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  • Post #1,041
  • Quote
  • Apr 3, 2012 5:33pm Apr 3, 2012 5:33pm
  •  JayTrader
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: Always Learning | 534 Posts
Quoting gregofx
Disliked
EURUSD will be giving a Sell Signal at the end of the day.

What I like:
- Break of short-term Trend Line (gray dotted TL)
- Sell in the direction of long-term Trend Line (aqua TL down)
- Bounce at previous week highs

What I don't like:
- There is not much room between price and mid-term Trend Line (aqua TL up). If the TL rejects the price, at least we will have the SL at BE.

What do you think guys??

Greg.
Ignored
Hi Greg
It looks good but there are a couple of things that are going to make me pass on the trade, your TL is one ,it doesn't give me enough room to justify the risk (SL size) and trading that close into a RN .3200 is the other. Once beyond that, if it doesn't runaway, there are 150 pips of room until the next support point. Im not saying don't take the trade , just sharing my view, and I am an ultra conservative trader. If it all doesn't line up I pass evertime. BTW good job on your EURCAD trade
Always Learning
 
 
  • Post #1,042
  • Quote
  • Apr 3, 2012 8:59pm Apr 3, 2012 8:59pm
  •  gregofx
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 92 Posts
Quoting JayTrader
Disliked
Hi Greg
It looks good but there are a couple of things that are going to make me pass on the trade, your TL is one ,it doesn't give me enough room to justify the risk (SL size) and trading that close into a RN .3200 is the other. Once beyond that, if it doesn't runaway, there are 150 pips of room until the next support point. Im not saying don't take the trade , just sharing my view, and I am an ultra conservative trader. If it all doesn't line up I pass evertime. BTW good job on your EURCAD trade
Ignored

Hi Jay, thanks for your comments! That was the purpose of the post: to exchange ideas and views.

I don't like this setup too, and the main reason is the proximity to the LT. Thats the reason why I explained there is not much space to achieve more than to move the SL to BE (sorry for my poor english).

However, I will be careful and aware of the evolution of price. If there is a sell signal during the NY session in a lower TF (1H or 4H), I will short this pair.

I have found that this system is not only good for trading Daily candles, but also can be used to analyze the big picture and set the stage to trade with lower TFs.

Greg.
 
 
  • Post #1,043
  • Quote
  • Apr 4, 2012 9:26am Apr 4, 2012 9:26am
  •  JayTrader
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: Always Learning | 534 Posts
Quoting gregofx
Disliked
Hi Jay, thanks for your comments! That was the purpose of the post: to exchange ideas and views.

I don't like this setup too, and the main reason is the proximity to the LT. Thats the reason why I explained there is not much space to achieve more than to move the SL to BE (sorry for my poor english).

However, I will be careful and aware of the evolution of price. If there is a sell signal during the NY session in a lower TF (1H or 4H), I will short this pair.

I have found that this system is not only good for trading Daily candles, but also...
Ignored
Your English is fine Greg, and it looks like you are in on a good trade Looking at it from a different type of trading, the neck line of a H&S has a break point where you TL is now with a target of 1.2650. So if the TL breaks I will probably join you
Always Learning
 
 
  • Post #1,044
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2012 7:16am Apr 5, 2012 7:16am
  •  prftablefool
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Trend follower | 183 Posts
Quoting prftablefool
Disliked
The trade seems to be doing good so far therefore added more lots. Let's see how far it can go.
Ignored

I am still holding AUD trades which are doing well so far. The AUDJPY has done around 350 pips so far and it seems the pressure is still on.
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: AUDUSDH8.png
Size: 49 KB Click to Enlarge

Name: AUDJPYH8.png
Size: 45 KB
Forex is boring but profitable with patience and discipline
 
 
  • Post #1,045
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2012 7:23am Apr 5, 2012 7:23am
  •  robster
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Guys, what's your opinion/guidelines for trade management?
At what point would you go to BE? When R:R is 1:1?
Do you let the trade run until the 10sma is recrossed or do you pick S&R levels as the profit targets?
I like this method it is workable for me with my limited screen time. I am currently in the following trades:
GB/USD short 1.5888
EUR/ USD short 1.3201
AUD/ USD short 1.0276
USD/ CHF long 0.9124

All demo and I know that the first 3 are corrolated but I'm just getting used to spotting the entries etc.
My SL on all of them is about 100pips. At bit unscientific but it early days..
Cheers
 
