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Trading is this Simple? Finally Explained simple and clearly! 45 replies

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More simple is impossible

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  • Post #6,821
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 3:51am Apr 26, 2016 3:51am
  •  jakucha
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: WTF(x) | 440 Posts
DAX +29 +35.

Slower MAs pointing up, both slow and fast CCIs ready for entry (-100), retracement in form of flag, SL almost hit but eventually saved, out at previous drop source.
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  • Post #6,822
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  • Apr 26, 2016 3:53am Apr 26, 2016 3:53am
  •  JoshuaHope
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 697 Posts
Quoting mor707
Disliked
{quote} Hi Josh, Thx for your posts and the detailed outline of the reasoning (and the clues you missed) behind every trade. It is really very educational. Cheers
Ignored
Hey Mor707. I am glad if it helps. When I review a chart and the trades, i learn from it as well, and try to see what i missed when it was happening and what to be on the lookout next time. Best, Josh
 
 
  • Post #6,823
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 3:55am Apr 26, 2016 3:55am
  •  jakucha
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: WTF(x) | 440 Posts
DAX +20.

Pullback to the MA still pointing up, BRN and both CCIs at -100. SL moved to BE as soon as possible, scalped and done for the day.
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  • Post #6,824
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  • Apr 26, 2016 4:08am Apr 26, 2016 4:08am
  •  DashRiprock
  • | Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 54 Posts
The thing about markets in real life - and completely obvious lies about 100% winning trades aside as in this thread - is that there is no certainty or perfection attainable in trading because it is a probability game where the outcome of individual trades is random, all it takes is George Soros putting on a big order throwing all ones clever analysis out the window.

Your edge only plays itself out over the law of large numbers, meaning losses are absolutely inevitable.

But that's absolutely no problem on ones path to net profitable trading, losing regularly while still having an edge over time is the exact same principle as what drives success in a casino.

Most people starting out erroneously believe that the more they study the more they'll be able to catch every top, bottom or wiggle in between.

You never will.


That's probably the biggest fallacy and reason why most won't make it: seeking answers where none are to be found.

People who went on to earn fortunes usually had pretty simple, albeit robust systems, and learned that a holy grail without losing trades neither exists nor is it in any way necessary to make a fortune.

Making money for them was more important than being right on individual trades.

The answer is never outside, neither in a system or running after some non-existent holy grail grail or guru for hand-holding, the answer is always in selecting one simple setup attuned with the way markets move in ebbs and flows, and then just getting on with it, lifting your skirt, grabbing your balls and pulling the trigger.

You'll never know in advance which setup will end as a winner or loser, so just take both in your stride, winners and losers, and be amazed at what you can achieve with imperfection, how much money that can make you.

Good luck !!!

But you won't need it if you can do that.

;-)
Trading is just a probability game.
 
 
  • Post #6,825
  • Quote
  • Edited 5:10am Apr 26, 2016 4:39am | Edited 5:10am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Short Trade Setup.

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  • Post #6,826
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 5:21am Apr 26, 2016 5:21am
  •  DashRiprock
  • | Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 54 Posts
I like your charts Jakucha.

Simple, to the point and effective.

Linda Raschke said that the only pattern you need to make money are bull / bear flags.

Best risk / reward ratio out there.

Take em with discipline and you will make money.

Corroborates her other excellent research proving that you can beat 90% of all other market participants chasing perfection and a holy grail, that you can beat that lot by using a system that has nothing but random entries coupled with good risk / reward ratios to make you profitable.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.co...&hl=de&ct=clnk

THAT's the secret.

NOT some method.

As long as you find some way to buy low and sell higher you ARE set, if you can accept and live with the inevitable drawdowns on the way without switching systems. (And yes buy high and sell higher also works and can make you rich, but win/loss ratios will be lower.)

Good trading mate, the way you're doing that DOES work.

:-)
Trading is just a probability game.
 
 
  • Post #6,827
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  • Apr 26, 2016 5:57am Apr 26, 2016 5:57am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
nice move

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  • Post #6,828
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  • Apr 26, 2016 6:03am Apr 26, 2016 6:03am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Target hit and Divergence on lower Range Bar Chart.

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  • Post #6,829
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  • Apr 26, 2016 6:08am Apr 26, 2016 6:08am
  •  PhilippineFX
  • Joined Sep 2014 | Status: No permanent address | 673 Posts
Dax 30....+22 -2 -9 +21
LL/LH....HL/HH.....ABCD
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  • Post #6,830
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:10am Apr 26, 2016 6:10am
  •  jakucha
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: WTF(x) | 440 Posts
Quoting PhilippineFX
Disliked
Dax 30....+22 -2 -9 +21 LL/LH....HL/HH.....ABCD{image}
Ignored
Very nice, was also the 38.2% of the drop which formed a nice h4 bearish pin. Missed this one, congrats!
Hidden in plain sight.
 
