pm
  •  Lukytom
  • | Joined Jul 2015 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Quoting tashkent
Disliked
{quote} disagree. it is risk off times being global economy is in deep shit. investors run to safe heavens such as usd, gold and jpy. however usd is being sold off due to China trying to save the equity market and buying euro. two remaining safe heavens are gold and jpy. once euro starts revealing how in deep trouble, usd will have a come back and all currencies including euro, gbp, aud and others will have deep dive. it is all just matter of time. usdjpy is targeting well below 114. WELL BELOW.
Ignored
I feel that is a very panicked analysis - I don't actually feel the global economy is in massive trouble. China is adjusting to their economy to one that is more wealthy and middle class - and so growth will be less than historically highs, but will be still above massive average. I think if you look around the recent figures, growth in terms of GDP, PMI, wage, unemployment is still occurring in the US, but also globally, just slower.

But if you propagate these views too much, of course their going to be true, because currency values are a supply and demand. But I think the factual evidence is obvious, that global economy is growing slower, but still growing. And I think the traders will see that and trade according to it.
 
 
  • Post #59,237
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:26pm Feb 8, 2016 10:26pm
  •  tashkent
  • Joined Oct 2011 | Status: quo | 4,193 Posts
Quoting Lukytom
Disliked
{quote} I feel that is a very panicked analysis - I don't actually feel the global economy is in massive trouble. China is adjusting to their economy to one that is more wealthy and middle class - and so growth will be less than historically highs, but will be still above massive average. I think if you look around the recent figures, growth in terms of GDP, PMI, wage, unemployment is still occurring in the US, but also globally, just slower. But if you propagate these views too much, of course their going to be true, because currency values are...
Ignored
you have a point. i might be overreacting. i am not a fundamental analyst but i am all ears if there is anybody with knowledge in global economy has something to say on this matter. my problem is i just do not trust any official data or figures and i think most of them are heavily manipulated.
As Above, So Below
 
 
  • Post #59,238
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:30pm Feb 8, 2016 10:30pm
  •  Hollyforex
  • | Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 314 Posts
All is I know I get in @ support and exactly 43 seconds later jpy jumps 40 pips
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
 
 
  • Post #59,239
  • Quote
  • Feb 8, 2016 10:58pm Feb 8, 2016 10:58pm
  •  adamklam
  • | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Quoting Hollyforex
Disliked
All is I know I getin @ support and exactly 43 seconds later jpy jumps 40 pips
Ignored
i share that pain
 
 
  • Post #59,240
  • Quote
  • Feb 9, 2016 12:02am Feb 9, 2016 12:02am
  •  Hollyforex
  • | Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 314 Posts
Quoting Ken A
Disliked
{quote} Dangerous trading JPY w/o stop
Ignored
It is, I agree

The next important area of support I see ~113.9-114.
I'm learning but placing a stop area I find difficult....one could put it right behind sup/res levels, but in the bad trades (or trades in which I have lost money)
70% of them would have been in profit if I would have risked between 150-300 pips
~25% of them would of been in profit if I would have risked to about 400.
don't get in love with pairs ... up or down is the same pip value
 
 
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