 
  • Post #1,046
  • Quote
  • Apr 5, 2012 8:28am Apr 5, 2012 8:28am
  •  jmpforex
  • | Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 29 Posts
Quoting robster
Disliked
Guys, what's your opinion/guidelines for trade management?
At what point would you go to BE? When R:R is 1:1?
Do you let the trade run until the 10sma is recrossed or do you pick S&R levels as the profit targets?
I like this method it is workable for me with my limited screen time. I am currently in the following trades:
GB/USD short 1.5888
EUR/ USD short 1.3201
AUD/ USD short 1.0276
USD/ CHF long 0.9124

All demo and I know that the first 3 are corrolated but I'm just getting used to spotting the entries etc.
My SL on all of them is about 100pips....
Ignored
It's really up to the individual trader, I move the stops to breakeven when R:R is 1/2:1, thus I end up having a lot of breakeven trades. For my winners, I currently aim for a 3:1 risk/reward.

Many traders would disagree; claiming that a trade needs more room to breathe.

Just my opinion (and trading method).
 
 
  • Post #1,047
  • Quote
  • Apr 10, 2012 7:15am Apr 10, 2012 7:15am
  •  prftablefool
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Trend follower | 183 Posts
Quoting robster
Disliked
Guys, what's your opinion/guidelines for trade management?
At what point would you go to BE? When R:R is 1:1?
Do you let the trade run until the 10sma is recrossed or do you pick S&R levels as the profit targets?
I like this method it is workable for me with my limited screen time. I am currently in the following trades:
GB/USD short 1.5888
EUR/ USD short 1.3201
AUD/ USD short 1.0276
USD/ CHF long 0.9124

All demo and I know that the first 3 are corrolated but I'm just getting used to spotting the entries etc.
My SL on all of them is about 100pips....
Ignored
I don't know if you are still in these trades else you would have done very well as these setups are still working.
Forex is boring but profitable with patience and discipline
 
 
  • Post #1,048
  • Quote
  • Apr 10, 2012 7:59am Apr 10, 2012 7:59am
  •  robster
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Hi, I exited all of them before NFP. Should have held on as easter meant volume was low and markets quiet. 3 out 4 were profit. The AUD trade was a small loss. Total was approx 240pips. Not a very good R:R though.
Now waiting for more entries. I need to work on better entries and smaller SL.
This is a good method as it suits my time contraints.
Cheers
Rob
 
 
  • Post #1,049
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2012 11:30am Apr 12, 2012 11:30am
  •  JayTrader
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: Always Learning | 534 Posts
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: EURAUD.gif
Size: 11 KB


Trade I took last Night on EURAUD Getting ready to hit TP. Rest will be moved to BE+
Always Learning
 
 
  • Post #1,050
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2012 5:00pm Apr 12, 2012 5:00pm
  •  wrenski
  • | Joined Oct 2008 | Status: Member | 361 Posts
Quoting JayTrader
Disliked
Attachment 940978

Trade I took last Night on EURAUD Getting ready to hit TP. Rest will be moved to BE+
Ignored
Nice !!
 
 
  • Post #1,051
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2012 7:23pm Apr 12, 2012 7:23pm
  •  tomspin
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 2,927 Posts
http://s11.postimage.org/t4kgvt8df/aud_jpy.gif
adult upload image

swing it!
 
 
  • Post #1,052
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2012 10:11pm Apr 12, 2012 10:11pm
  •  Ibm
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Junior Member | 2 Posts
Are those supply and demand levels?
 
 
  • Post #1,053
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 1:55am Apr 13, 2012 1:55am
  •  robster
  • | Joined Feb 2009 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Quoting JayTrader
Disliked
Attachment 940978

Trade I took last Night on EURAUD Getting ready to hit TP. Rest will be moved to BE+
Ignored
Jay, how do you entrer the trades? What timezone do you live in? Do you watch the opening of the new candle or place an order and check later?
I'm finding when I check in the morning price has already moved a bit far from a good value entry.
Rob
 
 
  • Post #1,054
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 6:12am Apr 13, 2012 6:12am
  •  tomspin
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 2,927 Posts
Quoting Ibm
Disliked
Are those supply and demand levels?
Ignored
These are just sup&res levels and a way I like to draw them, btw I was stoped out after china. Classic buy the rumor sell the news moves there.
swing it!
 
