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Azzity's trading journal IV

  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Feb 26, 2009 6:40pm Feb 21, 2009 9:44pm | Edited Feb 26, 2009 6:40pm
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
In this thread I want to test the WPS trading method introduced by free84. Credit has to be given to him. I was eyeing this method some time ago but I didn't see the merit until now that is. It's simple enough, it's like weekly scalping trading the main trend.

Strategy

Currency pair: gbp/jpy
Timeframe: H4

For long:
20 pips above the break of high price of the first blue candle or the most recent peak while observing
the pivots and resistances level.

For short:
20 pips below the break of low price of the first red candle or the most recent valley while observing
the pivots and supports level.

Initial profit target: 400 pips
Stop loss: 200 pips
Initial Trailing stop: 200 pips

Note: The best is when prices make one trend for a week, or at most 2 productive trends.

Strategy:
Take one trade at beginning of a week. If stop loss, take second trade of opposite direction when meets condition above. If stop loss for second time that's it for the week. Wait for the following week. Only 2 stop losses for one week. If prices jump up and down more than 2 times during a week that means market is sideways.

Exit: When prices open above/below the Wonderfull Stop Line of the opposite direction of trade.
2nd option is to stop by Trailing Stop mechanism.
3rd option is to stop when prices break a slanting trendline.
4th option is to stop at fixed target pips amount say 100 pips or 200 pips.
After exit that's it for the week. Wait for the following week for new entry. It's always risky to enter for the 2nd time for one week.

Money management:
I would adjust the entry lot so that if I lose it would only reduce 2% of my account balance.


Simple enough. Using H4 means I follow main trend which is less whipsaw, no hurry and no overtrade. More trade means more risk to stop losses and more spread to pay, more headache, more emotional turbulence and more time on my computer. I can have productive trades, less stop losses and more time for other things.


Azzity, 22 February 2009.
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-Azzity
  • Post #2
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  • Feb 23, 2009 3:52am Feb 23, 2009 3:52am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 8:45 gmt 23 feb 2009.

Took a trade after prices broke the previous peak of 136.33.
I'll see how it goes.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #3
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  • Feb 23, 2009 8:09am Feb 23, 2009 8:09am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 13:00 gmt 23 feb 2009.

After about 4 and half hours of trade taken, price was up 270 pips.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #4
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  • Feb 25, 2009 4:11am Feb 25, 2009 4:11am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 8:50 gmt 25 feb 2009.

From the beginning of this week the price was up 541 pips.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #5
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  • Feb 26, 2009 7:30am Feb 26, 2009 7:30am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 12:20gmt 26 feb 2009.

Market is consolidating/quiet, just hovering around daily pivot.
It doesn't prove anything yet whether to move up or down.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #6
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  • Feb 26, 2009 11:49am Feb 26, 2009 11:49am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 16:45 gmt 26 feb 2009.

Prices making breakout after about 24 hours of quietness.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #7
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  • Edited 8:18pm Feb 26, 2009 6:49pm | Edited 8:18pm
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 23:40 gmt 26 feb 2009.

Prices seems to bounce down from Monthly R1.
2nd chart pattern observed at daily chart.
Prices seems to stop at fibo expansion 78.6%.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #8
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  • Edited 7:30pm Feb 26, 2009 7:03pm | Edited 7:30pm
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 00:00 gmt 27 feb 2009.

Divergence is observed.
2nd chart, seems that double top is forming.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #9
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  • Feb 26, 2009 9:57pm Feb 26, 2009 9:57pm
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
I think I found a fascinating discovery.

a) When prices fail to break certain level of price for two consecutive days prices would fall down after breaking the low price of that twin candle.
It seems that buyers have exhausted leaving mainly sellers.

b) When low prices of two consecutive days begin to hike up prices would hike up after breaking the high price of that twin candle.
It seems that buyers begin to buy again. Majority is buyers.
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-Azzity
 
 
  • Post #10
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  • Last Post: Feb 27, 2009 9:38am Feb 27, 2009 9:38am
  •  fx21
  • | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
As at about 14:15 gmt 27 feb 2009.

Prices broke the daily channel up trendline and broke the previous day low as well.

On 2nd chart prices going down following the trendline mathematic of demand and supply. As long as prices don't broke the slanting trendline, prices would just go down.
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-Azzity
 
 
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