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I will use this thread to post trading signals from the model that we take in the live trading room.

EURNZD Results from the live room session today.

Latest Blog Post - JRM Trade of the Day, EURNZD + 50pips



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The Power of Trading Around a “CORE” Position in the Currency Markets

There are many in the industry who have taught traders a far too simplistic novice approach to entering and exiting positions. I’m not sure how or exactly why this style of market play has become so pervasive, but it has. Often times I am asked about a particular trade or I am asked about the direction of a particular security and it is usually followed up with a need for specific “price targets”. See the problem with most traders mentality and their approach to the market is they rely on just 1 entry and 2-3 exit points or price targets. This style of market play is very restrictive and binds the traders optionality limiting their odds of success. Let me explain…
The beginner or novice trader tends to plunge all of his or her capital allocated for a particualr trade, into the market all at once – at one particular price, at one specific moment in time. If you truly think about this concept, it is quite naive or overconfident to say the least. Trading is hard enough as it is to try and get both direction and time right, yet why is it that some traders think they can pin point the exact moment in time at the exact price point to commit ALL of their hard earned capital? This style of market play limits your odds of success right from the beginning. But it’s not just the 1 entry method that restricts your probability of success, it’s this concept of 1-3 “price targets” after your enter that is again attributed to some magical price point with no concept of the time it takes or how a security goes about reaching that particular price target. Let me explain further….
What if you enter say the EURUSD short precisely on the high of an intermediate-term move on the hourly chart at 1.08 and you then set your predefined stop say 50 pips above the market at 1.0850 and you then move to setting your “price targets”. You then choose these price targets most likely at some support level or some Fibonacci retracement level for example below the market – at 1.0750 and then do the same for 2 more targets lower. The novice trader then waits and hopes for their specific price targets to be achieved and or their stop is triggered with a move higher after their initial short entry. In this example, what if the Euro begins to fail and after several hours after being oversold, the price comes just within reach of your 1st target at 1.0750 stopping just shy at 1.0755 and then immediately retreats only to reverse back on you and then run your stop triggering your stop level at 1.0850 and you take your loss. This is a perfect example of how the price target fails to take in account the oversold nature of the EURUSD pair prior to just missing your target and also more importantly – “price target” trading takes in no account of time. How much TIME has gone by matters. If a full cycle of 8 hours goes by and your target has not been met and the cycle begins to turn up – the trader who has a cyclical approach and a cyclical model and process will realize the profit before the cycle turns even though his prior magical price target has not been met.
This is how we want to trade at Jenkins Risk Management, this is how are team trades based on oversold/overbought and based on the cycles and TIME. We also employ a strategy where we DO NOT buy in one lump some at one price but we scale in over several entries and we also add and reduce the size of our plays further compounding our results. We then exit based on the cycle and time as well as when a market or security becomes overbought and oversold, not just based on specific price targets.
Here’s an example of a day-trade we took last week on our global trading team. We began our trade on GBPJPY with the 30min and 15min cycles based on both trend and time, we then play our size accordingly to a proprietary trading method we teach, and we then exit the majority of our position at the top of the cycles. Here’s an example of our timing method with the cycles in the below charts…

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EURAUD

I'm going core short. Failure at Pi, the cycle is down and took our the swing ling prior candles lows I'll sell more on the hourly

Rebuying USDCHF here this is a fairly new core long position. I will continue to trade this around looking for a LONG-TERM right shoulder on this pair.

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I'm leaning small day trade short EURNZD with the 15min cycle.

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I'm daytrade long EURUSDhere

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Your Trading Goals. and How Keeping a Journal Can Help You Reach Them.

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Daytrade just went long GBPJPY on this pullback.

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GBP/JPY Take profit into this high.

EURNZD Learning long now. In case it breaks out of this range.

EURNZD Adding to my long here now.

EURNZD Flipping, going short here.

EURNZD I stopped on break to new lows and BCI , so now Im flippng short and will sell into the next rally most likely

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EURNZD just covered some shorted into that rally

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EURNZD daytrade long as well here with the 5min uptrend

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EURUSD just went daytrade short with the 5min trend

EURNZD I'm out of my daytrade long flat for now

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We are taking profit out of our long initiated in the LIVE ROOM with the cycle.EURNZD +25 pips on that last round and we are short NZDUSD

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