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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #28,601
  • Oct 27, 2011 3:53am Oct 27, 2011 3:53am
every day process to new lows and yet boj get us hoping their intervent
they just deceitful man
  • #28,602
  • Oct 27, 2011 4:06am Oct 27, 2011 4:06am
Everytime people hoping For BOJ Intervention,Everytime UJ drop more lower - More Stop Clear
The Solution ? Maybe People need starting short to turn this pair begin climbing up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ Daily.png Size: 29 KB
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #28,603
  • Oct 27, 2011 4:37am Oct 27, 2011 4:37am
should long jpy here or not?
But im taking the risk,
i long it at the 76.04, lets see wot happened?
"Sensible Trader"
  • #28,604
  • Oct 27, 2011 4:41am Oct 27, 2011 4:41am
Quoting junaidsaif
should long jpy here or not?
But im taking the risk,
i long it at the 76.04, lets see wot happened?
Wont be a problem as long you trade with reasonable MM,Unless u bet big with expect BOJ intervention then would be dangerous
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #28,605
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:20am Oct 27, 2011 5:20am
HI All. Something I don't understand with JPY movement after EU deal and additional 5T JPY into QE. Risk currencies are gaining thrength, USD index is weakening, why JPY - Safe haven currency- still strenghten to find a new high against USD instead of weaken, or at least stay flat.

Anyone have suggestion on this? thanks in advance.
I mean what I say, I say what I mean
  • #28,606
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:26am Oct 27, 2011 5:26am
Quoting Neosaladin
HI All. Something I don't understand with JPY movement after EU deal and additional 5T JPY into QE. Risk currencies are gaining thrength, USD index is weakening, why JPY - Safe haven currency- still strenghten to find a new high against USD instead of weaken, or at least stay flat.

Anyone have suggestion on this? thanks in advance.
This is a strange pair. Thats all i gotta say. It used to be a great pair to trade when it was above par. Now alot of institutions and retail dont trade. I think the true traders that really know what are going on trade it and thats not me.
  • #28,607
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:31am Oct 27, 2011 5:31am
Quoting Neosaladin
HI All. Something I don't understand with JPY movement after EU deal and additional 5T JPY into QE. Risk currencies are gaining thrength, USD index is weakening, why JPY - Safe haven currency- still strenghten to find a new high against USD instead of weaken, or at least stay flat.

Anyone have suggestion on this? thanks in advance.
Someone broke into my account (filed a complaint) and made a false assumption that I was leaving for 3 months. Unfortunately, that's not the case !

Now that the EU debt crisis has been tackled (???), focus is shifting towards the US and more specifically to QE3. Dollar is losing, again, big time accross the board due to fear of another round of money printing. It doesn't only strenghten the Jpy but other currencies as well. Couple that to the unwillingness of the BOJ to intervene and you have a nice recipe for Jpy appreciation.

As said yesterday, shorting the bounces, over and over again.
  • #28,608
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:33am Oct 27, 2011 5:33am
About to break 75.70 and make a new low
  • #28,609
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:38am Oct 27, 2011 5:38am
Quoting SIgurs
Someone broke into my account (filed a complaint) and made a false assumption that I was leaving for 3 months. Unfortunately, that's not the case !

Now that the EU debt crisis has been tackled (???), focus is shifting towards the US and more specifically to QE3. Dollar is losing, again, big time accross the board due to fear of another round of money printing. It doesn't only strenghten the Jpy but other currencies as well. Couple that to the unwillingness of the BOJ to intervene and you have a nice recipe for Jpy appreciation.

As said yesterday,...
I though u really leaving for 3 month and am would be sad oh cute2 SIgurs
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #28,610
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:46am Oct 27, 2011 5:46am
Quoting Neosaladin
HI All. Something I don't understand with JPY movement after EU deal and additional 5T JPY into QE. Risk currencies are gaining thrength, USD index is weakening, why JPY - Safe haven currency- still strenghten to find a new high against USD instead of weaken, or at least stay flat.

Anyone have suggestion on this? thanks in advance.
Worsening economic conditions...

$ and euro are in massive devaluation mode... so ppl are seeking safety in yen...
  • #28,611
  • Oct 27, 2011 5:47am Oct 27, 2011 5:47am
Quoting Beljevina
Not sure that is a good risk to reward strategy, given the high likelihood that BoJ is very likely to intervene in the next days, based on the rhetoric level they are putting out, and from multiple sources.
Since when is the level of rethoric of Japanese authorities in anyway correlated to the likelyhood of intervention ? Where's the academic study that backs your bold statement ? Bet it's lost ;-)

And what or who are those socalled multiple sources ? Bet they are so secret that you possibly can't tell ;-)

Anyhow, I for one, will be closely monitoring Usd/Jpy action after 9pm NY time ! I'd better go and buy bucketloads of coffee and biscuits to keep alert as risk of falling asleep due to nothing happening is way too big !

Bet you are trapped on the long side way above 76.50 !!! In that case, dreaming and hoping is allowed. lol
  • #28,612
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:02am Oct 27, 2011 6:02am
Using USDSGD as Measurement USD Performance
USD will be bad for today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDSGD Daily.png Size: 43 KB
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #28,613
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:22am Oct 27, 2011 6:22am
Quoting ultra_knight
About to break 75.70 and make a new low
Who told you that? Maybe you need a course in chart reading?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #28,614
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:28am Oct 27, 2011 6:28am
Quoting KillerWhale
Who told you that? Maybe you need a course in chart reading?
If today's low is in place, the Usd/Jpy is making a higher low, load up the truck with longs ... or shorts ? LOL
  • #28,615
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:31am Oct 27, 2011 6:31am
Quoting SIgurs
If today's low is in place, the Usd/Jpy is making a higher low, load up the truck with longs ... or shorts ? LOL
Lol Lol Lol SIgurs
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #28,616
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:31am Oct 27, 2011 6:31am
Quoting SIgurs
If today's low is in place, the Usd/Jpy is making a higher low, load up the truck with longs ... or shorts ? LOL
Longs, but don't take longs higher than 76, just to be safe.
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #28,617
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:38am Oct 27, 2011 6:38am
Quoting KillerWhale
Who told you that? Maybe you need a course in chart reading?
75.77

Free fall coming be ready !!
  • #28,618
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:43am Oct 27, 2011 6:43am
Quoting ultra_knight
75.77

Free fall coming be ready !!
Beware, have read that multiple sources, combined with increased rethorics are a sign that Boj will intervene. Stay tuned around 9pm NY time !
  • #28,619
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:46am Oct 27, 2011 6:46am
Quoting SIgurs
Beware, have read that multiple sources, combined with increased rethorics are a sign that Boj will intervene. Stay tuned around 9pm NY time !

!!....BOJ's Intervention Is Inevitable....!!

  • #28,620
  • Oct 27, 2011 6:52am Oct 27, 2011 6:52am
Quoting Forexgain

!!....BOJ's Intervention Is Inevitable....!!

Assume that your comment was meant as a joke, right ?

Japan lost massive amounts of money during previous interventions. Each and every time interventions were sold within the next few days.

Latest measures are more focussed on helping companies struck by Jpy appreciation and monetary easing as they know very well that Forex intervention doesn't work.

Why would they throw good money after bad ? Also bear in mind that Boj/Mof lost tons of credibility due to poor communication, so yeah, I believe that markets would keep on shorting any bounce ... hence , no Forex intervention !
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