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Live discussion intraday DAX trading

  • #41
  • Edited 10:55am May 19, 2017 9:15am | Edited 10:55am
Dax30 (m5)

... targetting the 4th wave (TP 12670) of 3rd wave (new counting) or ... of c(b)3 wave ?





P.S. ... while SP500 flies ... (supported by $Y ... )( ... and Vix weekly under all ... baseline, trendlines, trigger line)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: SP500(m15).png Size: 205 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: $Y(h1).png Size: 246 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: vix(W).png Size: 206 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #42
  • Edited 5:58am May 20, 2017 5:08am | Edited 5:58am
Dax (Weekly)

a look for the past divergences ... could say something about the future of Dax



Dax (daily)

interesting and ... ambiguous the interpretation: a normal divergence (downpricing) or ... a hidden divergence (uppricing) ?


Dax (h1)

in a triple normal divergence ?

( ...or afterwards, ... waiting a hidden divergence ?)


Dax (m15)

What will happen?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(D).png Size: 195 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(h1).png Size: 197 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m15).png Size: 194 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DaxD).png Size: 222 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #43
  • Edited 8:32am May 20, 2017 8:10am | Edited 8:32am
Y (h1)

... is closely related with the DAX .



Daily trend is Long, h1 is long, m15 is short.

What can happen next?

Now, there is a divergence ( most likely the price will go down "124 - 123,85" ... untill it will form a hidden divergence )

That can be similar with the Dax, until proven otherwise

Dax (m30)

there are similar divergences using an Osma indicator but ... the price is over the yellow line (21 ema @close) for the moment
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: €Y(h1).png Size: 203 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m30).png Size: 194 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #44
  • Edited 9:52am May 20, 2017 9:29am | Edited 9:52am
Dax30 (h1)

... another explanation of what may happen on Monday at the Markets is through the Elliot waves .

I am convinced that the correction that follow will be composed of triple wave B (1+2+3) which will end with a sequence of 3^2=9 waves, equivalent to a rising trend ( I do not think of any subsequent composite corretion later, even if there are levels ...)

The sequence of the correction was a(a), b(a), c(a), b(1),b(3), a fragmented b(5), c(a) (started 19may h 17:00)

... and they will follow afterwards the c(b) and the c(c) waves

The market would need a correction to 12300 points and could therefore implement that in this logical plan :

B extented waves as b1wave and b3wave, the end of b3wave will serve to trace with Fibonacci the next TP of correction (see next attachment), a fragmented b(5) that build the c(a) ( I think is started 19may 17:00)

... and the final TP is ... 12330 ( ... I suppose )
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(h1).png Size: 252 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Daxh1).png Size: 208 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #45
  • May 21, 2017 11:46am May 21, 2017 11:46am
Quoting mag00
Dax30 (h1) ... another explanation of what may happen on Monday at the Markets is through the Elliot waves . I am convinced that the correction that follow will be composed of triple wave B (1+2+3) which will end with a sequence of 3^2=9 waves, equivalent to a rising trend ( I do not think of any subsequent composite corretion later, even if there are levels ...) The sequence of the correction was a(a), b(a), c(a), b(1),b(3), a fragmented b(5), c(a) (started 19may h 17:00) ... and they will follow afterwards the c(b) and the c(c) waves The market...
A clarification :
the sequence of the correction was a(a), b(a), c(a), b(1),b(3), but the fragmented b(5) is not yet completed, (TP12685 about ... touching the ma200)

In this zone will start the c(a)wave ( it is not yet born) ... to which they will follow afterwards the c(b) and the c(c) waves

The market would need a correction to 12300 points and could therefore implement that in this logical plan :

B extented waves as b1wave and b3wave, the end of b3wave will serve to trace with Fibonacci the next TP of correction (see next attachment), a fragmented b(5) that will build the c(a) ( coming soon)

... and the final TP is ... 12330 ( ... I suppose )
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(h1).png Size: 301 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #46
  • Edited 2:12am May 22, 2017 1:10am | Edited 2:12am
Dax30 (m15)

I am waiting the a(c) wave sell limit@ 12689,8 ( .. at least...) TP 12499

(SL 0,25% : enter * 1,0025 = 12721) TP (trade) 12499 Risk 32 / reward 190 : RR > 5 (TPwave 12330 trough a(c)+b(c)+c(c)waves)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m15).png Size: 265 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #47
  • May 22, 2017 2:40am May 22, 2017 2:40am
Quoting IndexScalper
Hi all, I trade DAX every day on an intraday basis using the 1M timeframe. I have developed my own trade set ups and am happy with them, making good money most days. It can be a lonely business however and I'd really like to be a part of live discussion (written or verbal) amongst like minded traders of the DAX. I'm very happy to learn more and also share ideas with other people I trust. Does anyone know of a Skype group or similar that is reputable and available to join? Thanks.
Hello,

Thanks for the Thread !