 
  • Post #1,055
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 6:16am Apr 13, 2012 6:16am
  •  migmac
  • | Joined Oct 2011 | Status: Member | 224 Posts
Quoting tomspin
Disliked
These are just sup&res levels and a way I like to draw them, btw I was stoped out after china. Classic buy the rumor sell the news moves there.
Ignored
Hi tomspin

I am still in the trade, but my SL was bellow the lower candle, I still belive on this trade... let's see
 
 
  • Post #1,056
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:08am Apr 13, 2012 6:22am | Edited at 7:08am
  •  JayTrader
  • | Joined May 2010 | Status: Always Learning | 534 Posts
Quoting robster
Disliked
Jay, how do you entrer the trades? What timezone do you live in? Do you watch the opening of the new candle or place an order and check later?
I'm finding when I check in the morning price has already moved a bit far from a good value entry.
Rob
Ignored
Hi Rob,
I live in Eastern time zone. I place the orders at the new candle which is 01 GMT or 8pm est on my platform IBFX. I think the big reason alot of people on this thread are having a hard time with this method is they are not maping out the support and resistance areas on their chart. An example is Tom,s trade two posts up (I mean no dis respect Tom just giving my view of the trade)on the AUDJPY. I looked at this trade also and passed immediatly because I had already mapped a resistance area 10 pips above entry plus its a counter trend trade, and thats exactly where price wicked thru and reversed. The crossing of the 10sma is just the starting point to analyze the chart to see if the trade makes sense to take from both a technical and money managment point of view. A good example of this is the last trade I posted, EURAUD. You can see on my charts all the S/R lines there, and my TP was just above one of those lines, and that is where price turned if you look at it today. Sorry i got long winded and this is not directed at you Rob ,just trying to help people if they are still not seeing the bigger picture.
Always Learning
 
 
  • Post #1,057
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 7:38am Apr 13, 2012 7:38am
  •  tomspin
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 2,927 Posts
No Jay none taken
Agree I missed that "used to be" big supp you are talking about, fellow trader send me a message today about this ress.
Cristisism is always welcome we learn from it
System is very good, very simple, and pretty hard to master but I'll stick to it.
I was stopped out of course. Congrats on EUR/AUD
Cheers for your input, aprreciated
swing it!
 
 
  • Post #1,058
  • Quote
  • Edited at 11:35am Apr 13, 2012 11:23am | Edited at 11:35am
  •  pama.fx
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Member | 201 Posts
Quoting tomspin
Disliked
These are just sup&res levels and a way I like to draw them, btw I was stoped out after china. Classic buy the rumor sell the news moves there.
Ignored
I think it is a bit early to long a-j thou yesterday all oz pairs went up... has the price crossed over 10 sma ?!?
I look for a bearish candle to close today so to show the price again crossing down 10 sma.

p.s. In fact I already short based on H4 where 2-3 pb are seen, with a risk of 60 pips.
Trade As A Sniper
 
 
  • Post #1,059
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 12:41pm Apr 13, 2012 12:41pm
  •  tomspin
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 2,927 Posts
Quoting pama.fx
Disliked
I think it is a bit early to long a-j thou yesterday all oz pairs went up... has the price crossed over 10 sma ?!?
Ignored
It did cross but I missed important res as Jay explained it to all of us. By buy the roumor sell the news I meant situation like yesterday http://www.cnbc.com/id/47033225?__so...S*tag*&par=RSS
Click a little window and see a guy with a boner happy as stupid puppy telling us about CNY report all we greedy people want to hear so everybody buying bs then report comes and bam! down we go.
Just another example how not to listen those guys and follow our own analysis
swing it!
 
 
  • Post #1,060
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2012 9:55pm Apr 13, 2012 9:55pm
  •  pama.fx
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Member | 201 Posts
Quoting pama.fx
Disliked
I think it is a bit early to long a-j thou yesterday all oz pairs went up... has the price crossed over 10 sma ?!?
I look for a bearish candle to close today so to show the price again crossing down 10 sma.

p.s. In fact I already short based on H4 where 2-3 pb are seen, with a risk of 60 pips.
Ignored
I am out for BE due end of Fri. Will observe again during 1st 1-4 hours on Mon.

BKG, you coming?
Trade As A Sniper
 
 
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