{quote}Thanks for your compliment! You over esteem my knowledge! I'm still learning...
The Really Useless Thread
- #149,802
- Apr 13, 2017 6:10pm Apr 13, 2017 6:10pm
{quote} even better just above 107.9x, the mate of 111.14, if it makes it this far down this swing....
The screenshot is from USD/JPY 4h
Thanks
- #149,803
- Apr 13, 2017 6:11pm Apr 13, 2017 6:11pm
- Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Technical Fundamentalist | 11,563 Posts
068x > 0.78x [flip] > 097x
Don't want to overwhelm with info but if you want to dig even deeper can you see the difference between both? ...wide volatility in buy vs volatility compression in sell ....
Plenty of info to digest ...
sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
- #149,805
- Apr 13, 2017 6:16pm Apr 13, 2017 6:16pm
- Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
- #149,806
- Apr 13, 2017 6:28pm Apr 13, 2017 6:28pm
- | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Trader | 1,873 Posts
where is my galss of wine 
...starting to panic from overthinking 
...starting to panic from overthinking Get Rich or Die Tryin
- #149,807
- Apr 13, 2017 6:35pm Apr 13, 2017 6:35pm
- Joined Apr 2013 | Status: I'm learnding! | 8,973 Posts
- #149,809
- Apr 13, 2017 6:46pm Apr 13, 2017 6:46pm
- | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Trader | 1,873 Posts
Get Rich or Die Tryin
- #149,810
- Apr 13, 2017 6:48pm Apr 13, 2017 6:48pm
- Joined Apr 2013 | Status: I'm learnding! | 8,973 Posts
- #149,811
- Edited 7:57pm Apr 13, 2017 7:32pm | Edited 7:57pm
- | Joined Nov 2015 | Status: Trader | 61 Posts
0ne last trip for ST - SELL
"Day of the Sun", marking the 105th anniversary of the birth of state founder Kim Il Sung on Saturday, 15 April 2017.
This might change all outlook to Day of Doom and Gold is King. It lies on the finger of 2 comedians.
- #149,813
- Apr 13, 2017 10:46pm Apr 13, 2017 10:46pm
- Joined Jan 2016 | Status: Trader | 3,916 Posts
I went few pages back to decipher Sisse messages. Here are key highlights from Sisse (in RED) with my comments for your consideration.
1- April 7:
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} still have uj feelers for a last uj pop 111.6, and once more eu 0585 ,, gu 0259 on a usdx run for 101.52... we shall see.. usdx just under the 101. threshold.. {image}
Sisse response:
We may have something even bigger than that in play across the FX board....for now just a quick update from our conversation a few weeks ago:
... I will only join you via risk [check]...
Losing the current floor unlocks 103.5x with intermediate stop 108.4x ....all very tradable with risk ...
My comment: it's clear that Sisse short-term outlook is (strong) SELL via RISK (i.e., USDX up to 108.4)
2- April 11:
Watch-out major risk off with Yen, Gold and if we get the real deal today/tomorrow Dollar. Here a very active session, and fully locked and loaded across the board.
My comment: I asked for the meaning of it.
3- April 12:
...Trump talking down Dollar means bye bye fiscal stimulus and infrastructure....So either one or the other, both tradable from different instruments....
Despite the very dangerous comments, is becoming usual with Trump, lots of noise and tweets and very little in practice at the end. Whatever the case, this is a very bad news for the the Dollar in the mid and long term. Tracking very closely how this go after the headline knee jerk reaction but I am becoming more and more bearish in the US as the days pass.
Now we have the market answer for the flows since last Friday .... as if they didn't know the tweet was coming ....shame if this is true as they are making a mockery of the US...
Unexpectedly tracking the roll today in the Euro....
More importantly and unexpectedly, Euro triggering the traditional short term 'choose your poison time' for the first time this Quarter... We have a major roll play (D and prolly a double one with W) ...
Sisse comment on SorinAQ outlooks: I personally strongly disagree with both your outlooks (at least at the moment). Why extreme sell Euro* why extreme buy Dollar?....I think your are out of synch...
My comment: it's clear that there is a shift in the Dollar Outlook from strengthening to weakening.
4- April 13:
For those tracking/trading Euro swings. We have pretty much set the low of the W and there is no point in holding short term positions any longer especially since yesterday so here clearing all short term positions manually.
Expecting final updates with NY for Dollar and US equities once the US wakes up ....