Good to know that I´m not the only Crazy Man that use 1M timeframe in DAX (GER30)
  • #48
  • May 22, 2017 2:47am May 22, 2017 2:47am
Dax30 (h1)

Now the trend is sell in each timeframe ...

... but I think that the b3waves is really composed and so ... I am waiting the possible b5wave to 12532 points

I write again the chart of mine, localizing my thoughs ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(h1).png Size: 245 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #49
  • May 22, 2017 4:38am May 22, 2017 4:38am
Dax30 (m5)

the question that arises is to think the result in the graph is due to casuality or to something significant ( and if it is significant, which law underlies all that will follow ...)

Thinking that it is casual or chaotic, I can apply the Profit Factor as only guide ( without foreseeing anything else), following the tecnical analysis with SL, TP, entry

A composite indicator ( like a trading system) is the ideal ... with a divergence or a trendline (see the graph)

Is all indipendent each other ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m5).png Size: 262 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #50
  • May 22, 2017 10:58am May 22, 2017 10:58am
Dax30 (m30)

That's what I think for tomorrow ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(m30).png Size: 221 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #51
  • May 22, 2017 12:28pm May 22, 2017 12:28pm
Quoting mag00
Dax30 (m30) That's what I think for tomorrow ... {image}
So if I well understand you think that market will:
1.retest today's low
2.then retest today's high
3.and then last week's low?
all on one day.

Very interesting. I will follow tomorrow your intersting vision.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #52
  • May 23, 2017 3:15am May 23, 2017 3:15am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} So if I well understand you think that market will: 1.retest today's low 2.then retest today's high 3.and then last week's low? all on one day. Very interesting. I will follow tomorrow your intersting vision.
Dax30 (h1)

... Is the reality (a graph bidimensional) impredictable ? ... or is there an edge ( a difference) between a multidimensional physical reality and a 2-dimensional chart ?


X^n + Y^n = Z^n



the question that arises is to think the result in the graph is due to casuality or to something significant ( and if it is significant, which law underlies all that will follow ...)

Thinking that it is casual or chaotic, I can apply the Profit Factor as only guide ( without foreseeing anything else), following the tecnical analysis with SL, TP, entry

A composite indicator ( like a trading system) is the ideal ... with a divergence or a trendline (see the graph)

Is all indipendent each other ?


the question : is it worth (anyway TradSys)?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dax(h1).png Size: 217 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #53
  • May 23, 2017 4:23am May 23, 2017 4:23am
Quoting mag00
{quote} Dax30 (h1) ... Is the reality (a graph bidimensional) impredictable ? ... or is there an edge ( a difference) between a multidimensional physical reality and a 2-dimensional chart ? X^n + Y^n = Z^n the question that arises is to think the result in the graph is due to casuality or to something significant ( and if it is significant, which law underlies all that will follow ...) Thinking that it is casual or chaotic, I can apply the Profit Factor as only guide ( without foreseeing anything else), following the tecnical analysis with SL, TP,...
I don't have answer to your questions.
I tell you only that today I was inspired by your yd comment and till now it works very well. We'll se in the afternoon/tomorrow if there is a slide towards 550/500 zone.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #54
  • Feb 10, 2025 8:40pm Feb 10, 2025 8:40pm
Since there is no thread discussing DAX exclusively, and I don't have the right to open one, I want to post my thoughts and trades here, sorry.

Inside Bar, Support Level, Up Trend. 2R.
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  • #55
  • Feb 20, 2025 9:29pm Feb 20, 2025 9:29pm
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  • #56
  • Mar 21, 2025 11:25pm Mar 21, 2025 11:25pm
Quoting vvFish
Hello. Try it. {file}
vvfish, i am talking about this one.
  • #57
  • Edited 3:23am Jun 26, 2025 12:15am | Edited 3:23am
Yesterday's reactions from key levels of the #DAX index TF: M5
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  • #58
  • Jun 26, 2025 11:13pm Jun 26, 2025 11:13pm
Valid reactions of the DAX index from key levels on 26.06.2025. TF:M5
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  • #59
  • Jun 27, 2025 11:53am Jun 27, 2025 11:53am
Today's valid DAX index reactions from key levels. TF:M5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2025-06-27 214645.png Size: 23 KB
  • #60
  • Nov 9, 2025 1:42am Nov 9, 2025 1:42am
Will be looking for some short scalps around 23800, still alot of liquidity resting below 23300, bit of rsi divergence forming as well, going to scalp as not fond of holding around these levels.
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