 
  • Post #6,831
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:23am Apr 26, 2016 6:23am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Looks like it could be a nice long setup.

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  • Post #6,832
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:30am Apr 26, 2016 6:30am
  •  PhilippineFX
  • Joined Sep 2014 | Status: No permanent address | 673 Posts
Quoting jakucha
Disliked
{quote} Very nice, was also the 38.2% of the drop which formed a nice h4 bearish pin. Missed this one, congrats!
Ignored
Thank-you....with all 4 trades i never glanced at the indies......just followed the LL/LH....HL/HH.....ABCD and kept a tight SL......almost closed the the 9 pip loser for +4 but over thought it....
 
 
  • Post #6,833
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 6:53am Apr 26, 2016 6:53am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
123 on 5RangeChart. Let`s see how it plays out.

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  • Post #6,834
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  • Apr 26, 2016 7:39am Apr 26, 2016 7:39am
  •  IamSurri
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Junior Member | 1 Post
Quoting Jaquemate
Disliked
Now you can add some indicators..... oscilators...... for lose money. Or you can accept that trading is so simple. Yes. In previous chart i taked 13 entries. 8 winners, 1 BE, 3 lossers. 205 net pips only in this cross and only today. With no indicators. Only daytrading. Buy sell, sell buy. Simple entries. Now imagine that yo can do in another crosses. Anyone can tell me when you take this entries only looking this HA chart?.
Ignored
Yes, but I find it hard to read what exactly is going on below HA?
 
 
  • Post #6,835
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:02am Apr 26, 2016 8:02am
  •  DashRiprock
  • | Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 54 Posts
Good, solid, and above all reproducable KISS trading Philippine.

Way to go :-)
Trading is just a probability game.
 
 
  • Post #6,836
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:14am Apr 26, 2016 8:14am
  •  Doc_B
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
Market went after a double Divergence on 5 Range Chart into a sideways Mode. Important to notice is the higher Low, followed by a 123 pattern.
Trendchange to the upside.

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  • Post #6,837
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:35am Apr 26, 2016 8:35am
  •  jakucha
  • | Joined Jul 2014 | Status: WTF(x) | 440 Posts
Quoting Doc_B
Disliked
Market went after a double Divergence on 5 Range Chart into a sideways Mode. Important to notice is the higher Low, followed by a 123 pattern. Trendchange to the upside. {image}
Ignored
Yep, got a piece of that. But no trend change
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  • Post #6,838
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:37am Apr 26, 2016 8:37am
  •  Intrepidpips
  • Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Mos P from Cape to Cairo | 2,575 Posts
Quoting PhilippineFX
Disliked
{quote} Thank-you....with all 4 trades i never glanced at the indies......just followed the LL/LH....HL/HH.....ABCD and kept a tight SL......almost closed the the 9 pip loser for +4 but over thought it....
Ignored
I aspire to do same someday, in the meantime I found something that draws the HH HL LL LH...
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Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 Zig Zag text .ex4   26 KB | 178 downloads
Let it turn and find your entry.
 
 
  • Post #6,839
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:50am Apr 26, 2016 8:50am
  •  JoshuaHope
  • | Joined Feb 2015 | Status: Member | 697 Posts
Ger30 BE+2.
The market giveth and the market taketh away, or in translation, i had pips in hand went for the ones in the bush and ended up hungry.
An error on my part as i could have easily banked 40 pips, but went with a BE+2. I was confident that due to the 38.2% retracement on the 123, i would at least get 127%. For this reason, i think i should start using two contracts...one target "sure" pips, let the other run to my targets. I completely did not see the obvious setup setting for a short after a div on 5 and 10, then a 123.... Anyway, explanation on chart.
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  • Post #6,840
  • Quote
  • Apr 26, 2016 8:51am Apr 26, 2016 8:51am
  •  Intrepidpips
  • Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Mos P from Cape to Cairo | 2,575 Posts
Quoting Intrepidpips
Disliked
{quote} I aspire to do same someday, in the meantime I found something that draws the HH HL LL LH... {image} {file}
Ignored
Why can't one find that indicator that tells you just when to enter and when to exit?
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Let it turn and find your entry.
 
 
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