...Major game changer in the Euro coming for the mid and long term in the next few weeks so before we dig deeper lets open the positioning iteration for those moves.
...Hope macro numbers and markets don't start flopping in the US as if they do.... they are the only ones holding a major blow for now ...
...We have a potential MOMENTUM play confirmed (well since yesterday thus the roll play last night).
My comments:
- why Sisse cleared his short positions if the ST Outlook is still Sell?
- Also, Sisse has intention to update on Dollar.
- Many signs of discomfort with Dollar.
- The momentum play was confirmed when EURUSD went up from 1.059 to 1.068. Is it the momentum for BUY outlook? (I'm still not catching this one (among others).
- Why Sisse gave us in this last iteration the option to buy if both ST&MT Outlooks are SELL? is it a hint that we are wrong in the outlooks which why he provided us a neutral option?
Last comment: I might be totally wrong with my interpretations. I'm actually confused with ST Outlook. I apologize for this long message!
1- April 7:
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} still have uj feelers for a last uj pop 111.6, and once more eu 0585 ,, gu 0259 on a usdx run for 101.52... we shall see.. usdx just under the 101. threshold.. {image}
Sisse response:
We may have something even bigger than that in play across the FX board....for now just a quick update from our conversation a few weeks ago:
... I will only join you via risk [check]...
Losing the current floor unlocks 103.5x with intermediate stop 108.4x ....all very tradable with risk ...
My comment: it's clear that Sisse short-term outlook is (strong) SELL via RISK (i.e., USDX up to 108.4)
2- April 11:
Watch-out major risk off with Yen, Gold and if we get the real deal today/tomorrow Dollar. Here a very active session, and fully locked and loaded across the board.
My comment: I asked for the meaning of it.
3- April 12:
...Trump talking down Dollar means bye bye fiscal stimulus and infrastructure....So either one or the other, both tradable from different instruments....
Despite the very dangerous comments, is becoming usual with Trump, lots of noise and tweets and very little in practice at the end. Whatever the case, this is a very bad news for the the Dollar in the mid and long term. Tracking very closely how this go after the headline knee jerk reaction but I am becoming more and more bearish in the US as the days pass.
Now we have the market answer for the flows since last Friday .... as if they didn't know the tweet was coming ....shame if this is true as they are making a mockery of the US...
Unexpectedly tracking the roll today in the Euro....
More importantly and unexpectedly, Euro triggering the traditional short term 'choose your poison time' for the first time this Quarter... We have a major roll play (D and prolly a double one with W) ...
Sisse comment on SorinAQ outlooks: I personally strongly disagree with both your outlooks (at least at the moment). Why extreme sell Euro* why extreme buy Dollar?....I think your are out of synch...
My comment: it's clear that there is a shift in the Dollar Outlook from strengthening to weakening.
4- April 13:
For those tracking/trading Euro swings. We have pretty much set the low of the W and there is no point in holding short term positions any longer especially since yesterday so here clearing all short term positions manually.
Expecting final updates with NY for Dollar and US equities once the US wakes up ....
...Major game changer in the Euro coming for the mid and long term in the next few weeks so before we dig deeper lets open the positioning iteration for those moves.
...Hope macro numbers and markets don't start flopping in the US as if they do.... they are the only ones holding a major blow for now ...
...We have a potential MOMENTUM play confirmed (well since yesterday thus the roll play last night).
My comments:
- why Sisse cleared his short positions if the ST Outlook is still Sell?
- Also, Sisse has intention to update on Dollar.
- Many signs of discomfort with Dollar.
- The momentum play was confirmed when EURUSD went up from 1.059 to 1.068. Is it the momentum for BUY outlook? (I'm still not catching this one (among others
). - Why Sisse gave us in this last iteration the option to buy if both ST&MT Outlooks are SELL? is it a hint that we are wrong in the outlooks which why he provided us a neutral option?
Last comment: I might be totally wrong with my interpretations. I'm actually confused with ST Outlook. I apologize for this long message!
- #149,815
- Apr 13, 2017 11:57pm Apr 13, 2017 11:57pm
- Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 105,127 Posts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
- #149,816
- Edited 2:05am Apr 14, 2017 1:25am | Edited 2:05am
- Joined Sep 2013 | Status: OTM AI IntelliWave™ Trader | 1,107 Posts
Trading in the shadow of SM
