Hyperion's Notebook

Hey Gidday Mate thanks! (quiet time for me ATM)

Might be trying too hard here, but Aussie Dollar over BHP Shares is interesting. I own AUD Puts but I wonder if BHP is putting in an inverse Head 'n Shoulders bottom...

In addition to the Yen chart earlier, the TOPIX (Japanese Banks Index) looks well bid... Green Line = USD/JPY... I would love to find more reasons to Buy USD/JPY long term...

NZD/CHF is also on my radar. I wonder if the Kiwi pullback will go another 100 pts or so, and help build an inverse H&S here... We'll see, but if I saw this develop I would look for Buy triggers on the dip. 20 pips carry each month too!

Mindless fun: http://www.bloomberg.com/features/20...-trading-game/

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...misses-payment

I am hoping this situation will develop for my short NZD/USD spot and AUD/USD Puts....

Just sold GBP/USD 1.5429. Stop 1.5520.
Capflow zero. Turns Red Thursday.
Inside Daily Bars (down)
Psycho Top
Reached 100% FIBO Projection.
Lastly courtesey of Deutsche Bank-
"G10: Big buyers of GBP as dollar longs trimmed further. Investors bought the largest amount of sterling in almost a year last week helped by positive M&A news and a overall neutral GBP market position compared to earlier in the year "
(You gotta love a contrarian trade)

Kiwi exchange rate explained.

Happy days... closed short GBP 1.5255 174 pts, and XAU 12.35 bucks, Short Kiwi from 6840 Put 188 pts, lost AUD Put premium 25 pts expired worthless.

Charts...

I have Bought USD/JPY here at 121.07.
Capflow Up.
Nice Daily IB's
Long only Open Interest subdued.
Initial S/L 119.40

I want to sell EUR/USD and am waiting for a 4 hrly trigger. Projected range extrapolated off the recent low indicates I should look for that around 1.1130

Capflow is a sell / Daily IB's down / DXY looking like breaking out of the channel top (retest first which would help EUR get to me target area?)

The chart below is EUR/USD over the 2 yr Interest Rate spread, supportive of a lower Euro...

Forget the EUR/USD, NZD/USD is at great sell levels. Sold at 6737.
Capflow is selling, measured rally achieved, Interesting data/news week... lets go....

More things fell into place for in with Short Kiwi view. Could have been more patient on my entry...
EUR/USD short side back in play now too however I am max position size for short Kiwi and Long USD/JPY
Sterling probably the best short however... so random you can fade every move...

I have switched my short Kiwi to short Aussie/USD. Shoulda/coulda/woulda stuck to the short Gold call...hmmm.
Closing USD/JPY longs at breakeven, I get bored too easily.
Would love to sell EUR/USD, look at the 2 yr spread!

Nice divergence in Aussie over BHP = more conviction in short AUD/USD.

Damn, just updated Capflow. USD/JPY (now flat) is actually pointing to much higher levels.
AUD/USD is very interesting, it's still Red (sell Aussie) but today is the last day. It has to go down in the next 24 hrs or it turns Black (Buy Aussie).
EUR/USD and XAG/USD still Red/Sell.
Only position is short AUD/USD, I think I want to buy USD/JPY again and also Sell EUR/USD.
I crying over spilt milk/Gold

I Love this Daily set up for Lower prices.
Have bought a EUR 1.0900 Put for this Friday TK Cut 23 pips.
Current possies Short AUD/USD 7195 and back into Long USD/JPY 121.10.
Shame I didn't have the patience to hold short Kiwi, post Emp numbers 50 pips lower.
Hopefully EUR will move before option expiry. 23 pips is small risk anyway...

Closed Aussie shorts 20 pips loss.
Just Long USD/JPY and own EUR Put for now.

Note to self: Stop pre-empting Capflow. Aussie was Red yesterday, about to turn black. Needed a down day in NY last night to stay Red. We got hat, it's still red (-4). That AUD short close was really dumb.

USD/JPY Longs and EUR Put doing OK, hedged half the EUR 10900 Put at 10850.

US$ rampant against everything....