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  • #915,381
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:09am Aug 8, 2014 6:09am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote}Israel build hospitals in Gaza
"Don't get caught trading wheat in the corn pit"
  • #915,382
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:09am Aug 8, 2014 6:09am
Quoting Ken A
{image} {image}

So bonds UP = IR DOWN . IF IR Down then the rest well.....
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,383
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:09am Aug 8, 2014 6:09am
Quoting chazzle
{quote} personally I'd like to see a whole new "Jacko" situation play out - I missed it first time round.Could be very entertaining and breathe new life into FF
You will be guilty as well to let that happen
  • #915,384
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:09am Aug 8, 2014 6:09am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Hmm....3102 is not in my chart of 2014 unless there is a major geo-political change such as Russia invade Europe (not ukarine) Israel build hospitals in Gaza Note: Oil agenda is not in my radar coz it is ongoing for years
just normal pa before 4146
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #915,385
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:10am Aug 8, 2014 6:10am
Quoting wisemadguy
Seems in H4 channel in breaking and in m30 I see an upward flag ... {image}
I all depends on how we se the lines and channels

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH10808.png Size: 73 KB
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #915,386
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:11am Aug 8, 2014 6:11am
Quoting Ken A
{image} {image}
Ken could you please explain to me bond situation and IR.. I am a bear of a small brain
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,387
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:12am Aug 8, 2014 6:12am
Quoting Eurusdd
{quote} You have a point!!! Anyway, I am not worried about the fact the eurusd hit 1.3390 before 1.33364. It does not change the fact that it will go back to 1.33364. I added 1.3390 in order to give anyone following the info an idea of where to enter or place a stop-loss. 1.33364 is the only valid number right now. So, i still claim, the downtrend is not complete. eurusd will go back there.

If i follow you corectly a problem at 1.33929 has just been created. So when it drops to 1.33364 next one to be fixed is 133929?
  • #915,388
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:15am Aug 8, 2014 6:15am
correction small women suffer.... OK so tell me more
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,389
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:18am Aug 8, 2014 6:18am
Preferably with a factual example so I can make a note in my economics section of what TO NOT TO DO
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,390
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:20am Aug 8, 2014 6:20am
Price falling out of the channel, looking for shorts at retest and stops above incase of a false breakout.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: cT_cs_1013219_EURUSD_2014-08-08_13-18-57.png Size: 48 KB
  • #915,391
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:21am Aug 8, 2014 6:21am
since bulls never got back to 3375 yet, and time has passed.. getting there now may lead to 3350 min,, thats if 3383.5 allow.. bears have a 3289 set up.. the problem is probably 3325 allowance . this st to 3350 is sometimes speculation crap.. the fact is 3575 was not hit and its below 3383.5 ... so if i was bullish.. i would wait for 3375 or much lower if 3383.5 .. riding shorts personally
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #915,392
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:23am Aug 8, 2014 6:23am
I was under the impression that there are four macroeconomics factors that would influence currency: Real IR, Inflation, unemployment and growth. In the short run, currency and bonds would respond in opposite directions. However, in the long run inflation and IR will factor in potentially inducing the exact oposite as to what happens in the short run. Now, is this correct what you are trying to explain to me?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,393
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:24am Aug 8, 2014 6:24am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Lazy to type ..... No product to sell .......
I was under the impression that there are four macroeconomics factors that would influence currency: Real IR, Inflation, unemployment and growth. In the short run, currency and bonds would respond in opposite directions. However, in the long run inflation and IR will factor in potentially inducing the exact oposite as to what happens in the short run. Now, is this correct what you are trying to explain to me?
If you fall, I shall be there. - The floor
  • #915,394
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:28am Aug 8, 2014 6:28am
Quoting samaralala
I was under the impression that there are four macroeconomics factors that would influence currency: Real IR, Inflation, unemployment and growth. In the short run, currency and bonds would respond in opposite directions. However, in the long run inflation and IR will factor in potentially inducing the exact oposite as to what happens in the short run. Now, is this correct what you are trying to explain to me?
This pretty much 90's and early 2000 Macro economics ... currencies movement, in real academic terms are unpredictable! Bonds are completely different because it's subject to fair value modeling, something currencies lack.
"It's the Margin, Stupid."
  • #915,395
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:36am Aug 8, 2014 6:36am
Quoting gatorinla
since bulls never got back to 3375 yet, and time has passed.. getting there now may lead to 3350 min,, thats if 3383.5 allow.. bears have a 3289 set up.. the problem is probably 3325 allowance . this st to 3350 is sometimes speculation crap.. the fact is 3575 was not hit and its below 3383.5 ... so if i was bullish.. i would wait for 3375 or much lower if 3383.5 .. riding shorts personally
This is good example of move inside larger move.
  • #915,396
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:37am Aug 8, 2014 6:37am
Quoting Ken A
You will be guilty as well to let that happen
you might have a point there. Better to lose cash to the market, than to a "Guru"
  • #915,397
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:41am Aug 8, 2014 6:41am
Quoting gatorinla
since bulls never got back to 3375 yet, and time has passed.. getting there now may lead to 3350 min,, thats if 3383.5 allow.. bears have a 3289 set up.. the problem is probably 3325 allowance . this st to 3350 is sometimes speculation crap.. the fact is 3575 was not hit and its below 3383.5 ... so if i was bullish.. i would wait for 3375 or much lower if 3383.5 .. riding shorts personally
I will not be greedy today , i have tp'd my shorts to 3355 and it has no scientific reason behind it besides it looks possible for me to get out soon and within the wide swings this f*cker is doing at the moment. We got a LH now, maybe a bearish 4H in the making.. Still a bit jumpy in my eyes, could be bull fear.
I don't even have a cool signature
  • #915,398
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:44am Aug 8, 2014 6:44am
Check 8H & 12H charts. You will get a good idea of this range
  • #915,399
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:46am Aug 8, 2014 6:46am
Quoting NoCoolNick
{quote} I will not be greedy today , i have tp'd my shorts to 3355 and it has no scientific reason behind it besides it looks possible for me to get out soon and within the wide swings this f*cker is doing at the moment. We got a LH now, maybe a bearish 4H in the making.. Still a bit jumpy in my eyes, could be bull fear.
I dont have your experience but seems to me answer is in 15m : if it breaks up then channel in 4H will be breaks and if break through down you were right
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People wont learn to post analysis in forums not "I think its down/up!"
  • #915,400
  • Aug 8, 2014 6:52am Aug 8, 2014 6:52am
Now, 5 min chart transforming into Cambodia temples.

Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Hmmm.. 15 min chart is building Irish cathedral.
Quoting Magicmen
Check 5min chart. Its building a Turkish grand mosque
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